Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-08-09 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
113
Matched
360
Lineups
270
HR BOARD 2026-08-09 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Nick Loftin KC
IN
KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 1
 13.7%Fangorn 7.9%market +5.8pp
P 14.6
F 13.7
V 13.3
1.3pp 1.267xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books
02
José Tena WSH
IN
WSH vs CINBrady Singer · slot 3
 13.7%Fangorn 8.1%market +5.5pp
P 13.7
F 13.7
V 10.9
2.9pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1090 avg 3 books
03
Edgar Quero CWS
IN
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 7
 13.2%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.5pp
P 11.1
F 13.2
V 8.1
5.0pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
04
Luis Arraez PHI
IN
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.5pp
P 11.3
F 13.2
V 16.1
4.8pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
05
Andruw Monasterio BOS
IN
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 5
 13.7%Fangorn 8.4%market +5.2pp
P 15.0
F 13.7
V 10.2
4.8pp 1.268xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1045 avg 3 books
06
Nick Gonzales PIT
IN
PIT vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4
 13.3%Fangorn 8.2%market +5.1pp
P 11.7
F 13.3
V 15.7
4.0pp 1.048xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1075 avg 3 books
07
Jake McCarthy COL
IN
COL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1
 13.2%Fangorn 8.6%market +4.6pp
P 12.2
F 13.2
V 11.5
1.8pp 1.092xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1020 avg 3 books
08
Steven Kwan CLE
IN
CLE vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 2
 13.2%Fangorn 8.7%market +4.5pp
P 11.3
F 13.2
V 11.5
1.9pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
09
Andrés Giménez TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 6
 13.2%Fangorn 8.7%market +4.4pp
P 11.3
F 13.2
V 9.2
3.9pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1005 avg 3 books
10
Dane Myers CIN
IN
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 7
 13.7%Fangorn 9.3%market +4.4pp
P 12.8
F 13.7
V 9.2
4.5pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 940 avg 3 books
11
Dominic Smith ATL
IN
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 9.4%market +4.0pp
P 12.2
F 13.4
V 7.7
5.7pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 925 avg 3 books
12
Masyn Winn STL
IN
STL vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 6
 13.2%Fangorn 9.4%market +3.8pp
P 11.9
F 13.2
V 10.2
3.0pp 1.092xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 925 avg 3 books
13
Willi Castro COL
IN
COL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 7
 13.2%Fangorn 9.5%market +3.7pp
P 12.0
F 13.2
V 9.8
3.4pp 1.092xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 920 avg 3 books
14
Ernie Clement TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 9.8%market +3.6pp
P 13.2
F 13.4
V 10.3
3.1pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
15
Jake Cronenworth SD
IN
SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 7
 13.2%Fangorn 9.6%market +3.6pp
P 11.9
F 13.2
V 10.2
3.0pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 905 avg 3 books
16
Starling Marte KC
IN
KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 10.0%market +3.4pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 13.5
0.3pp 1.267xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
17
Bryson Stott PHI
IN
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 10.0%market +3.4pp
P 13.5
F 13.4
V 9.5
3.9pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
18
Nolan Schanuel LAA
IN
LAA vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 10.1%market +3.1pp
P 12.8
F 13.2
V 12.3
0.9pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 855 avg 3 books
19
Alejandro Kirk TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3
 13.7%Fangorn 10.6%market +3.1pp
P 13.6
F 13.7
V 10.1
3.6pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 815 avg 3 books
20
Jarren Duran BOS
IN
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 7
 13.4%Fangorn 10.4%market +2.9pp
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 9.0
5.2pp 1.268xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 825 avg 3 books
21
Colt Keith DET
IN
DET vs SFLogan Webb · slot 6
 13.0%Fangorn 10.5%market +2.5pp
P 11.3
F 13.0
V 9.2
3.8pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
22
Jeremy Peña HOU
IN
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
 13.3%Fangorn 11.2%market +2.1pp
P 12.5
F 13.3
V 10.1
3.2pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
23
Jordan Walker STL
IN
STL vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 4
 13.3%Fangorn 11.5%market +1.9pp
P 12.4
F 13.3
V 11.4
1.9pp 1.092xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
24
Brandon Marsh PHI
IN
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 7
 13.4%Fangorn 11.8%market +1.6pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 9.1
4.6pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 720 avg 3 books
25
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS
IN
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 2
 13.7%Fangorn 12.3%market +1.4pp
P 15.1
F 13.7
V 10.1
5.0pp 1.268xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
26
Daylen Lile WSH
IN
WSH vs CINBrady Singer · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 11.9%market +1.3pp
P 15.5
F 13.2
V 10.9
4.6pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
27
Josh Lowe LAA
IN
LAA vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 7
 13.4%Fangorn 12.1%market +1.3pp
P 12.9
F 13.4
V 10.4
3.0pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 695 avg 3 books
28
Michael Massey KC
IN
KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 6
 13.2%Fangorn 11.9%market +1.3pp
P 13.1
F 13.2
V 12.2
1.1pp 1.267xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 705 avg 3 books
29
Miguel Vargas CWS
IN
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3
 13.7%Fangorn 12.5%market +1.2pp
P 14.3
F 13.7
V 9.2
5.1pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
30
Victor Caratini MIN
IN
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 7
 13.4%Fangorn 12.3%market +1.1pp
P 13.4
F 13.4
V 7.6
5.8pp 1.071xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 680 avg 3 books
31
Brooks Lee MIN
IN
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 12.3%market +0.8pp
P 13.6
F 13.2
V 10.8
2.7pp 1.071xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 680 avg 3 books
32
Dylan Crews WSH
IN
WSH vs CINBrady Singer · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 12.6%market +0.8pp
P 13.9
F 13.4
V 13.3
0.7pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 665 avg 3 books
33
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 12.7%market +0.7pp
P 13.3
F 13.4
V 11.1
2.3pp 0.888xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
34
Eli White BOS
IN
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 8
 13.7%Fangorn 13.3%market +0.5pp
P 16.1
F 13.7
V 7.9
8.2pp 1.268xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
35
Luis García Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 13.1%market +0.3pp
P 14.4
F 13.4
V 10.9
3.5pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
36
J.t. Realmuto PHI
IN
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 13.7%market -0.3pp
P 14.2
F 13.4
V 12.7
1.5pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
37
Ryan McMahon NYY
IN
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 8
 13.4%Fangorn 13.8%market -0.4pp
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 6.9
7.3pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
38
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5
 13.3%Fangorn 14.2%market -0.9pp
P 13.3
F 13.3
V 9.1
4.2pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
39
Jac Caglianone KC
IN
KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 3
 13.3%Fangorn 14.3%market -1.0pp
P 14.3
F 13.3
V 15.8
2.5pp 1.267xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 600 avg 3 books
40
Cj Abrams WSH
IN
WSH vs CINBrady Singer · slot 1
 13.7%Fangorn 14.7%market -1.0pp
P 15.4
F 13.7
V 12.8
2.6pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
41
Alec Burleson STL
IN
STL vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 3
 13.7%Fangorn 14.8%market -1.1pp
P 14.6
F 13.7
V 14.5
0.9pp 1.092xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
42
Mike Yastrzemski ATL
IN
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 7
 13.4%Fangorn 14.7%market -1.3pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 6.9
6.8pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
43
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3
 13.3%Fangorn 14.7%market -1.4pp
P 13.6
F 13.3
V 19.3
6.0pp 1.048xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
44
Brenton Doyle CWS
IN
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1
 13.3%Fangorn 14.9%market -1.6pp
P 13.6
F 13.3
V 10.8
2.8pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
45
Michael Harris II ATL
IN
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 15.0%market -1.6pp
P 13.9
F 13.4
V 8.6
5.3pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
46
Nick Castellanos SD
Lineup pending
SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 14.9%market -1.7pp
P 12.9
F 13.2
V 13.8
0.9pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
47
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 2
 13.7%Fangorn 15.4%market -1.7pp
P 15.9
F 13.7
V 14.4
2.2pp 1.092xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
48
Trea Turner PHI
IN
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 15.2%market -1.7pp
P 14.8
F 13.4
V 12.9
1.9pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
49
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 15.3%market -1.9pp
P 14.2
F 13.4
V 12.9
1.3pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
50
Wyatt Langford TEX
IN
TEX vs BALCade Povich · slot 1
 13.7%Fangorn 15.6%market -2.0pp
P 15.5
F 13.7
V 12.7
2.8pp 1.249xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
51
Heliot Ramos NYY
IN
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 3
 13.7%Fangorn 15.6%market -2.0pp
P 15.4
F 13.7
V 11.6
3.8pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
52
Jake Rogers BOS
IN
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 9
 13.2%Fangorn 15.2%market -2.0pp
P 13.9
F 13.2
V 6.7
7.2pp 1.268xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
53
Austin Wells NYY
IN
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 9
 13.5%Fangorn 15.5%market -2.0pp
P 14.2
F 13.5
V 5.3
8.9pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 545 avg 3 books
54
Davis Schneider TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 9
 13.4%Fangorn 15.5%market -2.1pp
P 14.4
F 13.4
V 5.8
8.5pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 545 avg 3 books
55
Elly De La Cruz CIN
IN
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 1
 13.7%Fangorn 15.9%market -2.2pp
P 15.4
F 13.7
V 12.9
2.6pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
56
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs BALCade Povich · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 15.6%market -2.2pp
P 14.8
F 13.4
V 12.7
2.1pp 1.249xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
57
Trevor Larnach MIN
IN
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 15.8%market -2.3pp
P 14.5
F 13.4
V 10.8
3.7pp 1.071xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
58
Randal Grichuk CWS
IN
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 15.9%market -2.5pp
P 13.8
F 13.4
V 12.3
1.4pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
59
Jj Bleday CIN
IN
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 15.9%market -2.7pp
P 14.5
F 13.2
V 12.9
1.6pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
60
Josh Bell MIN
IN
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 16.4%market -3.0pp
P 14.0
F 13.4
V 11.4
2.6pp 1.071xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
61
Freddie Freeman LAD
IN
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2
 13.3%Fangorn 16.4%market -3.1pp
P 13.9
F 13.3
V 14.3
1.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
62
Jackson Merrill SD
IN
SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 3
 13.0%Fangorn 16.3%market -3.2pp
P 13.4
F 13.0
V 14.9
1.9pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
63
Mookie Betts LAD
IN
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 16.7%market -3.3pp
P 13.9
F 13.4
V 14.3
1.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
64
Willson Contreras BOS
IN
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 17.0%market -3.5pp
P 15.2
F 13.4
V 14.3
1.8pp 1.268xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
65
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 2
 13.7%Fangorn 17.7%market -4.0pp
P 14.7
F 13.7
V 13.0
1.7pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
66
Taylor Ward BAL
IN
BAL vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 18.0%market -4.6pp
P 15.0
F 13.4
V 13.7
1.6pp 1.249xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
67
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
IN
KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 18.2%market -4.8pp
P 15.0
F 13.4
V 17.0
3.6pp 1.267xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
68
Gunnar Henderson BAL
IN
BAL vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 18.4%market -5.0pp
P 14.5
F 13.4
V 14.1
1.1pp 1.249xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
69
Wilyer Abreu BOS
IN
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3
 13.7%Fangorn 18.7%market -5.0pp
P 15.8
F 13.7
V 15.0
2.1pp 1.268xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
70
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 18.9%market -5.5pp
P 15.0
F 13.4
V 17.3
3.9pp 1.267xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
71
Drake Baldwin ATL
IN
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 18.9%market -5.5pp
P 13.6
F 13.4
V 9.8
3.8pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
72
Ben Rice NYY
IN
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 2
 13.7%Fangorn 19.8%market -6.1pp
P 15.0
F 13.7
V 13.4
1.6pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
73
Bryce Harper PHI
IN
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 19.6%market -6.2pp
P 15.1
F 13.4
V 14.0
1.7pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
74
Trent Grisham NYY
IN
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1
 13.7%Fangorn 20.4%market -6.7pp
P 15.8
F 13.7
V 13.4
2.4pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
75
Jake Mangum PIT
IN
PIT vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1
 12.9%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.2pp
P 10.6
F 12.9
V 15.9
5.3pp 1.048xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
76
Zach McKinstry DET
IN
DET vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1
 13.0%Fangorn 8.7%market +4.3pp
P 10.7
F 13.0
V 10.3
2.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
77
Myles Straw TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 7
 11.6%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.9pp
P 10.2
F 11.6
V 8.9
2.7pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
78
Luke Keaschall MIN
IN
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 6
 11.6%Fangorn 10.9%market +0.7pp
P 11.1
F 11.6
V 9.0
2.6pp 1.071xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 785 avg 3 books
79
Andy Pages LAD
IN
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 7
 13.2%Fangorn 13.9%market -0.7pp
P 13.1
F 13.2
V 10.2
3.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
80
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 14.2%market -1.0pp
P 12.3
F 13.2
V 11.6
1.6pp 0.888xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
81
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 14.9%market -1.5pp
P 13.4
F 13.4
V 12.4
1.0pp 0.888xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
82
Jose Altuve HOU
IN
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3
 13.3%Fangorn 15.8%market -2.4pp
P 13.6
F 13.3
V 12.8
0.8pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
83
Isaac Paredes HOU
IN
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5
 13.2%Fangorn 16.0%market -2.8pp
P 12.2
F 13.2
V 12.0
1.2pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
84
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 8
 13.2%Fangorn 16.4%market -3.2pp
P 12.3
F 13.2
V 5.5
7.7pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
85
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 1
 4.4%Fangorn 8.0%market -3.6pp
P 6.2
F 4.4
V 9.8
5.4pp 0.888xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
86
Spencer Torkelson DET
IN
DET vs SFLogan Webb · slot 5
 13.3%Fangorn 17.0%market -3.7pp
P 13.1
F 13.3
V 13.9
0.8pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
87
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
IN
SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 17.2%market -3.9pp
P 13.6
F 13.4
V 14.7
1.3pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
88
Zach Neto LAA
IN
LAA vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 17.5%market -4.1pp
P 14.4
F 13.4
V 16.0
2.6pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
89
Tyler O'Neill BAL
IN
BAL vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 17.7%market -4.3pp
P 13.5
F 13.4
V 12.8
0.7pp 1.249xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
90
Kody Clemens MIN
IN
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4
 13.7%Fangorn 18.0%market -4.4pp
P 15.3
F 13.7
V 12.4
2.8pp 1.071xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
91
Christian Walker HOU
IN
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 18.2%market -5.0pp
P 13.1
F 13.2
V 12.8
0.4pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
92
Kyle Tucker LAD
IN
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 3
 13.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -5.1pp
P 13.3
F 13.2
V 14.2
1.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
93
Riley Greene DET
IN
DET vs SFLogan Webb · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 18.5%market -5.1pp
P 13.6
F 13.4
V 14.2
0.8pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
94
Mickey Moniak COL
IN
COL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 18.7%market -5.3pp
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 15.7
2.3pp 1.092xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
95
Manny Machado SD
IN
SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 2
 13.3%Fangorn 18.9%market -5.6pp
P 13.3
F 13.3
V 15.1
1.8pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
96
Teoscar Hernández LAD
IN
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 4
 13.2%Fangorn 19.1%market -5.8pp
P 13.2
F 13.2
V 14.6
1.4pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
97
Royce Lewis MIN
IN
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 19.4%market -6.0pp
P 13.1
F 13.4
V 12.5
0.8pp 1.071xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
98
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 19.8%market -6.4pp
P 14.6
F 13.4
V 13.8
1.2pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
99
Brandon Lowe PIT
IN
PIT vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 20.4%market -7.0pp
P 13.9
F 13.4
V 16.5
3.2pp 1.048xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
100
José Ramírez CLE
IN
CLE vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 20.4%market -7.0pp
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 14.9
1.5pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
101
Jake Burger TEX
IN
TEX vs BALCade Povich · slot 4
 13.3%Fangorn 20.4%market -7.1pp
P 13.1
F 13.3
V 12.8
0.5pp 1.249xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
102
Hunter Goodman COL
IN
COL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 4
 13.7%Fangorn 20.8%market -7.2pp
P 14.7
F 13.7
V 14.9
1.3pp 1.092xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
103
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL
IN
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 20.8%market -7.4pp
P 14.2
F 13.4
V 10.1
4.1pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
104
Yordan Alvarez HOU
IN
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2
 13.2%Fangorn 20.8%market -7.6pp
P 12.9
F 13.2
V 13.0
0.3pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
105
Mike Trout LAA
IN
LAA vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 2
 13.7%Fangorn 21.3%market -7.6pp
P 14.7
F 13.7
V 16.4
2.7pp 1.056xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
106
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 21.5%market -8.1pp
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 10.0
4.1pp 1.162xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
107
Corey Seager TEX
IN
TEX vs BALCade Povich · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 21.7%market -8.3pp
P 14.0
F 13.4
V 12.9
1.1pp 1.249xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
108
Eugenio Suárez CIN
IN
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 21.7%market -8.4pp
P 14.3
F 13.4
V 14.0
0.9pp 1.231xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
109
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 4
 13.4%Fangorn 22.0%market -8.6pp
P 12.8
F 13.4
V 12.4
1.0pp 0.888xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
110
Pete Alonso BAL
IN
BAL vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 2
 13.4%Fangorn 23.0%market -9.6pp
P 14.7
F 13.4
V 14.3
1.3pp 1.249xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
111
Colson Montgomery CWS
IN
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 6
 13.0%Fangorn 23.8%market -10.8pp
P 12.2
F 13.0
V 11.3
1.8pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 320 avg 3 books
112
Kyle Schwarber PHI
IN
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 28.2%market -14.8pp
P 15.0
F 13.4
V 13.7
1.6pp 1.246xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 255 avg 3 books
113
Shohei Ohtani LAD
IN
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 29.0%market -15.6pp
P 13.2
F 13.4
V 17.4
4.2pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 245 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status2528roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.