Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-04 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | IN | TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3 |
21.1%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +8.4pp |
P
19.2
F
21.1
V
15.1
|
6.0pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2 |
21.1%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +8.0pp |
P
24.6
F
21.1
V
15.1
|
9.5pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +7.2pp |
P
10.9
F
14.9
V
13.7
|
4.0pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 04 | Lineup pending | AZ vs MILBrandon Woodruff · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 9.3%market | +7.0pp |
P
15.2
F
16.3
V
12.7
|
3.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 1 |
15.6%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +6.9pp |
P
13.8
F
15.6
V
13.8
|
1.8pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 2 |
21.1%Fangorn | 14.2%market | +6.9pp |
P
19.4
F
21.1
V
16.5
|
4.6pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Brice Turang
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 10.0%market | +6.3pp |
P
15.8
F
16.3
V
13.3
|
3.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 7 |
13.7%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +6.0pp |
P
10.5
F
13.7
V
11.5
|
3.2pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs CWSSean Burke · slot 2 |
14.5%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +5.8pp |
P
10.5
F
14.5
V
13.8
|
4.0pp | 1.008xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6 |
16.6%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +5.7pp |
P
21.3
F
16.6
V
14.3
|
7.0pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 6 |
21.1%Fangorn | 15.5%market | +5.6pp |
P
19.3
F
21.1
V
14.9
|
6.2pp | 1.218xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 10.1%market | +5.4pp |
P
14.8
F
15.5
V
13.3
|
2.2pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 7 |
13.6%Fangorn | 8.5%market | +5.1pp |
P
9.0
F
13.6
V
10.9
|
4.5pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Willi Castro
COL
IN
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 9.9%market | +5.0pp |
P
13.2
F
14.9
V
14.0
|
1.7pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 875 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 2 |
21.1%Fangorn | 16.4%market | +4.7pp |
P
21.8
F
21.1
V
16.1
|
5.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6 |
15.6%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +4.6pp |
P
12.0
F
15.6
V
12.3
|
3.6pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 12.1%market | +4.5pp |
P
18.9
F
16.6
V
11.5
|
7.4pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 695 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 6 |
14.9%Fangorn | 10.5%market | +4.4pp |
P
15.3
F
14.9
V
12.7
|
2.6pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 19 | Lineup pending | SD vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 7 |
13.6%Fangorn | 9.6%market | +4.0pp |
P
9.6
F
13.6
V
10.5
|
4.0pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5 |
14.5%Fangorn | 10.7%market | +3.9pp |
P
9.6
F
14.5
V
12.6
|
5.0pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 21 | Lineup pending | MIL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +3.8pp |
P
15.4
F
16.3
V
15.2
|
1.1pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +3.6pp |
P
19.5
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
4.0pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 2 |
16.3%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +3.6pp |
P
18.5
F
16.3
V
15.1
|
3.4pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +3.5pp |
P
21.3
F
16.6
V
14.8
|
6.5pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5 |
15.5%Fangorn | 12.3%market | +3.2pp |
P
13.5
F
15.5
V
15.1
|
2.0pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +3.0pp |
P
14.0
F
14.9
V
17.1
|
3.1pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +2.8pp |
P
19.3
F
16.3
V
16.4
|
3.0pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 28 | IN | CLE vs CWSSean Burke · slot 6 |
13.3%Fangorn | 10.6%market | +2.6pp |
P
13.3
F
13.3
V
13.2
|
0.1pp | 1.008xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 13.7%market | +2.6pp |
P
18.1
F
16.3
V
15.1
|
3.0pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Brenton Doyle
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +2.2pp |
P
15.5
F
14.9
V
15.4
|
0.5pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 14.1%market | +2.1pp |
P
13.8
F
16.3
V
16.4
|
2.6pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
IN
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 12.9%market | +2.0pp |
P
17.0
F
14.9
V
15.8
|
2.0pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 645 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.0%market | +1.6pp |
P
22.2
F
16.6
V
15.7
|
6.5pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +1.5pp |
P
16.0
F
14.9
V
19.5
|
4.6pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 35 | IN | TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 13.6%market | +1.3pp |
P
15.2
F
14.9
V
15.7
|
0.7pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5 |
14.5%Fangorn | 13.3%market | +1.3pp |
P
11.0
F
14.5
V
16.3
|
5.4pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 15.0%market | +1.3pp |
P
18.9
F
16.3
V
16.4
|
2.6pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 38 | Lineup pending | AZ vs MILBrandon Woodruff · slot 5 |
14.5%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +1.0pp |
P
12.6
F
14.5
V
14.1
|
1.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 610 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.6%market | +1.0pp |
P
22.6
F
16.6
V
17.0
|
5.9pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Agustín Ramírez
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 14.0%market | +0.9pp |
P
15.2
F
14.9
V
15.0
|
0.3pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 14.1%market | +0.8pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
15.2
|
0.8pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 6 |
13.6%Fangorn | 12.8%market | +0.7pp |
P
15.3
F
13.6
V
13.5
|
1.8pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +0.5pp |
P
20.8
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
5.2pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 44 | IN | DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +0.5pp |
P
20.5
F
16.6
V
17.1
|
3.8pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 5 |
15.6%Fangorn | 16.1%market | -0.5pp |
P
17.8
F
15.6
V
15.4
|
2.4pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 520 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 4 |
17.5%Fangorn | 18.5%market | -1.0pp |
P
22.6
F
17.5
V
17.1
|
5.6pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 440 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -1.1pp |
P
24.4
F
16.6
V
16.6
|
7.8pp | 1.218xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -1.4pp |
P
20.8
F
16.3
V
15.8
|
5.0pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 49 | IN | NYY vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -2.6pp |
P
21.8
F
16.6
V
17.5
|
5.2pp | 1.218xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -2.6pp |
P
14.8
F
14.9
V
19.7
|
4.9pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -3.4pp |
P
17.9
F
14.9
V
17.7
|
3.0pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 52 | IN | SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 2 |
16.3%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -4.5pp |
P
21.6
F
16.3
V
16.5
|
5.3pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 1 |
13.7%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +6.0pp |
P
9.9
F
13.7
V
14.2
|
4.3pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 6 |
14.9%Fangorn | 9.1%market | +5.8pp |
P
11.4
F
14.9
V
11.7
|
3.5pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 1 |
12.8%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.1pp |
P
6.2
F
12.8
V
13.5
|
7.3pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 14.9%market | +1.7pp |
P
17.5
F
16.6
V
15.3
|
2.1pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 545 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TORShane Bieber · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 13.8%market | +1.1pp |
P
14.5
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
0.6pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 595 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.9%market | +0.7pp |
P
16.5
F
16.6
V
15.3
|
1.3pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 5 |
15.5%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -0.5pp |
P
13.7
F
15.5
V
15.7
|
2.0pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Zach Neto
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.1%market | -0.8pp |
P
16.8
F
16.3
V
14.2
|
2.6pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 485 avg 3 books |
| 61 | Lineup pending | SD vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -0.9pp |
P
16.1
F
16.3
V
13.9
|
2.4pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -1.1pp |
P
11.1
F
14.9
V
14.3
|
3.8pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 63 | IN | TOR vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2 |
15.6%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -1.3pp |
P
13.7
F
15.6
V
15.7
|
1.9pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -1.4pp |
P
19.5
F
16.6
V
17.4
|
2.9pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 65 | Lineup pending | AZ vs MILBrandon Woodruff · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -1.7pp |
P
20.6
F
16.6
V
15.0
|
5.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs CWSSean Burke · slot 3 |
15.6%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -1.9pp |
P
17.6
F
15.6
V
15.8
|
2.0pp | 1.008xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TORShane Bieber · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -2.0pp |
P
14.2
F
14.9
V
15.8
|
1.6pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 68 | IN | KC vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -2.1pp |
P
18.6
F
16.3
V
17.9
|
2.3pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3 |
15.6%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -2.1pp |
P
13.9
F
15.6
V
16.7
|
2.8pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 70 | Lineup pending | KC vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 18.7%market | -2.4pp |
P
17.4
F
16.3
V
18.1
|
1.8pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 71 | Lineup pending | SD vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3 |
13.6%Fangorn | 16.3%market | -2.7pp |
P
15.3
F
13.6
V
14.1
|
1.8pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 515 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 4 |
15.5%Fangorn | 18.2%market | -2.7pp |
P
16.9
F
15.5
V
16.1
|
1.4pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 450 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 19.1%market | -2.8pp |
P
18.6
F
16.3
V
16.6
|
2.3pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 425 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 19.4%market | -2.8pp |
P
20.4
F
16.6
V
16.5
|
3.9pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -2.8pp |
P
15.3
F
14.9
V
15.7
|
0.7pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4 |
14.6%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -2.9pp |
P
12.3
F
14.6
V
16.1
|
3.7pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 2 |
16.3%Fangorn | 19.4%market | -3.1pp |
P
19.5
F
16.3
V
14.9
|
4.7pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 78 | Lineup pending | TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1 |
4.8%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -3.2pp |
P
2.5
F
4.8
V
10.2
|
7.7pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2 |
16.3%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -3.3pp |
P
18.2
F
16.3
V
15.9
|
2.3pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Mark Vientos
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 6 |
13.6%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -3.4pp |
P
12.6
F
13.6
V
13.3
|
1.0pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 81 | Lineup pending | LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -3.4pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
16.2
|
1.3pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 3 |
13.7%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -3.5pp |
P
10.7
F
13.7
V
14.8
|
4.2pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 20.2%market | -3.6pp |
P
17.1
F
16.6
V
16.5
|
0.6pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 20.4%market | -3.8pp |
P
22.5
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
6.9pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 390 avg 3 books |
| 85 | Lineup pending | SD vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
0.3pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Jo Adell
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4 |
15.6%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -4.0pp |
P
13.8
F
15.6
V
14.2
|
1.8pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Max Muncy
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 6 |
14.9%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -4.3pp |
P
13.8
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
1.1pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Jake Burger
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -4.3pp |
P
12.4
F
14.9
V
16.2
|
3.7pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs MILBrandon Woodruff · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -4.4pp |
P
18.3
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
2.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 2 |
16.3%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -4.5pp |
P
16.2
F
16.3
V
16.5
|
0.3pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2 |
15.6%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -5.2pp |
P
18.0
F
15.6
V
19.6
|
4.0pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 92 | IN | TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -5.3pp |
P
16.8
F
16.6
V
15.7
|
1.1pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -5.6pp |
P
18.5
F
15.5
V
16.2
|
3.0pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 94 | Lineup pending | NYY vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 22.2%market | -5.6pp |
P
17.8
F
16.6
V
16.4
|
1.4pp | 1.218xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 350 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -5.9pp |
P
15.2
F
14.9
V
15.6
|
0.7pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 3 |
15.5%Fangorn | 21.7%market | -6.2pp |
P
17.2
F
15.5
V
16.4
|
1.7pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 23.3%market | -6.6pp |
P
17.2
F
16.6
V
15.4
|
1.8pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 23.0%market | -8.1pp |
P
17.9
F
14.9
V
17.9
|
3.0pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 335 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3 |
15.6%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -11.4pp |
P
16.0
F
15.6
V
15.8
|
0.4pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 100 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TORShane Bieber · slot 3 |
13.6%Fangorn | 26.3%market | -12.7pp |
P
15.3
F
13.6
V
16.4
|
2.8pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 280 avg 3 books |
| 101 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 29.8%market | -13.2pp |
P
18.1
F
16.6
V
19.3
|
2.7pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 235 avg 3 books |
| 102 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 1 |
13.7%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -13.3pp |
P
16.5
F
13.7
V
16.0
|
2.8pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
Data context
778 sample flagsStatus1671roster/transaction rows
Lineups189confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.