Mithrandir Metrics
TOR American League East Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

Toronto Blue Jays

83.2-78.8 with P10-P90 wins 74-93. 81.4 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.2-78.8
Live pace
79.0
Delta
-4.2
Record 79-83 Run diff -46 Generated 2026-10-15T11:48:51.812501+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace79.0
Rolling p5080.1
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
71.4 75.5 80.1 84.7 88.8
MOVE -2.9 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.37
October path

Projection odds

Division9.2%
Playoffs46.1%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.6%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.271
Rotation FIP4.33
Bullpen FIP4.37
Run diff27.6
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-10-15.

SlotPlayerPAValue
Pitching staff

Rotation

Pitching staff

Bullpen

Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Barger, AddisonHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Santander, AnthonyHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
García, YimiPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day