The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, J.P. in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats L · 381 PA
Ranked comps for Crawford, J.P.
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 362 PA | 0.70 | Bat speedxwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Walk rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.2zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 375 PA | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityBat speedBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zWalk rate -1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 334 PA | 0.65 | Oppo rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.7zChase rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 356 PA | 0.63 | Hard-hit rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Martin, Austin MIN · R · 348 PA | 0.61 | Walk rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate | Swing length -1.7zSprint speed +1.3zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 474 PA | 0.61 | Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.6zSwing length -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 301 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed +2.0zWhiff rate +1.5zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA | 0.59 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate | Walk rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA | 0.59 | Strikeout rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed +1.8zWalk rate -1.3zPull rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Julien, Edouard COL · L · 299 PA | 0.59 | Fly-ball rateBat speedPull rate | Hard-hit rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA | 0.58 | Pull rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Max exit velocity +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 314 PA | 0.58 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactSwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.