Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-06-14 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-02
Palantir
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12423 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.004
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 1 |
26.0%Fangorn | 13.9%market | +12.0pp |
P
25.6
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
0.4pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 590 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5 |
26.0%Fangorn | 14.0%market | +11.9pp |
P
26.3
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
0.3pp | 1.197xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4 |
26.0%Fangorn | 14.9%market | +11.1pp |
P
22.9
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
3.1pp | 1.197xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 545 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
José Tena
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 6 |
17.9%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +10.2pp |
P
16.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.8pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 2 |
26.0%Fangorn | 16.4%market | +9.5pp |
P
26.3
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
0.3pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 06 | IN | AZ vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 8.9%market | +9.1pp |
P
19.2
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.2pp | 1.061xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 990 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6 |
17.9%Fangorn | 9.1%market | +8.8pp |
P
18.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.4pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 5 |
17.2%Fangorn | 9.8%market | +7.4pp |
P
16.5
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.7pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Spencer Horwitz
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 6 |
17.9%Fangorn | 11.3%market | +6.6pp |
P
17.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.3pp | 1.180xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 750 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 11.7%market | +6.2pp |
P
19.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.5pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1 |
17.9%Fangorn | 11.8%market | +6.1pp |
P
22.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.4pp | 1.165xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Willi Castro
COL
IN
|
COL vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 1 |
15.7%Fangorn | 9.9%market | +5.8pp |
P
17.0
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
1.3pp | 1.197xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 875 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 6 |
13.4%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.7pp |
P
11.1
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
2.2pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs NYYWill Warren · slot 5 |
17.9%Fangorn | 12.3%market | +5.6pp |
P
15.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 12.4%market | +5.5pp |
P
21.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.4pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 2 |
17.9%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +5.4pp |
P
22.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.5pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +4.9pp |
P
20.7
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.8pp | 1.180xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 18 | IN | CWS vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +4.9pp |
P
19.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.2pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 1 |
13.6%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +4.8pp |
P
12.6
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
1.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Alec Burleson
STL
IN
|
STL vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 13.3%market | +4.7pp |
P
19.7
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.8pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 1 |
15.7%Fangorn | 11.2%market | +4.6pp |
P
15.8
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
0.0pp | 1.015xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 10.1%market | +4.1pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.3pp | 1.180xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 5 |
17.9%Fangorn | 13.8%market | +4.1pp |
P
23.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
5.4pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 595 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs DETCasey Mize · slot 2 |
12.5%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +3.8pp |
P
11.7
F
12.5
V
12.5
|
0.8pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 7 |
15.7%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +3.8pp |
P
16.4
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
0.7pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 705 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 5 |
17.2%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +3.8pp |
P
20.5
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.3pp | 1.180xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 6 |
17.2%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +3.8pp |
P
18.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.8pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 5 |
15.5%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +3.6pp |
P
17.4
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
1.9pp | 1.127xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs AZZac Gallen · slot 4 |
17.2%Fangorn | 13.7%market | +3.5pp |
P
18.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.4pp | 1.061xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
José Caballero
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 1 |
11.1%Fangorn | 7.9%market | +3.2pp |
P
12.5
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
1.4pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 11.1%market | +3.2pp |
P
15.4
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.2pp | 0.994xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 775 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 11.1%market | +3.1pp |
P
25.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
10.9pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 770 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 6 |
13.6%Fangorn | 10.5%market | +3.1pp |
P
14.4
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
0.9pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 34 | IN | MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 3 |
15.5%Fangorn | 12.9%market | +2.6pp |
P
16.3
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
0.8pp | 0.994xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 645 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 1 |
17.2%Fangorn | 14.7%market | +2.5pp |
P
20.0
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.8pp | 0.994xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 555 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 15.5%market | +2.4pp |
P
22.2
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.3pp | 1.165xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 37 | IN | BOS vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 15.2%market | +2.1pp |
P
21.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
4.0pp | 1.165xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 535 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs AZZac Gallen · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 12.3%market | +1.9pp |
P
14.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.6pp | 1.061xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 39 | IN | AZ vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1 |
17.9%Fangorn | 16.0%market | +1.9pp |
P
20.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.4pp | 1.061xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 500 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +1.7pp |
P
22.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.2pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +1.7pp |
P
19.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.1pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
IN
|
COL vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 12.9%market | +1.3pp |
P
20.4
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
6.2pp | 1.197xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 645 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 2 |
17.2%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +1.0pp |
P
21.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
4.4pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 4 |
15.7%Fangorn | 14.8%market | +0.9pp |
P
18.1
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
2.4pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs SFLogan Webb · slot 4 |
15.7%Fangorn | 14.8%market | +0.9pp |
P
18.1
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
2.4pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 46 | IN | SD vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 1 |
17.9%Fangorn | 17.0%market | +0.9pp |
P
21.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.8pp | 1.127xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 465 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +0.9pp |
P
12.8
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
0.6pp | 1.015xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +0.8pp |
P
17.3
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.1pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 1 |
17.9%Fangorn | 17.2%market | +0.8pp |
P
24.0
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
6.1pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 17.2%market | +0.8pp |
P
22.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
5.0pp | 1.127xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 5 |
15.7%Fangorn | 16.1%market | -0.4pp |
P
19.0
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
3.2pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 520 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 13.8%market | -0.4pp |
P
15.2
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
1.8pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 625 avg 3 books |
| 53 | Lineup pending | AZ vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 14.5%market | -0.9pp |
P
15.8
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
2.3pp | 1.061xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 590 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 1 |
17.2%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -1.1pp |
P
21.4
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
4.2pp | 1.127xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 55 | IN | KC vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 1 |
15.7%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -2.0pp |
P
19.7
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
4.0pp | 1.015xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 56 | IN | CLE vs DETCasey Mize · slot 6 |
9.1%Fangorn | 11.1%market | -2.0pp |
P
14.3
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
5.3pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 800 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs AZZac Gallen · slot 6 |
10.3%Fangorn | 13.4%market | -3.1pp |
P
16.3
F
10.3
V
10.3
|
5.9pp | 1.061xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 645 avg 3 books |
| 58 | IN | SD vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 3 |
11.4%Fangorn | 15.3%market | -3.8pp |
P
17.8
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
6.3pp | 1.127xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 555 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Jacob Wilson
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 6 |
4.7%Fangorn | 9.2%market | -4.5pp |
P
16.3
F
4.7
V
4.7
|
11.6pp | 1.197xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 985 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
|
COL vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 2 |
26.0%Fangorn | 18.5%market | +7.5pp |
P
24.5
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
1.5pp | 1.197xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 420 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Brice Turang
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1 |
13.4%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +4.7pp |
P
11.6
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
1.7pp | 0.994xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1 |
11.4%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +3.7pp |
P
12.3
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
0.9pp | 1.180xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1 |
26.0%Fangorn | 22.9%market | +3.1pp |
P
20.7
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
5.2pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 320 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 15.3%market | +2.6pp |
P
15.8
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.2pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 530 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2 |
17.9%Fangorn | 15.5%market | +2.4pp |
P
19.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.3pp | 0.994xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 15.0%market | +2.2pp |
P
19.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.9pp | 1.015xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 67 | Lineup pending | TOR vs NYYWill Warren · slot 2 |
17.9%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +1.8pp |
P
18.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
9.1%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +1.4pp |
P
8.4
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
0.7pp | 1.180xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 16.7%market | +1.2pp |
P
17.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.3pp | 1.127xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs SFLogan Webb · slot 6 |
14.2%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +1.1pp |
P
15.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.7pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +1.0pp |
P
20.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 72 | IN | DET vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5 |
17.2%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +1.0pp |
P
18.5
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.3pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
George Springer
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1 |
17.2%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -0.5pp |
P
19.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.4pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 18.5%market | -0.6pp |
P
20.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.2pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 440 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs SFLogan Webb · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 18.7%market | -0.8pp |
P
19.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.6pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs SFLogan Webb · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.3%market | -1.1pp |
P
15.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.9pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 555 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1 |
6.6%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -1.4pp |
P
7.5
F
6.6
V
6.6
|
0.8pp | 1.029xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 2 |
17.2%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -1.7pp |
P
19.5
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.3pp | 0.994xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 79 | IN | SD vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 2 |
17.9%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -1.7pp |
P
20.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.6pp | 1.127xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -1.8pp |
P
14.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.6pp | 1.015xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 81 | Lineup pending | NYY vs TORPatrick Corbin · slot 5 |
15.7%Fangorn | 17.9%market | -2.1pp |
P
17.4
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
1.7pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 460 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -2.2pp |
P
13.3
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
0.3pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 83 | IN | KC vs HOUSpencer Arrighetti · slot 4 |
15.7%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -2.3pp |
P
18.7
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
3.0pp | 1.015xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 20.4%market | -2.5pp |
P
23.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
5.4pp | 1.180xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 390 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -2.7pp |
P
15.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.0pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 20.2%market | -3.0pp |
P
16.0
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.3pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Byron Buxton
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -3.1pp |
P
17.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.6pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1 |
4.7%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -3.3pp |
P
7.6
F
4.7
V
4.7
|
2.9pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 3 |
15.7%Fangorn | 19.1%market | -3.3pp |
P
19.7
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
3.9pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 425 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs DETCasey Mize · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -3.3pp |
P
18.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.8pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 2 |
17.9%Fangorn | 21.5%market | -3.6pp |
P
21.0
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.1pp | 1.061xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 365 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -3.6pp |
P
21.7
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
4.4pp | 1.197xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.2%market | -4.0pp |
P
17.4
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.2pp | 1.015xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 450 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 2 |
17.2%Fangorn | 21.7%market | -4.5pp |
P
20.5
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.2pp | 1.049xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Max Muncy
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 6 |
14.2%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -5.0pp |
P
15.6
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.3pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -5.3pp |
P
17.0
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
1.5pp | 1.015xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -5.5pp |
P
19.9
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
4.4pp | 1.180xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 2 |
17.2%Fangorn | 23.0%market | -5.8pp |
P
21.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
4.3pp | 1.127xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 335 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1 |
4.7%Fangorn | 11.0%market | -6.3pp |
P
12.9
F
4.7
V
4.7
|
8.2pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 810 avg 3 books |
| 100 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs AZZac Gallen · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 21.7%market | -7.5pp |
P
17.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.7pp | 1.061xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 101 | IN | CWS vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 3 |
13.4%Fangorn | 23.3%market | -9.9pp |
P
15.5
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
2.2pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 102 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 3 |
15.7%Fangorn | 26.0%market | -10.2pp |
P
17.8
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
2.1pp | 0.994xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 285 avg 3 books |
| 103 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1 |
17.9%Fangorn | 29.8%market | -11.9pp |
P
19.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.4pp | 1.012xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 235 avg 3 books |
| 104 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 26.3%market | -12.1pp |
P
22.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
8.7pp | 1.258xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 280 avg 3 books |
| 105 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
IN
|
ATH vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1 |
14.2%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -12.8pp |
P
23.4
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
9.2pp | 1.197xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
Data context
780 sample flagsStatus1619roster/transaction rows
Lineups261confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.