The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bleday, JJ in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats L · 463 PA

Ranked comps for Bleday, JJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA 0.72 Barrel rateChase rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 613 PA 0.70 Bat speedMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate Swing length +1.2zBarrel rate +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 491 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactOppo rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.6zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 543 PA 0.58 Bat speedChase rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 491 PA 0.58 Barrel rateOppo rateSwing length Ground-ball rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.54 Pull ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.6zWhiff rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 600 PA 0.53 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Oppo rate +2.3zPull rate -1.4zChase rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 621 PA 0.52 Whiff rateBat speedAvg exit velocity Chase rate +1.9zSprint speed +1.5zIsolated power +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA 0.52 Fly-ball rateSwing lengthIn-zone contact Oppo rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 594 PA 0.50 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Ground-ball rate +2.3zChase rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 584 PA 0.50 Whiff rateFly-ball rateBat speed Ground-ball rate +2.0zxwOBA on contact +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA 0.48 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactWhiff rate Ground-ball rate +1.7zHard-hit rate +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.