The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Diaz, Yainer in signal, the comp in amber.

HOU · bats R · 286 PA

Ranked comps for Diaz, Yainer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 452 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z
02 Fortes, Nick TB · R · 299 PA 0.59 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthWalk rate Pull rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.4zIsolated power -1.1z
03 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 367 PA 0.57 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityWhiff rate Ground-ball rate -1.7zChase rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.6z
04 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.57 Pull rateHard-hit rateOppo rate Walk rate +1.9zChase rate -1.9zIsolated power -1.3z
05 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 593 PA 0.51 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact Sprint speed +1.8zSwing length -1.6zChase rate -1.6z
06 Naylor, Josh SEA · L · 557 PA 0.51 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4z
07 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA 0.50 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactWhiff rate Walk rate +2.4zChase rate -2.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z
08 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.48 xwOBA on contactOppo rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate +2.6zChase rate -1.8zGround-ball rate -1.4z
09 Church, Nathan STL · L · 400 PA 0.48 Barrel rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.4z
10 Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 316 PA 0.47 Sprint speedIn-zone contactBat speed Chase rate -2.4zWalk rate +1.8zOppo rate -1.2z
11 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 549 PA 0.46 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Ground-ball rate -2.3zFly-ball rate +2.0zChase rate -1.3z
12 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 350 PA 0.45 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateOppo rate Strikeout rate +2.2zSprint speed +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.7z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.