The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cowser, Colton in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 411 PA
Ranked comps for Cowser, Colton
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.74 | Sprint speedBarrel rateHard-hit rate | Chase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA | 0.70 | Pull rateStrikeout rateSprint speed | Avg exit velocity +1.5zWalk rate -1.4zBarrel rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 637 PA | 0.68 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateIsolated power | Walk rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocityOppo rateIn-zone contact | Avg exit velocity +1.1zIsolated power +1.0zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA | 0.67 | Oppo rateIsolated powerBat speed | Walk rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateBat speed | Sprint speed -1.7zWalk rate -1.5zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA | 0.67 | Swing lengthChase rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.2zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 665 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactSprint speedHard-hit rate | Swing length -1.4zPull rate +1.2zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 539 PA | 0.64 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateBat speed | Oppo rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 565 PA | 0.62 | Chase rateSprint speedHard-hit rate | Pull rate +2.5zOppo rate -0.9zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA | 0.61 | Isolated powerChase rateGround-ball rate | Walk rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 512 PA | 0.59 | Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | Pull rate +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.