The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Diaz, Yainer in signal, the comp in amber.
HOU · bats R · 286 PA
Ranked comps for Diaz, Yainer
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 452 PA | 0.61 | Hard-hit rateSwing lengthFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Fortes, Nick TB · R · 299 PA | 0.59 | Hard-hit rateSwing lengthWalk rate | Pull rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.4zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 367 PA | 0.57 | xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityWhiff rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zChase rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.57 | Pull rateHard-hit rateOppo rate | Walk rate +1.9zChase rate -1.9zIsolated power -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 593 PA | 0.51 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Sprint speed +1.8zSwing length -1.6zChase rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Naylor, Josh SEA · L · 557 PA | 0.51 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA | 0.50 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Walk rate +2.4zChase rate -2.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactOppo rateAvg exit velocity | Walk rate +2.6zChase rate -1.8zGround-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 400 PA | 0.48 | Barrel rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 316 PA | 0.47 | Sprint speedIn-zone contactBat speed | Chase rate -2.4zWalk rate +1.8zOppo rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 549 PA | 0.46 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Ground-ball rate -2.3zFly-ball rate +2.0zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 350 PA | 0.45 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rateOppo rate | Strikeout rate +2.2zSprint speed +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.