The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McCarthy, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 620 PA

Ranked comps for McCarthy, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Church, Nathan STL · L · 487 PA 0.65 Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.3zSprint speed -1.1z
02 Martínez, Angel CLE · L · 453 PA 0.58 In-zone contactWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Sprint speed -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2z
03 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 488 PA 0.58 Barrel rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z
04 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 635 PA 0.56 Bat speedWhiff rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed -2.0zAvg exit velocity +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z
05 Peters, Tristan CWS · L · 530 PA 0.54 Barrel rateWhiff rateIsolated power Pull rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2z
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.54 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateBarrel rate Avg exit velocity +1.9zOppo rate +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.3z
07 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.52 In-zone contactWhiff rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed -2.3zAvg exit velocity +1.6zChase rate -1.1z
08 Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 498 PA 0.50 Bat speedWalk rateChase rate Oppo rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z
09 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 519 PA 0.50 Ground-ball rateSwing lengthPull rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zSprint speed -1.7zIsolated power -1.3z
10 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 605 PA 0.50 Barrel rateMax exit velocityBat speed Oppo rate +2.6zAvg exit velocity +1.2zChase rate +1.2z
11 Edman, Tommy LAD · L · 347 PA 0.49 Swing lengthMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.4z
12 DeLuca, Jonny TB · R · 407 PA 0.49 Fly-ball rateWalk rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -2.4zSwing length +2.0zBat speed +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.