Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-31 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-02
Palantir
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12423 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.004
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | IN | AZ vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3 |
13.0%Fangorn | 9.3%market | +3.7pp |
P
12.1
F
13.0
V
9.5
|
3.6pp | 0.986xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 6 |
14.0%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +3.1pp |
P
15.5
F
14.0
V
10.1
|
5.3pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
José Caballero
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1 |
10.8%Fangorn | 7.9%market | +3.0pp |
P
10.1
F
10.8
V
11.0
|
0.9pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1 |
14.0%Fangorn | 11.2%market | +2.9pp |
P
14.0
F
14.0
V
10.4
|
3.6pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs BALBrandon Young · slot 6 |
13.7%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +2.8pp |
P
11.6
F
13.7
V
9.9
|
3.8pp | 1.031xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Willi Castro
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1 |
12.3%Fangorn | 9.8%market | +2.5pp |
P
10.9
F
12.3
V
9.7
|
2.7pp | 1.104xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 885 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 5 |
12.3%Fangorn | 9.8%market | +2.5pp |
P
9.4
F
12.3
V
8.1
|
4.3pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs NYMKodai Senga · slot 2 |
12.3%Fangorn | 10.1%market | +2.2pp |
P
10.7
F
12.3
V
14.3
|
3.6pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 3 |
13.7%Fangorn | 11.7%market | +2.0pp |
P
13.2
F
13.7
V
10.4
|
3.4pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 10 | IN | TB vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 3 |
14.7%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +2.0pp |
P
14.5
F
14.7
V
12.7
|
2.1pp | 1.036xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5 |
12.3%Fangorn | 10.7%market | +1.6pp |
P
11.0
F
12.3
V
10.3
|
2.0pp | 1.031xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Edouard Julien
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6 |
12.3%Fangorn | 10.9%market | +1.5pp |
P
10.6
F
12.3
V
9.6
|
2.7pp | 1.104xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 790 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3 |
14.0%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +1.1pp |
P
13.8
F
14.0
V
16.2
|
2.4pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 14 | IN | CWS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4 |
14.0%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +1.1pp |
P
13.7
F
14.0
V
9.8
|
4.2pp | 1.036xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs SEABryce Miller · slot 7 |
12.9%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +1.0pp |
P
11.4
F
12.9
V
10.2
|
2.8pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 705 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4 |
13.0%Fangorn | 12.4%market | +0.6pp |
P
13.0
F
13.0
V
11.0
|
2.1pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 2 |
14.7%Fangorn | 14.2%market | +0.5pp |
P
14.7
F
14.7
V
14.8
|
0.2pp | 1.036xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Alec Burleson
STL
IN
|
STL vs TORDylan Cease · slot 3 |
13.7%Fangorn | 13.3%market | +0.5pp |
P
12.5
F
13.7
V
11.1
|
2.7pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5 |
12.3%Fangorn | 12.8%market | -0.5pp |
P
10.1
F
12.3
V
14.6
|
4.5pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 680 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1 |
14.0%Fangorn | 14.6%market | -0.6pp |
P
15.8
F
14.0
V
11.8
|
4.0pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 585 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6 |
13.0%Fangorn | 13.6%market | -0.6pp |
P
12.9
F
13.0
V
9.9
|
3.2pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 635 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Brenton Doyle
COL
IN
|
COL vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5 |
12.0%Fangorn | 12.6%market | -0.6pp |
P
11.5
F
12.0
V
11.7
|
0.5pp | 1.104xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 695 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5 |
12.3%Fangorn | 13.0%market | -0.7pp |
P
10.9
F
12.3
V
18.3
|
7.4pp | 1.104xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 670 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 5 |
13.7%Fangorn | 14.5%market | -0.8pp |
P
13.8
F
13.7
V
12.6
|
1.2pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 590 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3 |
10.6%Fangorn | 11.6%market | -0.9pp |
P
13.9
F
10.6
V
8.4
|
5.5pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 765 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1 |
14.0%Fangorn | 15.0%market | -1.0pp |
P
16.1
F
14.0
V
13.8
|
2.3pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 565 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
IN
|
COL vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4 |
11.9%Fangorn | 13.1%market | -1.2pp |
P
12.6
F
11.9
V
11.7
|
0.9pp | 1.104xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 665 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
14.0%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -1.7pp |
P
15.2
F
14.0
V
15.1
|
1.1pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3 |
14.0%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -1.7pp |
P
15.6
F
14.0
V
15.0
|
1.5pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1 |
13.0%Fangorn | 14.8%market | -1.8pp |
P
14.3
F
13.0
V
14.0
|
1.3pp | 1.031xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 575 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5 |
13.0%Fangorn | 14.8%market | -1.8pp |
P
11.0
F
13.0
V
13.7
|
2.7pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 575 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5 |
12.3%Fangorn | 14.1%market | -1.8pp |
P
13.5
F
12.3
V
18.0
|
5.7pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 610 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4 |
13.7%Fangorn | 15.5%market | -1.8pp |
P
14.6
F
13.7
V
13.2
|
1.4pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 545 avg 3 books |
| 34 | IN | TB vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 5 |
12.3%Fangorn | 14.2%market | -1.9pp |
P
12.1
F
12.3
V
13.2
|
1.0pp | 1.036xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 605 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 5 |
13.0%Fangorn | 15.3%market | -2.2pp |
P
12.2
F
13.0
V
13.2
|
0.9pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 555 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3 |
14.0%Fangorn | 16.4%market | -2.3pp |
P
16.2
F
14.0
V
14.5
|
2.2pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 510 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs SEABryce Miller · slot 4 |
12.9%Fangorn | 15.5%market | -2.6pp |
P
12.7
F
12.9
V
13.4
|
0.7pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 545 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5 |
13.0%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -3.0pp |
P
12.1
F
13.0
V
13.8
|
1.7pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 39 | IN | KC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4 |
14.0%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -4.0pp |
P
16.0
F
14.0
V
19.7
|
5.7pp | 1.104xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6 |
9.4%Fangorn | 13.4%market | -4.0pp |
P
11.1
F
9.4
V
13.0
|
3.6pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 645 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
José Tena
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 6 |
12.9%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.2pp |
P
9.4
F
12.9
V
7.1
|
5.9pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1 |
10.2%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +2.5pp |
P
6.7
F
10.2
V
14.4
|
7.7pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1 |
10.2%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +2.5pp |
P
7.2
F
10.2
V
14.1
|
6.9pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs TORDylan Cease · slot 2 |
13.7%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +1.2pp |
P
14.2
F
13.7
V
11.0
|
3.2pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs NYMKodai Senga · slot 1 |
6.3%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -1.7pp |
P
5.1
F
6.3
V
12.0
|
6.9pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1 |
6.3%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -1.7pp |
P
4.6
F
6.3
V
10.2
|
5.7pp | 1.036xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Andy Pages
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 7 |
10.8%Fangorn | 13.9%market | -3.1pp |
P
12.0
F
10.8
V
8.6
|
3.4pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 620 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4 |
13.7%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -3.2pp |
P
13.7
F
13.7
V
13.4
|
0.3pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2 |
14.0%Fangorn | 17.4%market | -3.3pp |
P
15.5
F
14.0
V
13.7
|
1.8pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 475 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 4 |
14.0%Fangorn | 17.4%market | -3.3pp |
P
14.3
F
14.0
V
14.7
|
0.6pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 475 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 4 |
13.7%Fangorn | 17.1%market | -3.4pp |
P
13.0
F
13.7
V
14.3
|
1.4pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 485 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 5 |
13.0%Fangorn | 16.7%market | -3.6pp |
P
13.8
F
13.0
V
13.1
|
0.8pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 500 avg 3 books |
| 53 | IN | DET vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 5 |
14.0%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -3.7pp |
P
15.5
F
14.0
V
15.0
|
1.5pp | 1.020xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 2 |
12.5%Fangorn | 16.4%market | -3.9pp |
P
13.7
F
12.5
V
13.0
|
1.2pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 510 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs SEABryce Miller · slot 5 |
11.9%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -3.9pp |
P
9.1
F
11.9
V
14.8
|
5.6pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
|
COL vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2 |
14.0%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -4.0pp |
P
13.9
F
14.0
V
11.7
|
2.3pp | 1.104xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 57 | Lineup pending | NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 5 |
13.7%Fangorn | 17.9%market | -4.1pp |
P
13.6
F
13.7
V
14.8
|
1.2pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 460 avg 3 books |
| 58 | IN | AZ vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1 |
14.0%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -4.3pp |
P
15.3
F
14.0
V
13.2
|
2.1pp | 0.986xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3 |
14.0%Fangorn | 18.7%market | -4.6pp |
P
15.7
F
14.0
V
13.7
|
1.9pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 1 |
13.0%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -5.0pp |
P
14.5
F
13.0
V
13.4
|
1.5pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4 |
13.0%Fangorn | 18.2%market | -5.1pp |
P
14.2
F
13.0
V
14.4
|
1.4pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 450 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs BALBrandon Young · slot 2 |
14.0%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -5.6pp |
P
15.9
F
14.0
V
15.0
|
1.9pp | 1.031xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 3 |
12.3%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -6.0pp |
P
12.4
F
12.3
V
12.9
|
0.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 2 |
13.0%Fangorn | 19.4%market | -6.4pp |
P
14.5
F
13.0
V
14.7
|
1.7pp | 0.985xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs SEABryce Miller · slot 1 |
4.5%Fangorn | 11.0%market | -6.5pp |
P
8.7
F
4.5
V
12.9
|
8.4pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 810 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4 |
13.7%Fangorn | 20.4%market | -6.7pp |
P
15.3
F
13.7
V
15.7
|
2.0pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 390 avg 3 books |
| 67 | IN | LAD vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 4 |
12.3%Fangorn | 19.1%market | -6.7pp |
P
12.2
F
12.3
V
13.3
|
1.2pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 425 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2 |
13.7%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -7.1pp |
P
13.8
F
13.7
V
15.1
|
1.4pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4 |
12.0%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -7.3pp |
P
10.1
F
12.0
V
13.3
|
3.1pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2 |
13.7%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -7.3pp |
P
13.9
F
13.7
V
14.1
|
0.3pp | 0.986xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 71 | IN | TB vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4 |
14.0%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -7.9pp |
P
12.9
F
14.0
V
13.6
|
1.1pp | 1.036xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 72 | IN | TB vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1 |
0.0%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -8.0pp |
P
2.9
F
0.0
V
6.7
|
6.7pp | 1.036xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2 |
12.3%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -8.7pp |
P
12.8
F
12.3
V
16.8
|
4.4pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Corey Seager
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 2 |
13.7%Fangorn | 22.5%market | -8.7pp |
P
14.5
F
13.7
V
14.7
|
1.0pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 345 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3 |
12.3%Fangorn | 21.7%market | -9.4pp |
P
12.3
F
12.3
V
16.6
|
4.3pp | 1.083xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 76 | IN | CWS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3 |
10.8%Fangorn | 23.3%market | -12.4pp |
P
11.0
F
10.8
V
11.7
|
0.8pp | 1.036xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs BALBrandon Young · slot 3 |
13.7%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -13.3pp |
P
14.5
F
13.7
V
14.8
|
1.1pp | 1.031xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3 |
11.9%Fangorn | 26.3%market | -14.4pp |
P
14.4
F
11.9
V
14.4
|
2.5pp | 0.946xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 280 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 1 |
13.0%Fangorn | 29.0%market | -15.9pp |
P
12.3
F
13.0
V
16.4
|
4.2pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 245 avg 3 books |
Data context
779 sample flagsStatus2464roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.