Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-04 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-02
Palantir
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
18081 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12423 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.004
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1 |
13.7%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.7pp |
P
10.9
F
14.9
V
13.7
|
4.0pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5 |
19.5%Valinor | 13.5%market | +5.5pp |
P
16.0
F
14.9
V
19.5
|
4.6pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs CWSSean Burke · slot 2 |
13.8%Valinor | 8.7%market | +4.8pp |
P
10.5
F
14.5
V
13.8
|
4.0pp | 1.008xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5 |
17.1%Valinor | 11.9%market | +4.8pp |
P
14.0
F
14.9
V
17.1
|
3.1pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 1 |
13.8%Valinor | 8.7%market | +4.8pp |
P
13.8
F
15.6
V
13.8
|
1.8pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Willi Castro
COL
IN
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 1 |
14.0%Valinor | 9.9%market | +3.7pp |
P
13.2
F
14.9
V
14.0
|
1.7pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 875 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 7 |
11.5%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.5pp |
P
10.5
F
13.7
V
11.5
|
3.2pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 08 | Lineup pending | AZ vs MILBrandon Woodruff · slot 3 |
12.7%Valinor | 9.3%market | +3.0pp |
P
15.2
F
16.3
V
12.7
|
3.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6 |
14.3%Valinor | 11.0%market | +3.0pp |
P
21.3
F
16.6
V
14.3
|
7.0pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Brice Turang
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 1 |
13.3%Valinor | 10.0%market | +2.9pp |
P
15.8
F
16.3
V
13.3
|
3.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 2 |
13.3%Valinor | 10.1%market | +2.8pp |
P
14.8
F
15.5
V
13.3
|
2.2pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5 |
16.3%Valinor | 13.3%market | +2.5pp |
P
11.0
F
14.5
V
16.3
|
5.4pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 5 |
16.4%Valinor | 13.5%market | +2.5pp |
P
19.3
F
16.3
V
16.4
|
3.0pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
IN
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 4 |
15.8%Valinor | 12.9%market | +2.3pp |
P
17.0
F
14.9
V
15.8
|
2.0pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 645 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5 |
15.1%Valinor | 12.3%market | +2.3pp |
P
13.5
F
15.5
V
15.1
|
2.0pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4 |
19.7%Valinor | 16.7%market | +2.3pp |
P
14.8
F
14.9
V
19.7
|
4.9pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 17 | Lineup pending | MIL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 3 |
15.2%Valinor | 12.5%market | +2.2pp |
P
15.4
F
16.3
V
15.2
|
1.1pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 18 | IN | CLE vs CWSSean Burke · slot 6 |
13.2%Valinor | 10.6%market | +2.2pp |
P
13.3
F
13.3
V
13.2
|
0.1pp | 1.008xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 7 |
10.9%Valinor | 8.5%market | +2.1pp |
P
9.0
F
13.6
V
10.9
|
4.5pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Brenton Doyle
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 5 |
15.4%Valinor | 12.7%market | +2.1pp |
P
15.5
F
14.9
V
15.4
|
0.5pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Ryan O'Hearn
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 3 |
15.6%Valinor | 13.0%market | +2.1pp |
P
19.5
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
4.0pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 6 |
12.7%Valinor | 10.5%market | +1.8pp |
P
15.3
F
14.9
V
12.7
|
2.6pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 2 |
15.1%Valinor | 12.7%market | +1.8pp |
P
18.5
F
16.3
V
15.1
|
3.4pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 24 | IN | TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3 |
15.1%Valinor | 12.7%market | +1.8pp |
P
19.2
F
21.1
V
15.1
|
6.0pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5 |
16.4%Valinor | 14.1%market | +1.7pp |
P
13.8
F
16.3
V
16.4
|
2.6pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 2 |
16.5%Valinor | 14.2%market | +1.7pp |
P
19.4
F
21.1
V
16.5
|
4.6pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5 |
12.6%Valinor | 10.7%market | +1.5pp |
P
9.6
F
14.5
V
12.6
|
5.0pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2 |
15.1%Valinor | 13.1%market | +1.5pp |
P
24.6
F
21.1
V
15.1
|
9.5pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 29 | IN | TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5 |
15.7%Valinor | 13.6%market | +1.5pp |
P
15.2
F
14.9
V
15.7
|
0.7pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5 |
14.8%Valinor | 13.1%market | +1.2pp |
P
21.3
F
16.6
V
14.8
|
6.5pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6 |
12.3%Valinor | 11.0%market | +0.9pp |
P
12.0
F
15.6
V
12.3
|
3.6pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4 |
15.1%Valinor | 13.7%market | +0.8pp |
P
18.1
F
16.3
V
15.1
|
3.0pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 3 |
16.4%Valinor | 15.0%market | +0.8pp |
P
18.9
F
16.3
V
16.4
|
2.6pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3 |
17.0%Valinor | 15.6%market | +0.7pp |
P
22.6
F
16.6
V
17.0
|
5.9pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 35 | Lineup pending | SD vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 7 |
10.5%Valinor | 9.6%market | +0.5pp |
P
9.6
F
13.6
V
10.5
|
4.0pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1 |
15.2%Valinor | 14.1%market | +0.5pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
15.2
|
0.8pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Agustín Ramírez
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 4 |
15.0%Valinor | 14.0%market | +0.4pp |
P
15.2
F
14.9
V
15.0
|
0.3pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 38 | IN | DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 5 |
17.1%Valinor | 16.2%market | +0.3pp |
P
20.5
F
16.6
V
17.1
|
3.8pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 6 |
13.5%Valinor | 12.8%market | +0.1pp |
P
15.3
F
13.6
V
13.5
|
1.8pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 40 | Lineup pending | AZ vs MILBrandon Woodruff · slot 5 |
14.1%Valinor | 13.5%market | +0.1pp |
P
12.6
F
14.5
V
14.1
|
1.9pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 610 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 1 |
15.7%Valinor | 15.3%market | -0.2pp |
P
22.2
F
16.6
V
15.7
|
6.5pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1 |
17.7%Valinor | 17.7%market | -0.7pp |
P
17.9
F
14.9
V
17.7
|
3.0pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 5 |
15.4%Valinor | 15.7%market | -0.8pp |
P
17.8
F
15.6
V
15.4
|
2.4pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 2 |
16.1%Valinor | 16.7%market | -1.1pp |
P
21.8
F
21.1
V
16.1
|
5.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 3 |
11.5%Valinor | 12.7%market | -1.2pp |
P
18.9
F
16.6
V
11.5
|
7.4pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 690 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 3 |
16.6%Valinor | 17.2%market | -1.3pp |
P
24.4
F
16.6
V
16.6
|
7.8pp | 1.218xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 460 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 6 |
14.9%Valinor | 15.7%market | -1.3pp |
P
19.3
F
21.1
V
14.9
|
6.2pp | 1.218xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 2 |
15.6%Valinor | 16.5%market | -1.5pp |
P
20.8
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
5.2pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 4 |
17.1%Valinor | 18.1%market | -1.6pp |
P
22.6
F
17.5
V
17.1
|
5.6pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 50 | IN | NYY vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 5 |
17.5%Valinor | 18.6%market | -1.7pp |
P
21.8
F
16.6
V
17.5
|
5.2pp | 1.218xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4 |
15.8%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.9pp |
P
20.8
F
16.3
V
15.8
|
5.0pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 52 | IN | SF vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 2 |
16.5%Valinor | 20.3%market | -4.6pp |
P
21.6
F
16.3
V
16.5
|
5.3pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TORShane Bieber · slot 3 |
16.4%Valinor | 25.8%market | -10.3pp |
P
15.3
F
13.6
V
16.4
|
2.8pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 275 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 1 |
19.3%Valinor | 29.3%market | -11.0pp |
P
18.1
F
16.6
V
19.3
|
2.7pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 230 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 1 |
16.0%Valinor | 26.5%market | -11.4pp |
P
16.5
F
13.7
V
16.0
|
2.8pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 265 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3 |
15.8%Valinor | 26.5%market | -11.6pp |
P
16.0
F
15.6
V
15.8
|
0.4pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 265 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +6.2pp |
P
9.9
F
13.7
V
14.2
|
4.3pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs ATHAaron Civale · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.5pp |
P
6.2
F
12.8
V
13.5
|
7.3pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 6 |
11.7%Valinor | 9.1%market | +2.3pp |
P
11.4
F
14.9
V
11.7
|
3.5pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 60 | Lineup pending | TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1 |
10.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.2pp |
P
2.5
F
4.8
V
10.2
|
7.7pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TORShane Bieber · slot 5 |
15.1%Valinor | 13.8%market | +0.7pp |
P
14.5
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
0.6pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 595 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 4 |
15.3%Valinor | 15.1%market | -0.3pp |
P
17.5
F
16.6
V
15.3
|
2.1pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 5 |
15.7%Valinor | 15.5%market | -0.3pp |
P
13.7
F
15.5
V
15.7
|
2.0pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 64 | IN | KC vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 17.7%market | -0.5pp |
P
18.6
F
16.3
V
17.9
|
2.3pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4 |
17.4%Valinor | 17.4%market | -0.6pp |
P
19.5
F
16.6
V
17.4
|
2.9pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 66 | Lineup pending | KC vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 4 |
18.1%Valinor | 18.2%market | -0.7pp |
P
17.4
F
16.3
V
18.1
|
1.8pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3 |
16.7%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.1pp |
P
13.9
F
15.6
V
16.7
|
2.8pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TORShane Bieber · slot 4 |
15.8%Valinor | 16.4%market | -1.1pp |
P
14.2
F
14.9
V
15.8
|
1.6pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 69 | IN | TOR vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2 |
15.7%Valinor | 16.4%market | -1.3pp |
P
13.7
F
15.6
V
15.7
|
1.9pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 4 |
15.3%Valinor | 16.1%market | -1.4pp |
P
16.5
F
16.6
V
15.3
|
1.3pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 500 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2 |
19.6%Valinor | 20.3%market | -1.5pp |
P
18.0
F
15.6
V
19.6
|
4.0pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4 |
16.1%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.6pp |
P
12.3
F
14.6
V
16.1
|
3.7pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 5 |
14.3%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.7pp |
P
11.1
F
14.9
V
14.3
|
3.8pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs CWSSean Burke · slot 3 |
15.8%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.9pp |
P
17.6
F
15.6
V
15.8
|
2.0pp | 1.008xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1 |
15.7%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.1pp |
P
15.3
F
14.9
V
15.7
|
0.7pp | 0.844xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 76 | Lineup pending | SD vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3 |
14.1%Valinor | 15.7%market | -2.2pp |
P
15.3
F
13.6
V
14.1
|
1.8pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 4 |
16.1%Valinor | 17.7%market | -2.3pp |
P
16.9
F
15.5
V
16.1
|
1.4pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 78 | Lineup pending | LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 4 |
16.2%Valinor | 17.9%market | -2.3pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
16.2
|
1.3pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 3 |
14.8%Valinor | 16.8%market | -2.6pp |
P
10.7
F
13.7
V
14.8
|
4.2pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 3 |
16.6%Valinor | 18.6%market | -2.6pp |
P
18.6
F
16.3
V
16.6
|
2.3pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Zach Neto
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 16.7%market | -3.0pp |
P
16.8
F
16.3
V
14.2
|
2.6pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
|
COL vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 2 |
16.5%Valinor | 18.9%market | -3.1pp |
P
20.4
F
16.6
V
16.5
|
3.9pp | 1.057xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Jake Burger
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4 |
16.2%Valinor | 18.8%market | -3.3pp |
P
12.4
F
14.9
V
16.2
|
3.7pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 84 | Lineup pending | SD vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 1 |
13.9%Valinor | 16.7%market | -3.3pp |
P
16.1
F
16.3
V
13.9
|
2.4pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 85 | Lineup pending | AZ vs MILBrandon Woodruff · slot 1 |
15.0%Valinor | 17.9%market | -3.5pp |
P
20.6
F
16.6
V
15.0
|
5.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Mark Vientos
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 6 |
13.3%Valinor | 16.4%market | -3.6pp |
P
12.6
F
13.6
V
13.3
|
1.0pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 3 |
16.5%Valinor | 19.7%market | -3.9pp |
P
17.1
F
16.6
V
16.5
|
0.6pp | 1.150xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 390 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2 |
15.9%Valinor | 19.1%market | -3.9pp |
P
18.2
F
16.3
V
15.9
|
2.3pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 89 | Lineup pending | SD vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2 |
14.7%Valinor | 18.4%market | -4.4pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
0.3pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TBDrew Rasmussen · slot 2 |
16.5%Valinor | 20.3%market | -4.5pp |
P
16.2
F
16.3
V
16.5
|
0.3pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 2 |
14.9%Valinor | 18.9%market | -4.7pp |
P
19.5
F
16.3
V
14.9
|
4.7pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Max Muncy
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 6 |
14.5%Valinor | 18.8%market | -5.0pp |
P
13.8
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
1.1pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 4 |
15.6%Valinor | 19.9%market | -5.0pp |
P
22.5
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
6.9pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs WSHZack Littell · slot 2 |
16.2%Valinor | 20.5%market | -5.1pp |
P
18.5
F
15.5
V
16.2
|
3.0pp | 1.228xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 22.4%market | -5.3pp |
P
17.9
F
14.9
V
17.9
|
3.0pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 330 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 3 |
15.6%Valinor | 20.3%market | -5.5pp |
P
15.2
F
14.9
V
15.6
|
0.7pp | 0.992xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs BALBrandon Young · slot 3 |
16.4%Valinor | 21.2%market | -5.5pp |
P
17.2
F
15.5
V
16.4
|
1.7pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Jo Adell
LAA
Lineup pending
|
LAA vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 19.1%market | -5.6pp |
P
13.8
F
15.6
V
14.2
|
1.8pp | 0.967xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs MILBrandon Woodruff · slot 2 |
15.6%Valinor | 20.5%market | -5.7pp |
P
18.3
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
2.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 100 | Lineup pending | NYY vs MINZebby Matthews · slot 4 |
16.4%Valinor | 21.7%market | -6.1pp |
P
17.8
F
16.6
V
16.4
|
1.4pp | 1.218xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 345 avg 3 books |
| 101 | IN | TB vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4 |
15.7%Valinor | 21.5%market | -6.5pp |
P
16.8
F
16.6
V
15.7
|
1.1pp | 1.080xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 102 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs ATLChris Sale · slot 1 |
15.4%Valinor | 22.8%market | -8.1pp |
P
17.2
F
16.6
V
15.4
|
1.8pp | 1.079xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 325 avg 3 books |
Data context
778 sample flagsStatus1671roster/transaction rows
Lineups189confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.