The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Happ, Ian in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats L · 665 PA

Ranked comps for Happ, Ian

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 603 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.1zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 512 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateBat speed Swing length +1.9zWalk rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.65 In-zone contactSprint speedHard-hit rate Swing length +1.4zPull rate -1.2zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.64 Whiff rateSprint speedChase rate Oppo rate +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 514 PA 0.64 Chase rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Swing length +2.1zxwOBA on contact +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 489 PA 0.63 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 418 PA 0.60 Fly-ball ratePull rateAvg exit velocity Swing length +1.7zSprint speed -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 447 PA 0.60 Whiff rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -2.1zPull rate -1.0zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 400 PA 0.59 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.59 In-zone contactOppo rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 565 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Swing length +2.3zPull rate +1.3zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 736 PA 0.57 Ground-ball rateWalk rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.5zOppo rate +1.4zBat speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.