The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schmitt, Casey in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats R · 424 PA

Ranked comps for Schmitt, Casey

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA 0.76 Whiff rateBat speedIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 680 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateSwing lengthOppo rate Sprint speed +1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0zWalk rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 708 PA 0.68 Swing lengthMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact In-zone contact -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 703 PA 0.59 Sprint speedPull rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate +2.5zIn-zone contact -1.2zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 625 PA 0.55 Whiff rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact Walk rate +1.9zBarrel rate -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA 0.49 Chase rateSprint speedOppo rate Ground-ball rate +1.9zBarrel rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 624 PA 0.49 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +2.3zSweet-spot rate -1.8zWalk rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 480 PA 0.48 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Max exit velocity +1.8zWalk rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.45 Chase rateAvg exit velocityBat speed Walk rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 712 PA 0.45 Whiff rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Walk rate +2.3zSprint speed -1.7zIn-zone contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA 0.44 Chase rateBat speedSwing length Barrel rate -1.8zPull rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 491 PA 0.43 Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate Walk rate +2.5zChase rate -2.3zStrikeout rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.