The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abreu, Wilyer in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats L · 703 PA

Ranked comps for Abreu, Wilyer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 642 PA 0.73 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zWalk rate +0.9z
02 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.71 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactSwing length Strikeout rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zPull rate +1.0z
03 Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA 0.68 Isolated powerAvg exit velocitySwing length xwOBA on contact +1.3zSprint speed -1.1zOppo rate -1.0z
04 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 708 PA 0.66 In-zone contactOppo rateChase rate Sprint speed -1.7zBat speed -1.2zBarrel rate -0.9z
05 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 480 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthPull rate Max exit velocity +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.3zOppo rate -0.8z
06 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 489 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate -1.7zBarrel rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -0.9z
07 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 491 PA 0.65 Walk rateOppo rateGround-ball rate Chase rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2zBat speed -1.2z
08 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.65 Swing lengthMax exit velocityIsolated power Fly-ball rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3zSprint speed -1.3z
09 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 708 PA 0.63 Max exit velocityBarrel rateIn-zone contact Walk rate -1.5zChase rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z
10 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 518 PA 0.62 Oppo rateFly-ball rateIn-zone contact Barrel rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z
11 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z
12 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 619 PA 0.62 Isolated powerBarrel rateMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.