Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-23 · saved artifact ROWS 33 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs AZ	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.237count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
02	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs TOR	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.224count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
03	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs AZ	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+85.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.718count	85.5%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
04	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs TOR	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.2%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+80.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.845count	80.2%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
05	Gabriel MorenoAZ	AZ vs STL	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+82.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.806count	82.2%selected	3.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
06	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 13.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.7%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+86.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.686count	86.7%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
07	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs SD	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+76.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.926count	76.9%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
08	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs TOR	P 15.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+84.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.72count	84.9%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
09	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.8%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+85.81%	1+ Hitline	0.695count	85.8%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
10	Byron BuxtonMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+80.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.828count	80.8%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
11	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs AZ	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+83.83%	2+ Hitsline	0.765count	83.8%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
12	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs AZ	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+72.41%	2+ Hitsline	1.033count	72.4%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
13	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs TOR	P 23.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.8%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+76.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.927count	76.8%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
14	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs SD	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.2%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+74.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.99count	74.2%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
15	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+85.33%	1+ Hitline	0.708count	85.3%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
16	Jake CronenworthSD	SD vs ATL	P 11.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.4%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+88.42%	1+ Hitline	0.619count	88.4%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
17	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs ATL	P 23.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+76.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.937count	76.3%selected	4.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs SD	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+73.77%	2+ Hitsline	1.001count	73.8%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
19	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 19.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.3%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+80.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.842count	80.3%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
20	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs TOR	P 32.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.4%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+67.57%	1+ Hitline	1.145count	32.4%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
21	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs SD	P 25.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.3%Over prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+74.69%	1+ Hitline	0.979count	25.3%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
22	Corbin CarrollAZ	AZ vs STL	P 32.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.4%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+67.57%	1+ Hitline	1.148count	32.4%selected	4.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
23	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs ATL	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.8%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+81.82%	2+ Hitsline	0.803count	81.8%selected	3.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
24	Geraldo PerdomoAZ	AZ vs STL	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.9%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.05%	1+ Hitline	1.089count	29.9%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
25	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs ATL	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+78.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.888count	78.5%selected	4.09role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
26	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs SD	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	81.1%no-vig	+82.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.777count	82.8%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
27	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 21.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.7%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+78.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.882count	78.7%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
28	Ketel MarteAZ	AZ vs STL	P 34.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	65.6%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+65.56%	2+ Hitsline	1.196count	65.6%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
29	Nolan ArenadoAZ	AZ vs STL	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+76.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.945count	76.1%selected	3.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
30	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs ATL	P 22.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.2%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+77.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.914count	77.2%selected	4.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
31	Kyle ManzardoCLE	CLE vs MIN	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	83.3%no-vig	+84.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.737count	84.3%selected	3.83role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
32	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs MIN	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+73.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.999count	73.9%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
33	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs SD	P 28.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.3%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.72%	1+ Hitline	1.049count	28.3%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books