The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Hicks, Liam in signal, the comp in amber.
MIA · bats L · 592 PA
Ranked comps for Hicks, Liam
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Fermín, José STL · R · 389 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Swing length +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 470 PA | 0.69 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateChase rate | In-zone contact -1.2zOppo rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA | 0.63 | Sprint speedSwing lengthChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.0zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rumfield, TJ COL · L · 657 PA | 0.63 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.0zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Perdomo, Geraldo AZ · L · 695 PA | 0.62 | Swing lengthOppo rateWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zWalk rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 618 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.6zAvg exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Palacios, Richie TB · L · 423 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact | In-zone contact -2.0zStrikeout rate +1.2zWhiff rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 448 PA | 0.57 | Sprint speedFly-ball rateMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.5zWhiff rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Loftin, Nick KC · R · 446 PA | 0.56 | Barrel rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Sprint speed +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 533 PA | 0.53 | xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zChase rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 655 PA | 0.52 | xwOBA on contactOppo ratePull rate | Walk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Vargas, Ildemaro AZ · L · 506 PA | 0.51 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.5zSwing length +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.