The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bleday, JJ in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats L · 553 PA

Ranked comps for Bleday, JJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 758 PA 0.70 Isolated powerBat speedMax exit velocity Swing length +1.3zWhiff rate -1.1zBarrel rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 642 PA 0.67 Avg exit velocityWalk rateBat speed Pull rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 603 PA 0.67 Oppo rateFly-ball rateSprint speed Ground-ball rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zBarrel rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 634 PA 0.63 Bat speedIsolated powerHard-hit rate Strikeout rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 519 PA 0.59 Barrel rateWalk rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate +1.4zWhiff rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 418 PA 0.58 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocityBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.5zIsolated power -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.56 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactBat speed Sweet-spot rate -2.0zOppo rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Greene, Riley DET · L · 615 PA 0.56 Fly-ball rateSwing lengthSweet-spot rate xwOBA on contact +1.6zPull rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.54 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactChase rate In-zone contact +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.6zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.53 Fly-ball ratePull rateIsolated power Swing length +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA 0.53 Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate +2.0zSwing length +1.3zWhiff rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 703 PA 0.52 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactSwing length Oppo rate +2.3zPull rate -1.8zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.