The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Durbin, Caleb in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats R · 618 PA

Ranked comps for Durbin, Caleb

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 419 PA 0.72 Walk rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact In-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Palacios, Richie TB · L · 420 PA 0.71 Fly-ball rateBat speedIsolated power Avg exit velocity +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.0zWalk rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 374 PA 0.68 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactChase rate Swing length +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA 0.67 Chase rateGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate +1.4zPull rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 467 PA 0.64 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate Swing length -1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.64 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactPull rate Avg exit velocity +1.9zHard-hit rate +1.1zBat speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 341 PA 0.63 In-zone contactBarrel rateBat speed Avg exit velocity +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.1zGround-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 376 PA 0.63 In-zone contactBarrel rateBat speed Swing length +1.3zIsolated power -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Hicks, Liam MIA · L · 589 PA 0.61 Bat speedHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.6zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Edman, Tommy LAD · L · 346 PA 0.61 Swing lengthOppo rateSprint speed Fly-ball rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Fermín, José STL · R · 389 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateBarrel rateWalk rate Avg exit velocity +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 695 PA 0.60 Chase rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Avg exit velocity +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.