Mithrandir Metrics
AZ National League West Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League West

Arizona Diamondbacks

82.3-79.7 with P10-P90 wins 73-92. 81.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
82.3-79.7
Live pace
86.6
Delta
+4.3
Record 31-27 Run diff 8 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason82.0
Current pace86.6
Rolling p5084.3
Observed weight49%
Rolling wins
73.3 78.5 84.3 90.0 95.2
MOVE +2.3 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.36
October path

Projection odds

Division13.1%
Playoffs40.8%
Pennant4.8%
World Series2.1%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.262
Rotation FIP4.28
Bullpen FIP4.36
Run diff12.5
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CMoreno, Gabriel4002.39
1BSmith, Pavin373-0.27
2BMarte, Ketel5497.71
SSPerdomo, Geraldo6113.96
3BArenado, Nolan492-0.71
LFLawlar, Jordan242-1.42
CFBarrosa, Jorge240-0.63
RFCarroll, Corbin6058.32
DHVargas, Ildemaro302-0.59