Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-25 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs DETCasey Mize · slot 5 |
20.0%Valinor | 12.5%market | +7.0pp |
P
11.7
F
11.4
V
20.0
|
8.5pp | 1.091xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2 |
16.6%Valinor | 12.5%market | +3.6pp |
P
16.6
F
15.5
V
16.6
|
1.1pp | 0.988xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Alec Burleson
STL
IN
|
STL vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3 |
17.0%Valinor | 13.3%market | +3.2pp |
P
15.1
F
15.5
V
17.0
|
1.9pp | 0.988xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2 |
13.7%Valinor | 10.1%market | +3.2pp |
P
14.8
F
13.6
V
13.7
|
1.3pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 05 | IN | KC vs DETCasey Mize · slot 3 |
20.5%Valinor | 16.7%market | +3.1pp |
P
17.7
F
22.3
V
20.5
|
4.5pp | 1.091xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs TBNick Martinez · slot 2 |
11.8%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.8pp |
P
11.3
F
11.4
V
11.8
|
0.5pp | 1.067xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1 |
10.3%Valinor | 8.7%market | +1.3pp |
P
11.6
F
11.6
V
10.3
|
1.3pp | 1.091xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 5 |
15.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +1.2pp |
P
15.2
F
13.4
V
15.2
|
1.8pp | 1.017xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 5 |
15.1%Valinor | 13.5%market | +1.1pp |
P
14.4
F
12.2
V
15.1
|
2.9pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 10 | IN | SD vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 7 |
10.2%Valinor | 9.6%market | +0.3pp |
P
13.9
F
12.2
V
10.2
|
3.7pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 11 | IN | SD vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 3 |
16.2%Valinor | 15.5%market | +0.1pp |
P
16.3
F
11.6
V
16.2
|
4.7pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 1 |
11.4%Valinor | 11.2%market | -0.3pp |
P
15.2
F
15.5
V
11.4
|
4.2pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 760 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 4 |
15.2%Valinor | 15.0%market | -0.3pp |
P
14.8
F
13.4
V
15.2
|
1.8pp | 1.017xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 545 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 3 |
15.5%Valinor | 15.3%market | -0.4pp |
P
16.3
F
14.9
V
15.5
|
1.4pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 15 | IN | MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 3 |
12.6%Valinor | 12.5%market | -0.4pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
12.6
|
1.1pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 1 |
10.1%Valinor | 10.1%market | -0.4pp |
P
14.1
F
14.9
V
10.1
|
4.8pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 850 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2 |
14.4%Valinor | 14.4%market | -0.5pp |
P
16.3
F
22.3
V
14.4
|
7.8pp | 1.067xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 6 |
9.0%Valinor | 9.2%market | -0.6pp |
P
14.4
F
15.5
V
9.0
|
6.5pp | 1.033xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 940 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 5 |
10.9%Valinor | 11.1%market | -0.7pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
10.9
|
2.8pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 765 avg 3 books |
| 20 | IN | TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3 |
12.4%Valinor | 13.3%market | -0.9pp |
P
16.2
F
22.3
V
12.4
|
9.8pp | 1.067xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 21 | IN | SD vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 1 |
16.1%Valinor | 16.7%market | -1.2pp |
P
16.8
F
15.5
V
16.1
|
1.3pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 6 |
10.2%Valinor | 11.0%market | -1.3pp |
P
17.7
F
15.5
V
10.2
|
7.5pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 775 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5 |
13.2%Valinor | 14.0%market | -1.3pp |
P
17.0
F
15.5
V
13.2
|
3.9pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 590 avg 3 books |
| 24 | IN | TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5 |
12.8%Valinor | 13.6%market | -1.4pp |
P
14.1
F
12.2
V
12.8
|
1.9pp | 1.067xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 1 |
14.0%Valinor | 14.8%market | -1.4pp |
P
16.5
F
14.9
V
14.0
|
2.5pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 550 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 5 |
13.4%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.5pp |
P
13.8
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
1.5pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 14.5%market | -1.5pp |
P
18.2
F
15.5
V
13.5
|
4.7pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 2 |
11.7%Valinor | 13.3%market | -1.6pp |
P
13.3
F
12.2
V
11.7
|
1.6pp | 0.988xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs TORDylan Cease · slot 1 |
10.6%Valinor | 11.8%market | -1.7pp |
P
15.3
F
13.4
V
10.6
|
4.7pp | 1.033xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6 |
9.1%Valinor | 10.6%market | -1.9pp |
P
12.8
F
11.6
V
9.1
|
3.6pp | 1.091xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 810 avg 3 books |
| 31 | IN | CWS vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4 |
11.4%Valinor | 13.0%market | -2.1pp |
P
15.1
F
15.5
V
11.4
|
4.2pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 3 |
14.1%Valinor | 16.0%market | -2.4pp |
P
18.3
F
17.0
V
14.1
|
4.2pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 505 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 6 |
11.5%Valinor | 13.6%market | -2.6pp |
P
14.8
F
14.9
V
11.5
|
3.4pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 610 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 4 |
11.7%Valinor | 14.4%market | -2.6pp |
P
14.1
F
12.2
V
11.7
|
2.3pp | 0.988xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 595 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1 |
15.6%Valinor | 17.7%market | -2.7pp |
P
15.3
F
12.2
V
15.6
|
3.4pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4 |
13.8%Valinor | 16.4%market | -3.2pp |
P
16.9
F
15.5
V
13.8
|
3.1pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 2 |
13.8%Valinor | 16.7%market | -3.4pp |
P
17.4
F
22.3
V
13.8
|
8.4pp | 1.001xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 1 |
12.4%Valinor | 15.3%market | -3.5pp |
P
16.0
F
15.5
V
12.4
|
3.6pp | 0.988xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 6 |
9.5%Valinor | 13.0%market | -3.9pp |
P
12.6
F
7.4
V
9.5
|
5.2pp | 0.988xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 645 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1 |
13.7%Valinor | 17.5%market | -4.5pp |
P
17.6
F
15.5
V
13.7
|
3.9pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 3 |
14.9%Valinor | 25.5%market | -11.4pp |
P
15.1
F
14.9
V
14.9
|
0.1pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 280 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
12.4%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.4pp |
P
7.2
F
3.4
V
12.4
|
9.0pp | 1.017xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1 |
11.6%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.6pp |
P
9.7
F
8.6
V
11.6
|
3.0pp | 1.017xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1 |
10.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.9pp |
P
6.7
F
2.3
V
10.9
|
8.6pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1 |
10.6%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.6pp |
P
8.9
F
8.6
V
10.6
|
2.0pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 46 | IN | KC vs DETCasey Mize · slot 4 |
20.1%Valinor | 17.2%market | +2.2pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
20.1
|
5.1pp | 1.091xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 6 |
8.5%Valinor | 7.7%market | +0.5pp |
P
9.3
F
9.6
V
8.5
|
1.1pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5 |
15.1%Valinor | 14.8%market | -0.2pp |
P
12.8
F
12.2
V
15.1
|
2.9pp | 1.017xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 5 |
16.2%Valinor | 16.1%market | -0.5pp |
P
12.7
F
13.4
V
16.2
|
3.5pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 500 avg 3 books |
| 50 | IN | TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1 |
7.4%Valinor | 7.7%market | -0.6pp |
P
5.0
F
0.0
V
7.4
|
7.4pp | 1.067xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6 |
12.6%Valinor | 13.1%market | -1.0pp |
P
13.4
F
12.2
V
12.6
|
1.2pp | 1.017xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 3 |
17.3%Valinor | 17.7%market | -1.1pp |
P
12.5
F
11.4
V
17.3
|
5.9pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 5 |
11.4%Valinor | 12.3%market | -1.4pp |
P
11.8
F
12.2
V
11.4
|
0.8pp | 0.988xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 680 avg 3 books |
| 54 | Lineup pending | DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5 |
15.5%Valinor | 16.5%market | -1.6pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
15.5
|
0.8pp | 1.091xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 1 |
16.0%Valinor | 17.2%market | -1.9pp |
P
16.0
F
15.5
V
16.0
|
0.5pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 460 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 4 |
15.0%Valinor | 16.4%market | -2.0pp |
P
13.0
F
12.2
V
15.0
|
2.8pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 5 |
14.0%Valinor | 15.5%market | -2.0pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
14.0
|
0.6pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 3 |
14.1%Valinor | 15.6%market | -2.0pp |
P
13.2
F
14.9
V
14.1
|
1.7pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 59 | IN | BOS vs TORDylan Cease · slot 3 |
13.8%Valinor | 15.3%market | -2.1pp |
P
15.0
F
12.2
V
13.8
|
2.8pp | 1.033xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 5 |
11.4%Valinor | 13.3%market | -2.4pp |
P
11.7
F
9.3
V
11.4
|
2.4pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 625 avg 3 books |
| 61 | IN | SD vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 2 |
16.5%Valinor | 18.4%market | -2.5pp |
P
16.2
F
14.9
V
16.5
|
1.6pp | 1.115xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3 |
9.5%Valinor | 11.7%market | -2.7pp |
P
13.4
F
13.4
V
9.5
|
3.9pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 720 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs TORDylan Cease · slot 4 |
13.4%Valinor | 15.7%market | -2.9pp |
P
15.5
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
2.1pp | 1.033xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4 |
15.2%Valinor | 17.4%market | -2.9pp |
P
16.0
F
14.9
V
15.2
|
1.1pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3 |
16.0%Valinor | 18.2%market | -2.9pp |
P
15.5
F
15.5
V
16.0
|
0.5pp | 1.017xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 66 | IN | TOR vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 2 |
14.0%Valinor | 16.4%market | -2.9pp |
P
14.7
F
15.5
V
14.0
|
1.5pp | 1.033xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4 |
15.4%Valinor | 18.1%market | -3.2pp |
P
16.7
F
15.5
V
15.4
|
1.3pp | 1.091xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Mike Trout
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 2 |
16.7%Valinor | 19.3%market | -3.3pp |
P
15.6
F
15.5
V
16.7
|
1.2pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 400 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 4 |
15.0%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.3pp |
P
15.2
F
13.4
V
15.0
|
1.9pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3 |
14.1%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.6pp |
P
13.2
F
13.4
V
14.1
|
0.9pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3 |
14.1%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.6pp |
P
15.4
F
13.4
V
14.1
|
2.1pp | 1.067xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
George Springer
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 1 |
14.0%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.7pp |
P
15.7
F
13.6
V
14.0
|
2.1pp | 1.033xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 4 |
13.3%Valinor | 16.5%market | -3.8pp |
P
14.1
F
14.9
V
13.3
|
1.6pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs BOSSonny Gray · slot 4 |
13.8%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.9pp |
P
13.8
F
12.2
V
13.8
|
1.6pp | 1.033xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2 |
15.1%Valinor | 18.4%market | -3.9pp |
P
16.1
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
1.2pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Jo Adell
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs SFRobbie Ray · slot 4 |
16.6%Valinor | 20.3%market | -4.5pp |
P
14.5
F
14.9
V
16.6
|
2.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
José Ramírez
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1 |
15.5%Valinor | 19.9%market | -5.1pp |
P
16.7
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
1.1pp | 1.067xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs CWSSean Burke · slot 2 |
15.8%Valinor | 20.3%market | -5.3pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
15.8
|
0.9pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3 |
14.6%Valinor | 19.7%market | -5.8pp |
P
14.1
F
15.5
V
14.6
|
1.4pp | 1.091xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 390 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs BALBrandon Young · slot 2 |
15.6%Valinor | 21.2%market | -6.4pp |
P
16.2
F
14.9
V
15.6
|
1.3pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2 |
13.2%Valinor | 18.9%market | -6.4pp |
P
15.3
F
13.4
V
13.2
|
2.1pp | 0.962xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2 |
15.8%Valinor | 21.5%market | -6.4pp |
P
15.5
F
12.2
V
15.8
|
3.6pp | 1.017xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Jake Burger
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs SEABryan Woo · slot 4 |
13.0%Valinor | 18.8%market | -6.4pp |
P
13.0
F
12.2
V
13.0
|
0.8pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2 |
15.9%Valinor | 22.4%market | -7.4pp |
P
15.3
F
12.2
V
15.9
|
3.7pp | 1.027xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 330 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 21.2%market | -8.5pp |
P
13.7
F
12.2
V
13.5
|
1.5pp | 0.988xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 86 | IN | TB vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4 |
13.3%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.9pp |
P
14.9
F
15.5
V
13.3
|
2.2pp | 1.067xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 87 | IN | CWS vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3 |
13.2%Valinor | 22.7%market | -10.3pp |
P
13.0
F
9.6
V
13.2
|
3.6pp | 1.024xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 325 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 25.8%market | -12.4pp |
P
17.5
F
12.2
V
14.2
|
5.3pp | 1.200xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 275 avg 3 books |
Data context
780 sample flagsStatus2316roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.