The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lukes, Nathan in signal, the comp in amber.

TOR · bats L · 381 PA

Ranked comps for Lukes, Nathan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 572 PA 0.72 Max exit velocityGround-ball rateIn-zone contact Strikeout rate +1.2zPull rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA 0.72 Isolated powerBarrel rateSprint speed Chase rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 519 PA 0.71 Barrel rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Swing length +1.4zOppo rate -1.0zAvg exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate In-zone contact +1.1zIsolated power -1.1zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 447 PA 0.61 Isolated powerBat speedxwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.4zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.59 xwOBA on contactSprint speedStrikeout rate Swing length +2.0zBat speed +1.5zWalk rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Swing length +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.3zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 586 PA 0.57 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Walk rate +1.6zChase rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Church, Nathan STL · L · 400 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerWalk rate Swing length +1.6zChase rate +1.5zSprint speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 474 PA 0.56 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate Chase rate -2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 349 PA 0.54 Barrel rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Swing length +1.7zChase rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Williamson, Ben TB · R · 290 PA 0.53 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.7zPull rate -1.6zOppo rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.