The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Adames, Willy in signal, the comp in amber.
SF · bats R · 517 PA
Ranked comps for Adames, Willy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 438 PA | 0.75 | Sprint speedOppo ratePull rate | Max exit velocity +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA | 0.68 | Bat speedBarrel rateWhiff rate | Swing length -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 543 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactIsolated power | Chase rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 434 PA | 0.66 | Pull rateBarrel rateIsolated power | Sprint speed -1.4zWalk rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateBat speedOppo rate | Max exit velocity +1.2zSprint speed -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Semien, Marcus NYM · R · 476 PA | 0.63 | Sweet-spot rateWalk ratePull rate | Bat speed -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 335 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.5zSwing length -1.4zIsolated power -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactSweet-spot rateWalk rate | Swing length -1.7zChase rate +1.0zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 301 PA | 0.60 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Swing length -1.9zPull rate -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Neto, Zach LAA · R · 607 PA | 0.59 | In-zone contactSweet-spot rateIsolated power | Swing length -2.8zChase rate +1.0zWhiff rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 385 PA | 0.59 | Strikeout rateWhiff rateGround-ball rate | Chase rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.5zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 353 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length -1.9zChase rate -1.0zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.