The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Moniak, Mickey in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 389 PA
Ranked comps for Moniak, Mickey
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.6zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.60 | Whiff rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate | Chase rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.5zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Buxton, Byron MIN · R · 418 PA | 0.55 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactBat speed | Barrel rate +1.9zChase rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 506 PA | 0.54 | Pull rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.6zChase rate -1.6zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Neto, Zach LAA · R · 612 PA | 0.51 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Swing length -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.4zBat speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 442 PA | 0.48 | Avg exit velocityBat speedGround-ball rate | Isolated power -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.7zChase rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 579 PA | 0.48 | Pull rateGround-ball rateOppo rate | Swing length -1.8zChase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 587 PA | 0.47 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Oppo rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 598 PA | 0.45 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zOppo rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.44 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateSprint speed | Max exit velocity +1.8zIsolated power -1.6zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 382 PA | 0.44 | Hard-hit rateWalk rateIn-zone contact | Fly-ball rate -2.6zGround-ball rate +1.9zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.44 | Pull rateSwing lengthStrikeout rate | Chase rate -2.4zSprint speed -1.4zWalk rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.