The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cowser, Colton in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 348 PA
Ranked comps for Cowser, Colton
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 578 PA | 0.73 | Sprint speedStrikeout rateBarrel rate | Swing length -1.3zPull rate +1.1zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 494 PA | 0.72 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Chase rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 362 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Walk rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.0zSprint speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateFly-ball rateSprint speed | Avg exit velocity +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 411 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rateIsolated power | Oppo rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.4zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 364 PA | 0.66 | Whiff rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.1zBarrel rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 531 PA | 0.64 | Bat speedBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Avg exit velocity +1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.1zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 378 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Fly-ball rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA | 0.62 | Pull rateBarrel rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 535 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocityWhiff rateSwing length | Walk rate -1.4zChase rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 478 PA | 0.62 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateIn-zone contact | Pull rate +1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 517 PA | 0.62 | Chase rateStrikeout rateIsolated power | Pull rate +2.4zSwing length +1.0zAvg exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.