Mithrandir Metrics
TOR American League East Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / American League / American League East

Toronto Blue Jays

83.2-78.8 with P10-P90 wins 74-93. 81.4 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
83.2-78.8
Live pace
78.3
Delta
-4.9
Record 29-31 Run diff -7 Generated 2026-06-01T11:40:34.984389+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason83.0
Current pace78.3
Rolling p5080.7
Observed weight50%
Rolling wins
70.2 75.1 80.7 86.2 91.1
MOVE -2.3 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.37
October path

Projection odds

Division9.2%
Playoffs46.1%
Pennant5.7%
World Series2.6%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.271
Rotation FIP4.33
Bullpen FIP4.37
Run diff27.6
Depth chart

Projected lineup

SlotPlayerPAValue
CHeineman, Tyler294-1.53
1BGuerrero Jr.., Vladimir66614.72
2BClement, Ernie588-0.82
SSGiménez, Andrés502-0.17
LFClase, Jonatan264-0.62
CFVarsho, Daulton437-0.51
RFSánchez, Jesús5051.89
DHSpringer, George6054.37