The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (296+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McCarthy, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 529 PA

Ranked comps for McCarthy, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Church, Nathan STL · L · 416 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityGround-ball rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.7zOppo rate +1.4zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Martínez, Angel CLE · L · 370 PA 0.59 Oppo rateWhiff rateGround-ball rate Sprint speed -1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 441 PA 0.59 Strikeout rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 529 PA 0.56 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate Avg exit velocity +1.9zOppo rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 538 PA 0.55 In-zone contactOppo rateWhiff rate Sprint speed -1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.3zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Peters, Tristan CWS · L · 441 PA 0.54 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerWhiff rate Pull rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Caballero, José NYY · R · 431 PA 0.50 Fly-ball rateOppo rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 591 PA 0.50 Barrel rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +2.7zAvg exit velocity +1.3zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Young, Cole SEA · L · 593 PA 0.49 Barrel rateSwing lengthStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity +2.0zSweet-spot rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 370 PA 0.47 Whiff rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Chase rate -2.1zSprint speed -1.8zWalk rate +1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 458 PA 0.47 Pull rateGround-ball rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate -2.3zSprint speed -1.6zIsolated power -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 398 PA 0.47 Chase rateOppo rateGround-ball rate Avg exit velocity +2.1zWhiff rate +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.