The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, J.P. in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 381 PA

Ranked comps for Crawford, J.P.

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 362 PA 0.70 Bat speedxwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.2zChase rate +0.9z
02 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 375 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityBat speedBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zWalk rate -1.0zChase rate +0.9z
03 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 334 PA 0.65 Oppo rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate Walk rate -1.7zChase rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.0z
04 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 356 PA 0.63 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Walk rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z
05 Martin, Austin MIN · R · 348 PA 0.61 Walk rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Swing length -1.7zSprint speed +1.3zBat speed -1.2z
06 Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 474 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Walk rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.6zSwing length -1.4z
07 Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 301 PA 0.60 Barrel rateIsolated powerSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +2.0zWhiff rate +1.5zChase rate +1.0z
08 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA 0.59 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate Walk rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z
09 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA 0.59 Strikeout rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Sprint speed +1.8zWalk rate -1.3zPull rate -1.3z
10 Julien, Edouard COL · L · 299 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateBat speedPull rate Hard-hit rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1z
11 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA 0.58 Pull rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z
12 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 314 PA 0.58 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.