The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Contreras, William in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats R · 562 PA

Ranked comps for Contreras, William

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 315 PA 0.78 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Oppo rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.0zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA 0.74 In-zone contactSweet-spot rateFly-ball rate Pull rate +1.0zSprint speed +0.9zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA 0.73 Oppo rateIn-zone contactBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.1zBarrel rate -1.1zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 292 PA 0.72 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.5zChase rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 372 PA 0.70 Swing lengthFly-ball rateIsolated power Walk rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 DeLauter, Chase CLE · L · 500 PA 0.69 Ground-ball rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.1zChase rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 562 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateSwing length Max exit velocity -1.3zBarrel rate -1.0zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 337 PA 0.68 Chase rateSprint speedIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 557 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateBarrel rateSprint speed Swing length +1.8zPull rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA 0.66 Whiff rateBat speedSweet-spot rate Pull rate +1.2zSwing length +1.2zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Machado, Manny SD · R · 589 PA 0.66 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Swing length +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.3zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA 0.66 Pull ratexwOBA on contactSwing length Sprint speed +1.4zBarrel rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.