Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-12 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
José Tena
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 6 |
12.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.3pp |
P
13.6
F
16.3
V
12.3
|
4.0pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs BALShane Baz · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 12.5%market | +4.2pp |
P
12.7
F
14.5
V
17.2
|
4.5pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 5 |
12.1%Valinor | 9.8%market | +1.9pp |
P
14.1
F
15.6
V
12.1
|
3.5pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 7 |
10.3%Valinor | 8.5%market | +1.5pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
10.3
|
4.6pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 2 |
13.6%Valinor | 11.7%market | +1.5pp |
P
13.8
F
14.6
V
13.6
|
1.0pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5 |
13.8%Valinor | 11.9%market | +1.5pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
13.8
|
1.1pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 07 | IN | AZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 3 |
10.8%Valinor | 9.3%market | +1.1pp |
P
17.2
F
16.6
V
10.8
|
6.5pp | 1.016xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 6 |
10.4%Valinor | 9.1%market | +1.0pp |
P
16.8
F
16.6
V
10.4
|
6.3pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 6 |
12.2%Valinor | 11.0%market | +0.9pp |
P
19.9
F
16.6
V
12.2
|
7.7pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3 |
12.2%Valinor | 11.1%market | +0.7pp |
P
20.3
F
14.5
V
12.2
|
8.1pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 770 avg 3 books |
| 11 | IN | SD vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 7 |
10.6%Valinor | 9.6%market | +0.7pp |
P
11.5
F
13.6
V
10.6
|
2.9pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 12 | IN | KC vs BALShane Baz · slot 3 |
18.0%Valinor | 16.7%market | +0.6pp |
P
21.1
F
21.1
V
18.0
|
3.1pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 5 |
14.1%Valinor | 13.0%market | +0.5pp |
P
14.3
F
15.5
V
14.1
|
1.4pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 14 | IN | KC vs BALShane Baz · slot 1 |
18.0%Valinor | 16.9%market | +0.5pp |
P
18.9
F
16.3
V
18.0
|
2.6pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4 |
15.6%Valinor | 14.8%market | +0.2pp |
P
17.9
F
16.3
V
15.6
|
2.3pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4 |
13.0%Valinor | 12.4%market | +0.1pp |
P
17.6
F
16.3
V
13.0
|
4.7pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 1 |
12.0%Valinor | 11.6%market | -0.0pp |
P
19.1
F
16.6
V
12.0
|
7.1pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 730 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Agustín Ramírez
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 4 |
15.2%Valinor | 14.8%market | -0.1pp |
P
16.9
F
15.6
V
15.2
|
1.7pp | 1.053xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 6 |
10.9%Valinor | 10.6%market | -0.1pp |
P
11.5
F
13.7
V
10.9
|
2.8pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 810 avg 3 books |
| 20 | IN | MIA vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 6 |
12.3%Valinor | 12.0%market | -0.2pp |
P
13.4
F
13.6
V
12.3
|
1.3pp | 1.053xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 700 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 4 |
14.7%Valinor | 14.5%market | -0.3pp |
P
17.5
F
16.3
V
14.7
|
2.7pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 22 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 3 |
13.0%Valinor | 13.3%market | -0.4pp |
P
19.4
F
21.1
V
13.0
|
8.1pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5 |
15.2%Valinor | 15.3%market | -0.6pp |
P
16.2
F
16.3
V
15.2
|
1.1pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.3%market | -0.6pp |
P
14.7
F
16.3
V
14.2
|
2.1pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 5 |
13.0%Valinor | 13.2%market | -0.7pp |
P
17.2
F
16.6
V
13.0
|
4.1pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 630 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.4%market | -0.7pp |
P
19.6
F
21.1
V
14.2
|
6.9pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 27 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.6%market | -0.7pp |
P
16.5
F
15.6
V
13.5
|
3.0pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.5%market | -0.8pp |
P
20.7
F
16.6
V
14.2
|
6.4pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 6 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.8%market | -0.8pp |
P
17.1
F
16.3
V
13.5
|
3.7pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 600 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.1%market | -1.1pp |
P
20.9
F
21.1
V
13.5
|
7.6pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 585 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 1 |
14.6%Valinor | 15.2%market | -1.1pp |
P
18.9
F
16.6
V
14.6
|
4.2pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 535 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLDustin May · slot 5 |
12.8%Valinor | 14.1%market | -1.3pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
12.8
|
2.1pp | 0.968xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 610 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 3 |
14.7%Valinor | 15.8%market | -1.7pp |
P
20.8
F
16.6
V
14.7
|
6.1pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 3 |
14.7%Valinor | 16.0%market | -1.9pp |
P
20.8
F
16.6
V
14.7
|
6.2pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 505 avg 3 books |
| 35 | Lineup pending | AZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 5 |
12.3%Valinor | 13.7%market | -1.9pp |
P
14.0
F
14.5
V
12.3
|
2.2pp | 1.016xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 605 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Yainer Diaz
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 7 |
11.8%Valinor | 14.0%market | -2.2pp |
P
16.7
F
16.3
V
11.8
|
4.9pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 615 avg 3 books |
| 37 | IN | CWS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 4 |
11.2%Valinor | 13.0%market | -2.3pp |
P
17.6
F
16.6
V
11.2
|
6.3pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 3 |
15.6%Valinor | 17.2%market | -2.3pp |
P
19.9
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
4.3pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 460 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 5 |
14.5%Valinor | 16.2%market | -2.3pp |
P
16.8
F
16.6
V
14.5
|
2.4pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 1 |
12.8%Valinor | 14.8%market | -2.6pp |
P
15.8
F
14.9
V
12.8
|
3.0pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 550 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 5 |
13.2%Valinor | 15.5%market | -2.8pp |
P
15.7
F
16.6
V
13.2
|
3.5pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYWill Warren · slot 2 |
14.5%Valinor | 16.8%market | -2.9pp |
P
20.7
F
21.1
V
14.5
|
6.6pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 7 |
9.6%Valinor | 12.5%market | -2.9pp |
P
15.6
F
16.3
V
9.6
|
6.7pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 700 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1 |
15.1%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.2pp |
P
17.8
F
15.5
V
15.1
|
2.7pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1 |
13.6%Valinor | 16.7%market | -3.6pp |
P
20.6
F
21.1
V
13.6
|
7.5pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 16.8%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.2
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
1.8pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 4 |
15.0%Valinor | 18.4%market | -4.1pp |
P
19.3
F
16.6
V
15.0
|
4.3pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 4 |
11.3%Valinor | 15.0%market | -4.2pp |
P
17.2
F
16.3
V
11.3
|
5.9pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 545 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 3 |
13.3%Valinor | 25.5%market | -13.0pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
13.3
|
1.6pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 280 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1 |
13.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.1pp |
P
9.9
F
13.6
V
13.1
|
3.7pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 1 |
13.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.0pp |
P
8.7
F
13.6
V
13.0
|
4.9pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1 |
12.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.2pp |
P
6.8
F
11.0
V
12.2
|
5.4pp | 1.053xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 9.4%market | +3.8pp |
P
11.7
F
14.5
V
13.5
|
2.9pp | 1.053xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 930 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 1 |
11.5%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.5pp |
P
6.3
F
10.4
V
11.5
|
5.2pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 1 |
11.9%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.9pp |
P
10.2
F
13.7
V
11.9
|
3.5pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
12.5%Valinor | 10.0%market | +2.1pp |
P
12.7
F
14.9
V
12.5
|
2.5pp | 0.990xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 7 |
10.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.1pp |
P
9.4
F
12.8
V
10.1
|
3.3pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 58 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 1 |
9.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.2pp |
P
5.0
F
4.8
V
9.2
|
4.3pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 59 | Lineup pending | MIL vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3 |
14.1%Valinor | 12.5%market | +1.1pp |
P
12.3
F
14.6
V
14.1
|
2.3pp | 0.990xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 1 |
11.3%Valinor | 10.5%market | +0.4pp |
P
12.4
F
11.0
V
11.3
|
1.4pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 5 |
11.2%Valinor | 11.1%market | -0.3pp |
P
10.8
F
13.7
V
11.2
|
3.0pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 765 avg 3 books |
| 62 | IN | KC vs BALShane Baz · slot 4 |
17.8%Valinor | 17.5%market | -0.4pp |
P
18.1
F
16.3
V
17.8
|
1.8pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 63 | IN | SD vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 3 |
14.1%Valinor | 15.7%market | -2.1pp |
P
15.6
F
13.6
V
14.1
|
2.0pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 6 |
14.0%Valinor | 15.7%market | -2.2pp |
P
16.2
F
16.6
V
14.0
|
2.6pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 65 | IN | DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 5 |
14.7%Valinor | 16.5%market | -2.4pp |
P
16.1
F
15.6
V
14.7
|
1.5pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
14.7%Valinor | 16.7%market | -2.5pp |
P
18.6
F
16.6
V
14.7
|
3.8pp | 0.990xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 67 | IN | NYY vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 5 |
16.4%Valinor | 18.6%market | -2.8pp |
P
17.9
F
16.6
V
16.4
|
1.5pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 4 |
14.9%Valinor | 17.4%market | -3.2pp |
P
19.0
F
16.6
V
14.9
|
4.1pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 69 | IN | SD vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 1 |
14.0%Valinor | 16.7%market | -3.3pp |
P
16.2
F
16.3
V
14.0
|
2.3pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.5pp |
P
14.9
F
16.3
V
14.2
|
2.1pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.5pp |
P
16.9
F
14.9
V
14.2
|
2.7pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLDustin May · slot 4 |
13.4%Valinor | 16.4%market | -3.6pp |
P
12.7
F
14.5
V
13.4
|
1.8pp | 0.968xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 73 | IN | TOR vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 2 |
13.3%Valinor | 16.4%market | -3.7pp |
P
16.8
F
16.6
V
13.3
|
3.5pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLDustin May · slot 3 |
12.4%Valinor | 15.6%market | -3.7pp |
P
13.1
F
15.6
V
12.4
|
3.2pp | 0.968xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 5 |
12.0%Valinor | 15.2%market | -3.8pp |
P
12.8
F
14.9
V
12.0
|
2.9pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 535 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
Triple
|
TOR vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 4 |
13.8%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.9pp |
P
15.6
F
14.9
V
13.8
|
1.7pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 4 |
14.5%Valinor | 18.1%market | -4.2pp |
P
17.4
F
16.6
V
14.5
|
2.9pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 78 | IN | SD vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 2 |
14.7%Valinor | 18.4%market | -4.3pp |
P
15.4
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
0.7pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 1 |
13.3%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.4pp |
P
18.1
F
16.3
V
13.3
|
4.8pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 80 | IN | AZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1 |
13.1%Valinor | 17.9%market | -5.4pp |
P
19.7
F
16.6
V
13.1
|
6.6pp | 1.016xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 4 |
13.9%Valinor | 18.8%market | -5.5pp |
P
13.6
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
1.3pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 2 |
13.4%Valinor | 18.4%market | -5.7pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
2.3pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 2 |
14.5%Valinor | 19.5%market | -5.7pp |
P
16.5
F
16.3
V
14.5
|
2.0pp | 1.161xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 395 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 3 |
14.3%Valinor | 19.7%market | -6.1pp |
P
14.1
F
16.3
V
14.3
|
2.2pp | 0.957xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 390 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Mike Trout
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 2 |
13.3%Valinor | 18.8%market | -6.1pp |
P
20.0
F
21.1
V
13.3
|
7.8pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 86 | IN | SF vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 2 |
14.5%Valinor | 20.3%market | -6.6pp |
P
17.4
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
2.9pp | 0.944xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 87 | Lineup pending Triple | NYY vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 4 |
15.6%Valinor | 21.7%market | -6.9pp |
P
15.2
F
16.6
V
15.6
|
1.5pp | 1.104xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 345 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Jo Adell
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4 |
12.8%Valinor | 19.1%market | -7.0pp |
P
18.2
F
16.6
V
12.8
|
5.4pp | 1.179xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 3 |
15.2%Valinor | 22.0%market | -7.5pp |
P
16.7
F
14.9
V
15.2
|
1.8pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 340 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2 |
13.6%Valinor | 20.5%market | -7.7pp |
P
18.1
F
16.6
V
13.6
|
4.5pp | 1.016xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2 |
15.3%Valinor | 22.4%market | -8.0pp |
P
17.8
F
15.5
V
15.3
|
2.6pp | 1.108xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 330 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLDustin May · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 21.2%market | -8.5pp |
P
16.8
F
14.9
V
13.5
|
3.3pp | 0.968xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 93 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.7pp |
P
17.7
F
16.6
V
13.5
|
4.2pp | 1.094xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 94 | IN | CWS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3 |
12.4%Valinor | 22.7%market | -11.2pp |
P
14.5
F
14.5
V
12.4
|
2.2pp | 0.997xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 325 avg 3 books |
Data context
779 sample flagsStatus1661roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple2cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.