The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Naylor, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 411 PA

Ranked comps for Naylor, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 323 PA 0.66 Bat speedAvg exit velocityChase rate Sprint speed +2.0zIsolated power +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 229 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateFly-ball rate Chase rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.3zSwing length -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 381 PA 0.64 Walk rateBat speedStrikeout rate Sprint speed +2.2zIn-zone contact -0.8zSwing length -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 254 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Swing length -1.7zFly-ball rate +1.5zSprint speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 405 PA 0.62 Bat speedIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.4zIsolated power +1.4zSwing length -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Contreras, William MIL · R · 407 PA 0.61 Whiff rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Chase rate -1.3zPull rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 320 PA 0.59 xwOBA on contactBat speedIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.2zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 335 PA 0.59 xwOBA on contactSwing lengthWhiff rate Sprint speed +2.1zStrikeout rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 441 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateFly-ball rate Chase rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.3zBat speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Andujar, Miguel SD · R · 266 PA 0.56 Swing lengthxwOBA on contactWhiff rate Sprint speed +2.1zGround-ball rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 218 PA 0.56 In-zone contactWhiff rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed +1.6zChase rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA 0.55 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Sprint speed +1.9zGround-ball rate +1.6zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.