The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bogaerts, Xander in signal, the comp in amber.
SD · bats R · 535 PA
Ranked comps for Bogaerts, Xander
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA | 0.79 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Chase rate +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.8zGround-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA | 0.68 | Sprint speedMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Isolated power +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.67 | In-zone contactSwing lengthBarrel rate | Bat speed +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 450 PA | 0.66 | Barrel rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 441 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedMax exit velocity | Strikeout rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.0zxwOBA on contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 444 PA | 0.65 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate -1.7zBat speed -1.1zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.63 | Sprint speedSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate | Chase rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 464 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Ground-ball rate -2.1zSwing length -1.6zIn-zone contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA | 0.62 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactPull rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 316 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityOppo rate | In-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 315 PA | 0.60 | Max exit velocityChase rateFly-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.8zPull rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 431 PA | 0.60 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Isolated power +1.7zChase rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.