The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Fortes, Nick in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats R · 299 PA

Ranked comps for Fortes, Nick

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 456 PA 0.65 Barrel rateHard-hit rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z
02 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.55 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactHard-hit rate Walk rate +2.1zPull rate -1.7zChase rate -1.2z
03 Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 486 PA 0.52 Pull rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.7zWalk rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.5z
04 Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 316 PA 0.49 Bat speedBarrel rateStrikeout rate Walk rate +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.7zChase rate -1.6z
05 DeLuca, Jonny TB · R · 312 PA 0.49 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateChase rate Sprint speed +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.3z
06 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 524 PA 0.47 Whiff ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Pull rate -1.6zWalk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.5z
07 Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 395 PA 0.45 Swing lengthxwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +2.2zOppo rate +1.7zPull rate -1.5z
08 Naylor, Josh SEA · L · 562 PA 0.45 Hard-hit rateOppo rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +2.5zSprint speed -2.0zWalk rate +1.4z
09 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 447 PA 0.42 Max exit velocityBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Bat speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.5zSwing length -1.5z
10 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 523 PA 0.41 Barrel rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate +3.1zFly-ball rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.6z
11 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 353 PA 0.41 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Chase rate -2.1zWalk rate +1.7zBat speed -1.6z
12 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 336 PA 0.40 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +2.2zChase rate -2.0zPull rate -1.7z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.