The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Alvarez, Francisco in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats R · 364 PA

Ranked comps for Alvarez, Francisco

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 360 PA 0.76 Oppo rateMax exit velocityBat speed Chase rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.0zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 535 PA 0.73 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.1zWalk rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 326 PA 0.72 Pull rateSweet-spot rateSwing length Oppo rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.0zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 434 PA 0.68 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate Strikeout rate -1.4zIsolated power +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateOppo rate Swing length +1.6zPull rate +1.1zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 348 PA 0.66 Whiff rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Sprint speed +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.1zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.65 Sprint speedIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Bat speed -1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Oppo rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zSwing length +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 344 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateWhiff rate Swing length -1.5zSweet-spot rate +0.9zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 556 PA 0.64 Ground-ball rateMax exit velocityChase rate Oppo rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 305 PA 0.62 Isolated powerGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.4zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.