The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schmitt, Casey in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats R · 424 PA

Ranked comps for Schmitt, Casey

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 559 PA 0.77 Bat speedIn-zone contactWhiff rate Ground-ball rate +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.9zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 603 PA 0.68 Oppo rateSwing lengthSweet-spot rate Walk rate +1.1zBarrel rate -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 591 PA 0.66 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact In-zone contact -1.4zWalk rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 610 PA 0.61 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityPull rate Walk rate +2.4zIn-zone contact -1.2zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 573 PA 0.53 In-zone contactStrikeout rateWhiff rate Walk rate +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.6zBarrel rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 532 PA 0.52 Chase rateOppo rateSprint speed Ground-ball rate +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.5zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Adell, Jo LAA · R · 578 PA 0.50 Hard-hit ratePull rateChase rate Bat speed +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 591 PA 0.48 Chase rateBat speedAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 510 PA 0.47 Bat speedBarrel rateFly-ball rate Pull rate +2.0zMax exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.47 Whiff rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 584 PA 0.47 Bat speedPull ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate +1.7zWalk rate +1.6zSwing length -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA 0.46 Oppo rateHard-hit ratePull rate Max exit velocity +1.9zWalk rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.