The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schmitt, Casey in signal, the comp in amber.
SF · bats R · 424 PA
Ranked comps for Schmitt, Casey
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 551 PA | 0.78 | Sweet-spot rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Walk rate +0.9zGround-ball rate +0.9zOppo rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 593 PA | 0.67 | Oppo rateSwing lengthStrikeout rate | Barrel rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA | 0.66 | Avg exit velocitySwing lengthxwOBA on contact | In-zone contact -1.5zWalk rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 600 PA | 0.61 | Sprint speedStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity | Walk rate +2.5zIn-zone contact -1.2zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 573 PA | 0.53 | In-zone contactStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Walk rate +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.6zBarrel rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 526 PA | 0.53 | Oppo rateChase rateHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA | 0.49 | Chase rateBat speedAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zWalk rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Adell, Jo LAA · R · 574 PA | 0.49 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedPull rate | Bat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 502 PA | 0.48 | Fly-ball rateBat speedSprint speed | Pull rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 474 PA | 0.48 | Barrel rateIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate +2.3zSweet-spot rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.47 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA | 0.46 | Oppo rateHard-hit ratePull rate | Max exit velocity +1.9zWalk rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.