The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McCarthy, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 620 PA
Ranked comps for McCarthy, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 487 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.3zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Martínez, Angel CLE · L · 453 PA | 0.58 | In-zone contactWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 488 PA | 0.58 | Barrel rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Chase rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 635 PA | 0.56 | Bat speedWhiff rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -2.0zAvg exit velocity +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Peters, Tristan CWS · L · 530 PA | 0.54 | Barrel rateWhiff rateIsolated power | Pull rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA | 0.54 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Avg exit velocity +1.9zOppo rate +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA | 0.52 | In-zone contactWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed -2.3zAvg exit velocity +1.6zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 498 PA | 0.50 | Bat speedWalk rateChase rate | Oppo rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 519 PA | 0.50 | Ground-ball rateSwing lengthPull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zSprint speed -1.7zIsolated power -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 605 PA | 0.50 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityBat speed | Oppo rate +2.6zAvg exit velocity +1.2zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Edman, Tommy LAD · L · 347 PA | 0.49 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | DeLuca, Jonny TB · R · 407 PA | 0.49 | Fly-ball rateWalk rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.4zSwing length +2.0zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.