The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Durbin, Caleb in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats R · 519 PA

Ranked comps for Durbin, Caleb

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 349 PA 0.77 Oppo rateBarrel ratePull rate In-zone contact +1.0zWhiff rate -0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 381 PA 0.71 Barrel rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Swing length -1.4zOppo rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Palacios, Richie TB · L · 344 PA 0.68 Bat speedHard-hit rateBarrel rate Walk rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +0.9zSprint speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 317 PA 0.67 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Swing length +1.3zWalk rate +1.3zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA 0.66 Barrel rateFly-ball rateChase rate Strikeout rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.1zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 572 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityIsolated powerChase rate Avg exit velocity +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.64 Pull rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact Avg exit velocity +1.7zHard-hit rate +1.1zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 391 PA 0.62 Barrel rateFly-ball rateIsolated power Chase rate +1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.3zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 336 PA 0.62 In-zone contactBarrel rateWalk rate Swing length +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Hicks, Liam MIA · L · 502 PA 0.59 Bat speedHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.8zIn-zone contact +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Fermín, José STL · R · 327 PA 0.58 Barrel rateWalk rateStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.3zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Church, Nathan STL · L · 400 PA 0.58 Isolated powerSwing lengthBat speed Chase rate +2.3zBarrel rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.