The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Raley, Luke in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats L · 309 PA
Ranked comps for Raley, Luke
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Caissie, Owen MIA · L · 315 PA | 0.60 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateBat speed | Pull rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 509 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zIsolated power +1.3zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 579 PA | 0.47 | Hard-hit rateChase rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.4zOppo rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 425 PA | 0.45 | Strikeout rateBat speedGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 376 PA | 0.45 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateChase rate | In-zone contact +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.9zWhiff rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA | 0.43 | Hard-hit rateSwing lengthBarrel rate | In-zone contact +2.0zWhiff rate -2.0zStrikeout rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA | 0.42 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateHard-hit rate | Whiff rate -2.2zIn-zone contact +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA | 0.40 | Ground-ball rateSwing lengthOppo rate | Walk rate +2.2zIn-zone contact +1.8zWhiff rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA | 0.40 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.9zWalk rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.40 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerPull rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zSprint speed -1.7zSwing length +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA | 0.39 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.2zxwOBA on contact -1.6zIsolated power -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 564 PA | 0.38 | Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.0zOppo rate -1.7zSwing length +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.