Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-07-25 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
88
Matched
315
Lineups
270
HR BOARD 2026-07-25 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3
 22.3%Fangorn 12.7%market +9.5pp
P 16.2
F 22.3
V 12.4
9.8pp 1.067xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
02
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2
 22.3%Fangorn 14.2%market +8.0pp
P 16.3
F 22.3
V 14.4
7.8pp 1.067xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
03
Nathan Lukes TOR
IN
TOR vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 6
 15.5%Fangorn 9.1%market +6.4pp
P 14.4
F 15.5
V 9.0
6.5pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
04
Christian Yelich MIL
IN
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 2
 22.3%Fangorn 16.4%market +5.8pp
P 17.4
F 22.3
V 13.8
8.4pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
05
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
IN
KC vs DETCasey Mize · slot 3
 22.3%Fangorn 16.7%market +5.5pp
P 17.7
F 22.3
V 20.5
4.5pp 1.091xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
06
Brice Turang MIL
IN
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 1
 14.9%Fangorn 10.0%market +4.9pp
P 14.1
F 14.9
V 10.1
4.8pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
07
Evan Carter TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 6
 15.5%Fangorn 11.0%market +4.6pp
P 17.7
F 15.5
V 10.2
7.5pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
08
Jeremy Peña HOU
IN
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 11.2%market +4.4pp
P 15.2
F 15.5
V 11.4
4.2pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
09
Jakob Marsee MIA
IN
MIA vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2
 13.6%Fangorn 10.1%market +3.5pp
P 14.8
F 13.6
V 13.7
1.3pp 1.115xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 855 avg 3 books
10
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2
 15.5%Fangorn 12.5%market +3.0pp
P 16.6
F 15.5
V 16.6
1.1pp 0.988xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
11
Zach McKinstry DET
IN
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1
 11.6%Fangorn 8.7%market +2.9pp
P 11.6
F 11.6
V 10.3
1.3pp 1.091xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
12
Steven Kwan CLE
IN
CLE vs TBNick Martinez · slot 2
 11.4%Fangorn 8.7%market +2.7pp
P 11.3
F 11.4
V 11.8
0.5pp 1.067xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
13
Jake Cronenworth SD
IN
SD vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 7
 12.2%Fangorn 9.6%market +2.6pp
P 13.9
F 12.2
V 10.2
3.7pp 1.115xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform DraftKings 905 avg 3 books
14
Andrew Benintendi CWS
IN
CWS vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4
 15.5%Fangorn 13.0%market +2.5pp
P 15.1
F 15.5
V 11.4
4.2pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
15
Alec Bohm PHI
IN
PHI vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 11.1%market +2.3pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 10.9
2.8pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 775 avg 3 books
16
Alec Burleson STL
IN
STL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3
 15.5%Fangorn 13.3%market +2.3pp
P 15.1
F 15.5
V 17.0
1.9pp 0.988xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
17
Randy Arozarena SEA
IN
SEA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5
 15.5%Fangorn 13.8%market +1.7pp
P 17.0
F 15.5
V 13.2
3.9pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
18
Jarren Duran BOS
IN
BOS vs TORDylan Cease · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 11.8%market +1.6pp
P 15.3
F 13.4
V 10.6
4.7pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
19
Mike Yastrzemski ATL
IN
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 6
 14.9%Fangorn 13.5%market +1.5pp
P 14.8
F 14.9
V 11.5
3.4pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
20
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 3
 17.0%Fangorn 15.6%market +1.3pp
P 18.3
F 17.0
V 14.1
4.2pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 515 avg 3 books
21
Wyatt Langford TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 14.4%market +1.2pp
P 18.2
F 15.5
V 13.5
4.7pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
22
Colt Keith DET
IN
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6
 11.6%Fangorn 10.5%market +1.1pp
P 12.8
F 11.6
V 9.1
3.6pp 1.091xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
23
William Contreras MIL
IN
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 12.5%market +0.9pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 12.6
1.1pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
24
Joc Pederson TEX
IN
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 5
 14.9%Fangorn 14.1%market +0.8pp
P 13.8
F 14.9
V 13.4
1.5pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
25
Elly De La Cruz CIN
IN
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 15.0%market +0.5pp
P 16.0
F 15.5
V 12.4
3.6pp 0.988xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
26
Trea Turner PHI
IN
PHI vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 1
 14.9%Fangorn 15.4%market -0.5pp
P 16.5
F 14.9
V 14.0
2.5pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
27
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 14.1%market -0.7pp
P 15.2
F 13.4
V 15.2
1.8pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
28
Jose Altuve HOU
IN
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 3
 14.9%Fangorn 15.8%market -0.8pp
P 16.3
F 14.9
V 15.5
1.4pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
29
Tj Friedl CIN
IN
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 2
 12.2%Fangorn 13.3%market -1.1pp
P 13.3
F 12.2
V 11.7
1.6pp 0.988xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
30
Josh Naylor SEA
IN
SEA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4
 15.5%Fangorn 17.0%market -1.4pp
P 16.9
F 15.5
V 13.8
3.1pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
31
Lane Thomas KC
IN
KC vs DETCasey Mize · slot 5
 11.4%Fangorn 13.0%market -1.6pp
P 11.7
F 11.4
V 20.0
8.5pp 1.091xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
32
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
IN
SD vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 17.2%market -1.7pp
P 16.8
F 15.5
V 16.1
1.3pp 1.115xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
33
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5
 12.2%Fangorn 14.1%market -1.9pp
P 14.4
F 12.2
V 15.1
2.9pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
34
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5
 12.2%Fangorn 14.2%market -2.0pp
P 14.1
F 12.2
V 12.8
1.9pp 1.067xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
35
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 15.5%market -2.1pp
P 14.8
F 13.4
V 15.2
1.8pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 545 avg 3 books
36
Spencer Steer CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 4
 12.2%Fangorn 14.4%market -2.2pp
P 14.1
F 12.2
V 11.7
2.3pp 0.988xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 595 avg 3 books
37
Julio Rodríguez SEA
IN
SEA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 18.0%market -2.5pp
P 17.6
F 15.5
V 13.7
3.9pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
38
Jackson Merrill SD
IN
SD vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 3
 11.6%Fangorn 16.3%market -4.7pp
P 16.3
F 11.6
V 16.2
4.7pp 1.115xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
39
Jj Bleday CIN
IN
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 6
 7.4%Fangorn 13.4%market -6.0pp
P 12.6
F 7.4
V 9.5
5.2pp 0.988xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 645 avg 3 books
40
Gunnar Henderson BAL
IN
BAL vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1
 12.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -6.1pp
P 15.3
F 12.2
V 15.6
3.4pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
41
Edgar Quero CWS
IN
CWS vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 6
 9.6%Fangorn 7.7%market +1.9pp
P 9.3
F 9.6
V 8.5
1.1pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
42
Bo Bichette NYM
IN
NYM vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 11.7%market +1.7pp
P 13.4
F 13.4
V 9.5
3.9pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
43
Xavier Edwards MIA
IN
MIA vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
 8.6%Fangorn 7.7%market +0.9pp
P 8.9
F 8.6
V 10.6
2.0pp 1.115xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
44
Jake Mangum PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1
 8.6%Fangorn 7.7%market +0.9pp
P 9.7
F 8.6
V 11.6
3.0pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
45
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 5
 12.2%Fangorn 12.8%market -0.6pp
P 11.8
F 12.2
V 11.4
0.8pp 0.988xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 680 avg 3 books
46
Drake Baldwin ATL
IN
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 3
 14.9%Fangorn 16.0%market -1.1pp
P 13.2
F 14.9
V 14.1
1.7pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
47
Wilyer Abreu BOS
IN
BOS vs TORDylan Cease · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 16.3%market -1.4pp
P 15.5
F 14.9
V 13.4
2.1pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
48
Dansby Swanson CHC
IN
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6
 12.2%Fangorn 13.6%market -1.4pp
P 13.4
F 12.2
V 12.6
1.2pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 635 avg 3 books
49
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 2
 15.5%Fangorn 17.0%market -1.4pp
P 14.7
F 15.5
V 14.0
1.5pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
50
Spencer Torkelson DET
Lineup pending
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5
 14.9%Fangorn 17.0%market -2.0pp
P 15.7
F 14.9
V 15.5
0.8pp 1.091xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
51
Zach Neto LAA
IN
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 17.7%market -2.2pp
P 16.0
F 15.5
V 16.0
0.5pp 0.953xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
52
Jorge Polanco NYM
IN
NYM vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 17.1%market -2.2pp
P 14.1
F 14.9
V 13.3
1.6pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
53
Isaac Paredes HOU
IN
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 16.0%market -2.6pp
P 13.5
F 13.4
V 14.0
0.6pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
54
Riley Greene DET
IN
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4
 15.5%Fangorn 18.5%market -3.0pp
P 16.7
F 15.5
V 15.4
1.3pp 1.091xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
55
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5
 12.2%Fangorn 15.3%market -3.1pp
P 12.8
F 12.2
V 15.1
2.9pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
56
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs DETCasey Mize · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 18.0%market -3.1pp
P 15.7
F 14.9
V 20.1
5.1pp 1.091xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
57
Taylor Ward BAL
IN
BAL vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 18.0%market -3.1pp
P 16.0
F 14.9
V 15.2
1.1pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
58
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
IN
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 16.5%market -3.2pp
P 12.7
F 13.4
V 16.2
3.5pp 0.953xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 505 avg 3 books
59
Michael Busch CHC
IN
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3
 15.5%Fangorn 18.7%market -3.2pp
P 15.5
F 15.5
V 16.0
0.5pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
60
Willson Contreras BOS
IN
BOS vs TORDylan Cease · slot 3
 12.2%Fangorn 15.9%market -3.7pp
P 15.0
F 12.2
V 13.8
2.8pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
61
Manny Machado SD
IN
SD vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 2
 14.9%Fangorn 18.9%market -4.0pp
P 16.2
F 14.9
V 16.5
1.6pp 1.115xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
62
Bryce Harper PHI
IN
PHI vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2
 14.9%Fangorn 18.9%market -4.0pp
P 16.1
F 14.9
V 15.1
1.2pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
63
George Springer TOR
IN
TOR vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1
 13.6%Fangorn 17.7%market -4.1pp
P 15.7
F 13.6
V 14.0
2.1pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
64
Kyle Manzardo CLE
IN
CLE vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 17.5%market -4.2pp
P 15.4
F 13.4
V 14.1
2.1pp 1.067xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
65
Mike Trout LAA
IN
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 2
 15.5%Fangorn 19.8%market -4.3pp
P 15.6
F 15.5
V 16.7
1.2pp 0.953xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
66
Tyler O'Neill BAL
IN
BAL vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 17.7%market -4.3pp
P 13.2
F 13.4
V 14.1
0.9pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
67
Marcus Semien NYM
IN
NYM vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 5
 9.3%Fangorn 13.8%market -4.5pp
P 11.7
F 9.3
V 11.4
2.4pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
68
Nico Hoerner CHC
IN
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1
 3.4%Fangorn 8.0%market -4.6pp
P 7.2
F 3.4
V 12.4
9.0pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
69
Kerry Carpenter DET
IN
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3
 15.5%Fangorn 20.2%market -4.7pp
P 14.1
F 15.5
V 14.6
1.4pp 1.091xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
70
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4
 12.2%Fangorn 17.0%market -4.7pp
P 13.0
F 12.2
V 15.0
2.8pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
71
Christian Walker HOU
IN
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 18.2%market -4.8pp
P 15.2
F 13.4
V 15.0
1.9pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
72
José Ramírez CLE
IN
CLE vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 20.4%market -4.9pp
P 16.7
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.1pp 1.067xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
73
Daulton Varsho TOR
IN
TOR vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4
 12.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -5.3pp
P 13.8
F 12.2
V 13.8
1.6pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
74
Chase Meidroth CWS
IN
CWS vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1
 2.3%Fangorn 8.0%market -5.7pp
P 6.7
F 2.3
V 10.9
8.6pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
75
Jo Adell LAA
IN
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 20.8%market -5.9pp
P 14.5
F 14.9
V 16.6
2.1pp 0.953xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
76
Yordan Alvarez HOU
IN
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 2
 14.9%Fangorn 20.8%market -5.9pp
P 14.9
F 14.9
V 15.8
0.9pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
77
Francisco Lindor NYM
IN
NYM vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 19.4%market -6.0pp
P 15.3
F 13.4
V 13.2
2.1pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
78
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
 15.5%Fangorn 22.0%market -6.5pp
P 14.9
F 15.5
V 13.3
2.2pp 1.067xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
79
Jorge Soler LAA
IN
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 3
 11.4%Fangorn 18.2%market -6.8pp
P 12.5
F 11.4
V 17.3
5.9pp 0.953xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
80
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 2
 14.9%Fangorn 21.7%market -6.8pp
P 16.2
F 14.9
V 15.6
1.3pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
81
Jake Burger TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 4
 12.2%Fangorn 19.2%market -7.0pp
P 13.0
F 12.2
V 13.0
0.8pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
82
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
 0.0%Fangorn 8.0%market -8.0pp
P 5.0
F 0.0
V 7.4
7.4pp 1.067xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
83
Eugenio Suárez CIN
IN
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 3
 12.2%Fangorn 21.7%market -9.5pp
P 13.7
F 12.2
V 13.5
1.5pp 0.988xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
84
Marcell Ozuna PIT
IN
PIT vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2
 12.2%Fangorn 22.0%market -9.8pp
P 15.5
F 12.2
V 15.8
3.6pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
85
Pete Alonso BAL
IN
BAL vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2
 12.2%Fangorn 23.0%market -10.8pp
P 15.3
F 12.2
V 15.9
3.7pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
86
Kyle Schwarber PHI
IN
PHI vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 3
 14.9%Fangorn 26.0%market -11.1pp
P 15.1
F 14.9
V 14.9
0.1pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 285 avg 3 books
87
Colson Montgomery CWS
IN
CWS vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3
 9.6%Fangorn 23.3%market -13.6pp
P 13.0
F 9.6
V 13.2
3.6pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
88
Cal Raleigh SEA
IN
SEA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3
 12.2%Fangorn 26.3%market -14.1pp
P 17.5
F 12.2
V 14.2
5.3pp 1.200xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 280 avg 3 books

Data context

780 sample flags
Status2316roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.