The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abreu, Wilyer in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 600 PA

Ranked comps for Abreu, Wilyer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA 0.73 Whiff rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA 0.70 Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity Strikeout rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA 0.68 Pull rateGround-ball rateSwing length Max exit velocity +1.6zAvg exit velocity +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityBat speed Walk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 531 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.7zStrikeout rate +1.4zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 474 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityBarrel rateBat speed Ground-ball rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.2zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 443 PA 0.61 Walk rateIn-zone contactOppo rate Avg exit velocity -1.1zBat speed -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA 0.61 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 424 PA 0.61 Sprint speedStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate -2.5zIn-zone contact +1.2zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 383 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zBarrel rate -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 598 PA 0.60 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Sprint speed -1.8zIsolated power -1.4zBat speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 411 PA 0.60 Walk rateGround-ball rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.3zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.