Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-12 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
José Tena
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6 |
16.3%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +8.6pp |
P
13.6
F
16.3
V
12.3
|
4.0pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 02 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 3 |
21.1%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +8.4pp |
P
19.4
F
21.1
V
13.0
|
8.1pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 6 |
16.6%Fangorn | 9.1%market | +7.5pp |
P
16.8
F
16.6
V
10.4
|
6.3pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 04 | IN | AZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 9.3%market | +7.3pp |
P
17.2
F
16.6
V
10.8
|
6.5pp | 1.016xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1 |
21.1%Fangorn | 13.9%market | +7.2pp |
P
20.9
F
21.1
V
13.5
|
7.6pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 590 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 2 |
21.1%Fangorn | 14.2%market | +6.9pp |
P
19.6
F
21.1
V
14.2
|
6.9pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 7 |
14.9%Fangorn | 8.5%market | +6.4pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
10.3
|
4.6pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 5 |
15.6%Fangorn | 9.8%market | +5.8pp |
P
14.1
F
15.6
V
12.1
|
3.5pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 6 |
16.6%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +5.7pp |
P
19.9
F
16.6
V
12.2
|
7.7pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 11.6%market | +5.1pp |
P
19.1
F
16.6
V
12.0
|
7.1pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 735 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1 |
21.1%Fangorn | 16.3%market | +4.8pp |
P
20.6
F
21.1
V
13.6
|
7.5pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 490 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 2 |
21.1%Fangorn | 16.4%market | +4.7pp |
P
20.7
F
21.1
V
14.5
|
6.6pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 13 | IN | KC vs BALShane Baz · slot 3 |
21.1%Fangorn | 16.7%market | +4.4pp |
P
21.1
F
21.1
V
18.0
|
3.1pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 7 |
16.3%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +4.4pp |
P
15.6
F
16.3
V
9.6
|
6.7pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 705 avg 3 books |
| 15 | IN | SD vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 7 |
13.6%Fangorn | 9.6%market | +4.0pp |
P
11.5
F
13.6
V
10.6
|
2.9pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 12.4%market | +3.9pp |
P
17.6
F
16.3
V
13.0
|
4.7pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 17 | IN | CWS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +3.6pp |
P
17.6
F
16.6
V
11.2
|
6.3pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +3.5pp |
P
17.2
F
16.6
V
13.0
|
4.1pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3 |
14.5%Fangorn | 11.1%market | +3.4pp |
P
20.3
F
14.5
V
12.2
|
8.1pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 770 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 6 |
13.7%Fangorn | 10.5%market | +3.2pp |
P
11.5
F
13.7
V
10.9
|
2.8pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +3.0pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
13.8
|
1.1pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Yainer Diaz
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 7 |
16.3%Fangorn | 13.4%market | +2.9pp |
P
16.7
F
16.3
V
11.8
|
4.9pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 2 |
14.6%Fangorn | 11.7%market | +2.9pp |
P
13.8
F
14.6
V
13.6
|
1.0pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 6 |
16.3%Fangorn | 13.6%market | +2.7pp |
P
17.1
F
16.3
V
13.5
|
3.7pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 5 |
15.5%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +2.5pp |
P
14.3
F
15.5
V
14.1
|
1.4pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 14.4%market | +2.3pp |
P
20.7
F
16.6
V
14.2
|
6.4pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 14.1%market | +2.1pp |
P
14.7
F
16.3
V
14.2
|
2.1pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs BALShane Baz · slot 5 |
14.5%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +2.0pp |
P
12.7
F
14.5
V
17.2
|
4.5pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 29 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 5 |
15.6%Fangorn | 13.6%market | +2.0pp |
P
16.5
F
15.6
V
13.5
|
3.0pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 14.4%market | +1.9pp |
P
17.5
F
16.3
V
14.7
|
2.7pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.0%market | +1.6pp |
P
18.9
F
16.6
V
14.6
|
4.2pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 32 | IN | MIA vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 6 |
13.6%Fangorn | 12.0%market | +1.6pp |
P
13.4
F
13.6
V
12.3
|
1.3pp | 1.053xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 705 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 14.8%market | +1.5pp |
P
17.2
F
16.3
V
11.3
|
5.9pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 14.8%market | +1.5pp |
P
17.9
F
16.3
V
15.6
|
2.3pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLDustin May · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +1.5pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
12.8
|
2.1pp | 0.968xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.2%market | +1.4pp |
P
15.7
F
16.6
V
13.2
|
3.5pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 530 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5 |
16.3%Fangorn | 15.1%market | +1.2pp |
P
16.2
F
16.3
V
15.2
|
1.1pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 535 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Agustín Ramírez
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 4 |
15.6%Fangorn | 14.6%market | +1.0pp |
P
16.9
F
15.6
V
15.2
|
1.7pp | 1.053xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 560 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.6%market | +1.0pp |
P
20.8
F
16.6
V
14.7
|
6.1pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 40 | Lineup pending | AZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 5 |
14.5%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +1.0pp |
P
14.0
F
14.5
V
12.3
|
2.2pp | 1.016xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 610 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.6%market | +1.0pp |
P
20.8
F
16.6
V
14.7
|
6.2pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.9%market | +0.7pp |
P
16.8
F
16.6
V
14.5
|
2.4pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 15.4%market | -0.5pp |
P
15.8
F
14.9
V
12.8
|
3.0pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 550 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 3 |
16.6%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -1.1pp |
P
19.9
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
4.3pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 45 | IN | KC vs BALShane Baz · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -1.4pp |
P
18.9
F
16.3
V
18.0
|
2.6pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 46 | IN | AZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1 |
16.6%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -1.7pp |
P
19.7
F
16.6
V
13.1
|
6.6pp | 1.016xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -2.2pp |
P
19.3
F
16.6
V
15.0
|
4.3pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -2.3pp |
P
15.2
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
1.8pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1 |
15.5%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -2.9pp |
P
17.8
F
15.5
V
15.1
|
2.7pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1 |
13.6%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.9pp |
P
9.9
F
13.6
V
13.1
|
3.7pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 1 |
13.6%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.9pp |
P
8.7
F
13.6
V
13.0
|
4.9pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2 |
14.5%Fangorn | 9.4%market | +5.2pp |
P
11.7
F
14.5
V
13.5
|
2.9pp | 1.053xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 930 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 7 |
12.8%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +5.1pp |
P
9.4
F
12.8
V
10.1
|
3.3pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 1 |
13.7%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +5.0pp |
P
10.2
F
13.7
V
11.9
|
3.5pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 10.0%market | +4.9pp |
P
12.7
F
14.9
V
12.5
|
2.5pp | 0.990xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1 |
11.0%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +3.3pp |
P
6.8
F
11.0
V
12.2
|
5.4pp | 1.053xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Mike Trout
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 2 |
21.1%Fangorn | 18.3%market | +2.8pp |
P
20.0
F
21.1
V
13.3
|
7.8pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 425 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 1 |
10.4%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +2.7pp |
P
6.3
F
10.4
V
11.5
|
5.2pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 5 |
13.7%Fangorn | 11.1%market | +2.7pp |
P
10.8
F
13.7
V
11.2
|
3.0pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 775 avg 3 books |
| 60 | Lineup pending | MIL vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3 |
14.6%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +2.1pp |
P
12.3
F
14.6
V
14.1
|
2.3pp | 0.990xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 6 |
16.6%Fangorn | 15.5%market | +1.1pp |
P
16.2
F
16.6
V
14.0
|
2.6pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 1 |
11.0%Fangorn | 10.5%market | +0.5pp |
P
12.4
F
11.0
V
11.3
|
1.4pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 63 | IN | TOR vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 16.2%market | +0.5pp |
P
16.8
F
16.6
V
13.3
|
3.5pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLDustin May · slot 3 |
15.6%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -0.4pp |
P
13.1
F
15.6
V
12.4
|
3.2pp | 0.968xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -0.6pp |
P
18.6
F
16.6
V
14.7
|
3.8pp | 0.990xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -0.8pp |
P
12.8
F
14.9
V
12.0
|
2.9pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 67 | IN | SD vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -0.9pp |
P
16.2
F
16.3
V
14.0
|
2.3pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 68 | IN | DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 5 |
15.6%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -1.3pp |
P
16.1
F
15.6
V
14.7
|
1.5pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -1.4pp |
P
19.0
F
16.6
V
14.9
|
4.1pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 1 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -1.4pp |
P
18.1
F
16.3
V
13.3
|
4.8pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -1.4pp |
P
14.9
F
16.3
V
14.2
|
2.1pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 72 | IN | KC vs BALShane Baz · slot 4 |
16.3%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -1.7pp |
P
18.1
F
16.3
V
17.8
|
1.8pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 18.5%market | -1.9pp |
P
17.4
F
16.6
V
14.5
|
2.9pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 440 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLDustin May · slot 4 |
14.5%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -2.4pp |
P
12.7
F
14.5
V
13.4
|
1.8pp | 0.968xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 75 | IN | NYY vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 5 |
16.6%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -2.6pp |
P
17.9
F
16.6
V
16.4
|
1.5pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
Triple
|
TOR vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -2.6pp |
P
15.6
F
14.9
V
13.8
|
1.7pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 77 | IN | SD vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 3 |
13.6%Fangorn | 16.3%market | -2.7pp |
P
15.6
F
13.6
V
14.1
|
2.0pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 515 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -2.8pp |
P
16.9
F
14.9
V
14.2
|
2.7pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Jo Adell
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -3.0pp |
P
18.2
F
16.6
V
12.8
|
5.4pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 80 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 1 |
4.8%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -3.2pp |
P
5.0
F
4.8
V
9.2
|
4.3pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 3 |
16.3%Fangorn | 20.2%market | -3.9pp |
P
14.1
F
16.3
V
14.3
|
2.2pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 2 |
16.3%Fangorn | 20.2%market | -3.9pp |
P
16.5
F
16.3
V
14.5
|
2.0pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
2.3pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 84 | IN | SD vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.4
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
0.7pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -4.3pp |
P
13.6
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
1.3pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2 |
16.6%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -4.4pp |
P
18.1
F
16.6
V
13.6
|
4.5pp | 1.016xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 87 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -5.3pp |
P
17.7
F
16.6
V
13.5
|
4.2pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 88 | Lineup pending Triple | NYY vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 4 |
16.6%Fangorn | 22.2%market | -5.6pp |
P
15.2
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
1.5pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 350 avg 3 books |
| 89 | IN | SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -5.9pp |
P
17.4
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
2.9pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLDustin May · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 21.7%market | -6.8pp |
P
16.8
F
14.9
V
13.5
|
3.3pp | 0.968xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 23.0%market | -7.5pp |
P
17.8
F
15.5
V
15.3
|
2.6pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 335 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 22.5%market | -7.6pp |
P
16.7
F
14.9
V
15.2
|
1.8pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 345 avg 3 books |
| 93 | IN | CWS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3 |
14.5%Fangorn | 23.3%market | -8.7pp |
P
14.5
F
14.5
V
12.4
|
2.2pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 26.0%market | -11.1pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
13.3
|
1.6pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 285 avg 3 books |
Data context
779 sample flagsStatus1661roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple2cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.