The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bellinger, Cody in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 483 PA

Ranked comps for Bellinger, Cody

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Semien, Marcus NYM · R · 476 PA 0.74 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +0.9zAvg exit velocity -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA 0.73 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate Swing length -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 462 PA 0.69 Barrel rateBat speedSprint speed Swing length -1.5zPull rate +1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 401 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateBat speedChase rate Swing length -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 416 PA 0.68 Pull rateHard-hit rateChase rate Swing length -1.7zWhiff rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 482 PA 0.67 Sprint speedIn-zone contactWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.2zBat speed +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 600 PA 0.66 Whiff rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 353 PA 0.65 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate Strikeout rate +1.5zSwing length -1.0zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 533 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityOppo ratePull rate Swing length -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.64 In-zone contactChase rateFly-ball rate Swing length -1.6zWalk rate -1.3zOppo rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.64 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length -2.1zPull rate -1.1zSprint speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 356 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.7zSwing length -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.