The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Frelick, Sal in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 357 PA
Ranked comps for Frelick, Sal
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 532 PA | 0.78 | Pull rateWalk rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.0zAvg exit velocity -0.9zWhiff rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 344 PA | 0.61 | Barrel ratePull rateWalk rate | Whiff rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.60 | Isolated powerPull rateSwing length | Bat speed +1.3zWhiff rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Fermín, José STL · R · 336 PA | 0.59 | Walk rateBat speedBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zPull rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 323 PA | 0.57 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.3zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Hicks, Liam MIA · L · 510 PA | 0.56 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed -2.3zIsolated power +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 361 PA | 0.55 | Swing lengthBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.9zWhiff rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 534 PA | 0.55 | In-zone contactPull rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zSwing length +1.5zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA | 0.54 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Oppo rate +1.9zWalk rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 390 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Swing length -1.7zIn-zone contact -1.5zChase rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 404 PA | 0.51 | Barrel ratePull rateSprint speed | Chase rate +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 488 PA | 0.51 | Oppo rateWalk rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.6zxwOBA on contact +1.4zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.