The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ewing, A.J. in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats L · 396 PA

Ranked comps for Ewing, A.J.

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 555 PA 0.83 Avg exit velocityChase rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +0.8zStrikeout rate -0.8zSprint speed -0.7z
02 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 587 PA 0.76 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact Isolated power +1.3zWalk rate +1.1zOppo rate +0.7z
03 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 431 PA 0.63 Barrel rateChase rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate -1.6zSwing length +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.3z
04 Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 301 PA 0.62 Ground-ball rateIsolated powerChase rate Max exit velocity -1.7zSwing length +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.0z
05 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 508 PA 0.61 Barrel rateOppo rateFly-ball rate Chase rate +1.6zSwing length +1.6zIsolated power +1.4z
06 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 387 PA 0.60 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate -1.3zPull rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z
07 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 444 PA 0.59 Chase rateWhiff rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2z
08 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 443 PA 0.59 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.2z
09 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 464 PA 0.57 Isolated powerMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2z
10 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 620 PA 0.57 Sweet-spot rateOppo rateFly-ball rate Walk rate +1.4zSwing length +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2z
11 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA 0.57 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.5zSwing length +1.3z
12 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA 0.56 Walk rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Swing length +2.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.