Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-08-09 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Luis Arraez
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 4 |
16.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +8.1pp |
P
11.3
F
13.2
V
16.1
|
4.8pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Nick Gonzales
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4 |
15.7%Valinor | 8.2%market | +7.1pp |
P
11.7
F
13.3
V
15.7
|
4.0pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1075 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Nick Loftin
KC
IN
|
KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 1 |
13.3%Valinor | 7.9%market | +5.2pp |
P
14.6
F
13.7
V
13.3
|
1.3pp | 1.267xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3 |
19.3%Valinor | 14.0%market | +4.7pp |
P
13.6
F
13.3
V
19.3
|
6.0pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 05 | IN | KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 10.0%market | +3.2pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
13.5
|
0.3pp | 1.267xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Jake McCarthy
COL
IN
|
COL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1 |
11.5%Valinor | 8.6%market | +2.5pp |
P
12.2
F
13.2
V
11.5
|
1.8pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1020 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
José Tena
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs CINBrady Singer · slot 3 |
10.9%Valinor | 8.1%market | +2.5pp |
P
13.7
F
13.7
V
10.9
|
2.9pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1090 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 2 |
11.5%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.5pp |
P
11.3
F
13.2
V
11.5
|
1.9pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 3 |
12.3%Valinor | 10.1%market | +1.8pp |
P
12.8
F
13.2
V
12.3
|
0.9pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 10 | IN | BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 5 |
10.2%Valinor | 8.4%market | +1.5pp |
P
15.0
F
13.7
V
10.2
|
4.8pp | 1.268xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1045 avg 3 books |
| 11 | IN | KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 3 |
15.8%Valinor | 13.7%market | +1.5pp |
P
14.3
F
13.3
V
15.8
|
2.5pp | 1.267xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Masyn Winn
STL
IN
|
STL vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 6 |
10.2%Valinor | 9.4%market | +0.5pp |
P
11.9
F
13.2
V
10.2
|
3.0pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 925 avg 3 books |
| 13 | IN | SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 7 |
10.2%Valinor | 9.6%market | +0.2pp |
P
11.9
F
13.2
V
10.2
|
3.0pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Dylan Crews
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs CINBrady Singer · slot 5 |
13.3%Valinor | 12.6%market | +0.2pp |
P
13.9
F
13.4
V
13.3
|
0.7pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 665 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Andrés Giménez
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 6 |
9.2%Valinor | 8.7%market | +0.2pp |
P
11.3
F
13.2
V
9.2
|
3.9pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1005 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 7 |
8.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +0.1pp |
P
11.1
F
13.2
V
8.1
|
5.0pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Ernie Clement
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5 |
10.3%Valinor | 9.8%market | +0.1pp |
P
13.2
F
13.4
V
10.3
|
3.1pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 885 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Willi Castro
COL
IN
|
COL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 7 |
9.8%Valinor | 9.6%market | -0.2pp |
P
12.0
F
13.2
V
9.8
|
3.4pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 905 avg 3 books |
| 19 | IN | KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 6 |
12.2%Valinor | 11.9%market | -0.3pp |
P
13.1
F
13.2
V
12.2
|
1.1pp | 1.267xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 705 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Alec Burleson
STL
IN
|
STL vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 3 |
14.5%Valinor | 14.3%market | -0.3pp |
P
14.6
F
13.7
V
14.5
|
0.9pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Jordan Walker
STL
IN
|
STL vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 4 |
11.4%Valinor | 12.0%market | -0.6pp |
P
12.4
F
13.3
V
11.4
|
1.9pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 735 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Dane Myers
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 7 |
9.2%Valinor | 9.4%market | -0.6pp |
P
12.8
F
13.7
V
9.2
|
4.5pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 920 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs COLMichael Lorenzen · slot 2 |
14.4%Valinor | 14.8%market | -1.0pp |
P
15.9
F
13.7
V
14.4
|
2.2pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 550 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Alejandro Kirk
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3 |
10.1%Valinor | 10.6%market | -1.0pp |
P
13.6
F
13.7
V
10.1
|
3.6pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 805 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Bryson Stott
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 6 |
9.5%Valinor | 10.1%market | -1.0pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
9.5
|
3.9pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 850 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
J.t. Realmuto
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 5 |
12.7%Valinor | 13.2%market | -1.0pp |
P
14.2
F
13.4
V
12.7
|
1.5pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 630 avg 3 books |
| 27 | IN | KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 2 |
17.0%Valinor | 17.6%market | -1.1pp |
P
15.0
F
13.4
V
17.0
|
3.6pp | 1.267xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 28 | Lineup pending | SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 4 |
13.8%Valinor | 14.4%market | -1.2pp |
P
12.9
F
13.2
V
13.8
|
0.9pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 29 | IN | SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 3 |
14.9%Valinor | 15.7%market | -1.4pp |
P
13.4
F
13.0
V
14.9
|
1.9pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs CINBrady Singer · slot 4 |
10.9%Valinor | 12.4%market | -1.5pp |
P
15.5
F
13.2
V
10.9
|
4.6pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 705 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1 |
10.1%Valinor | 11.2%market | -1.5pp |
P
12.5
F
13.3
V
10.1
|
3.2pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 760 avg 3 books |
| 32 | IN | KC vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 4 |
17.3%Valinor | 18.2%market | -1.5pp |
P
15.0
F
13.4
V
17.3
|
3.9pp | 1.267xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs SFLogan Webb · slot 6 |
9.2%Valinor | 10.6%market | -1.8pp |
P
11.3
F
13.0
V
9.2
|
3.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 810 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs CINBrady Singer · slot 1 |
12.8%Valinor | 14.2%market | -1.9pp |
P
15.4
F
13.7
V
12.8
|
2.6pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 580 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 7 |
9.0%Valinor | 10.5%market | -2.0pp |
P
14.1
F
13.4
V
9.0
|
5.2pp | 1.268xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 815 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Brooks Lee
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5 |
10.8%Valinor | 12.9%market | -2.1pp |
P
13.6
F
13.2
V
10.8
|
2.7pp | 1.071xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 675 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2 |
14.3%Valinor | 15.8%market | -2.1pp |
P
13.9
F
13.3
V
14.3
|
1.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 38 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 3 |
11.1%Valinor | 13.3%market | -2.2pp |
P
13.3
F
13.4
V
11.1
|
2.3pp | 0.888xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Dominic Smith
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6 |
7.7%Valinor | 9.6%market | -2.2pp |
P
12.2
F
13.4
V
7.7
|
5.7pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 905 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 14.6%market | -2.2pp |
P
14.8
F
13.4
V
12.9
|
1.9pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Josh Lowe
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 7 |
10.4%Valinor | 12.7%market | -2.3pp |
P
12.9
F
13.4
V
10.4
|
3.0pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 690 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 14.8%market | -2.4pp |
P
14.2
F
13.4
V
12.9
|
1.3pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 5 |
14.3%Valinor | 16.2%market | -2.5pp |
P
13.9
F
13.4
V
14.3
|
1.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 44 | IN | BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 4 |
14.3%Valinor | 16.4%market | -2.7pp |
P
15.2
F
13.4
V
14.3
|
1.8pp | 1.268xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 2 |
10.1%Valinor | 12.3%market | -2.7pp |
P
15.1
F
13.7
V
10.1
|
5.0pp | 1.268xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 680 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Luis García Jr.
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 4 |
10.9%Valinor | 13.7%market | -2.8pp |
P
14.4
F
13.4
V
10.9
|
3.5pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 630 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs BALCade Povich · slot 3 |
12.7%Valinor | 15.1%market | -2.9pp |
P
14.8
F
13.4
V
12.7
|
2.1pp | 1.249xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs BALCade Povich · slot 1 |
12.7%Valinor | 15.1%market | -2.9pp |
P
15.5
F
13.7
V
12.7
|
2.8pp | 1.249xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 3 |
12.9%Valinor | 15.3%market | -3.0pp |
P
14.5
F
13.2
V
12.9
|
1.6pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 1 |
12.9%Valinor | 15.3%market | -3.0pp |
P
15.4
F
13.7
V
12.9
|
2.6pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 7 |
9.1%Valinor | 11.8%market | -3.2pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
9.1
|
4.6pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Randal Grichuk
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 4 |
12.3%Valinor | 15.3%market | -3.5pp |
P
13.8
F
13.4
V
12.3
|
1.4pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Miguel Vargas
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3 |
9.2%Valinor | 12.6%market | -3.9pp |
P
14.3
F
13.7
V
9.2
|
5.1pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 665 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3 |
15.0%Valinor | 18.2%market | -3.9pp |
P
15.8
F
13.7
V
15.0
|
2.1pp | 1.268xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Heliot Ramos
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 3 |
11.6%Valinor | 15.1%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.4
F
13.7
V
11.6
|
3.8pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Brenton Doyle
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1 |
10.8%Valinor | 14.4%market | -4.1pp |
P
13.6
F
13.3
V
10.8
|
2.8pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 1 |
14.1%Valinor | 17.7%market | -4.3pp |
P
14.5
F
13.4
V
14.1
|
1.1pp | 1.249xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 4 |
13.7%Valinor | 17.4%market | -4.3pp |
P
15.0
F
13.4
V
13.7
|
1.6pp | 1.249xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 59 | IN | TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 2 |
13.0%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.7pp |
P
14.7
F
13.7
V
13.0
|
1.7pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 1 |
10.8%Valinor | 15.2%market | -5.0pp |
P
14.5
F
13.4
V
10.8
|
3.7pp | 1.071xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 535 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3 |
11.4%Valinor | 15.8%market | -5.0pp |
P
14.0
F
13.4
V
11.4
|
2.6pp | 1.071xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5 |
9.1%Valinor | 13.7%market | -5.1pp |
P
13.3
F
13.3
V
9.1
|
4.2pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 605 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Victor Caratini
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 7 |
7.6%Valinor | 12.9%market | -5.3pp |
P
13.4
F
13.4
V
7.6
|
5.8pp | 1.071xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 675 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 3 |
14.0%Valinor | 18.9%market | -5.6pp |
P
15.1
F
13.4
V
14.0
|
1.7pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Eli White
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 8 |
7.9%Valinor | 13.4%market | -6.0pp |
P
16.1
F
13.7
V
7.9
|
8.2pp | 1.268xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 620 avg 3 books |
| 66 | IN | ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4 |
8.6%Valinor | 14.5%market | -6.4pp |
P
13.9
F
13.4
V
8.6
|
5.3pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 2 |
13.4%Valinor | 19.3%market | -6.6pp |
P
15.0
F
13.7
V
13.4
|
1.6pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 400 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Ryan McMahon
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 8 |
6.9%Valinor | 13.3%market | -6.9pp |
P
14.1
F
13.4
V
6.9
|
7.3pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Trent Grisham
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 19.9%market | -7.2pp |
P
15.8
F
13.7
V
13.4
|
2.4pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 7 |
6.9%Valinor | 14.2%market | -7.8pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
6.9
|
6.8pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 580 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Jake Rogers
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 9 |
6.7%Valinor | 14.6%market | -8.5pp |
P
13.9
F
13.2
V
6.7
|
7.2pp | 1.268xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 560 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1 |
9.8%Valinor | 18.2%market | -9.1pp |
P
13.6
F
13.4
V
9.8
|
3.8pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Davis Schneider
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 9 |
5.8%Valinor | 15.1%market | -9.8pp |
P
14.4
F
13.4
V
5.8
|
8.5pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 540 avg 3 books |
| 74 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 4 |
12.4%Valinor | 21.5%market | -9.8pp |
P
12.8
F
13.4
V
12.4
|
1.0pp | 0.888xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Austin Wells
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 9 |
5.3%Valinor | 15.0%market | -10.2pp |
P
14.2
F
13.5
V
5.3
|
8.9pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 545 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 1 |
17.4%Valinor | 28.4%market | -12.0pp |
P
13.2
F
13.4
V
17.4
|
4.2pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 240 avg 3 books |
| 77 | IN | CWS vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 6 |
11.3%Valinor | 23.3%market | -12.8pp |
P
12.2
F
13.0
V
11.3
|
1.8pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 315 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1 |
15.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +7.9pp |
P
10.6
F
12.9
V
15.9
|
5.3pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 79 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 1 |
9.8%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.8pp |
P
6.2
F
4.4
V
9.8
|
5.4pp | 0.888xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1 |
10.3%Valinor | 8.7%market | +1.3pp |
P
10.7
F
13.0
V
10.3
|
2.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Myles Straw
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 7 |
8.9%Valinor | 7.7%market | +0.9pp |
P
10.2
F
11.6
V
8.9
|
2.7pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 4 |
16.0%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.7pp |
P
14.4
F
13.4
V
16.0
|
2.6pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 6 |
9.0%Valinor | 11.0%market | -2.4pp |
P
11.1
F
11.6
V
9.0
|
2.6pp | 1.071xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 775 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 2 |
12.4%Valinor | 14.4%market | -2.5pp |
P
13.4
F
13.4
V
12.4
|
1.0pp | 0.888xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 85 | IN | SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 1 |
14.7%Valinor | 16.7%market | -2.5pp |
P
13.6
F
13.4
V
14.7
|
1.3pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 86 | IN | TB vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 5 |
11.6%Valinor | 13.6%market | -2.6pp |
P
12.3
F
13.2
V
11.6
|
1.6pp | 0.888xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Mickey Moniak
COL
IN
|
COL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 5 |
15.7%Valinor | 18.1%market | -3.0pp |
P
14.1
F
13.4
V
15.7
|
2.3pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3 |
12.8%Valinor | 15.3%market | -3.0pp |
P
13.6
F
13.3
V
12.8
|
0.8pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 89 | IN | DET vs SFLogan Webb · slot 5 |
13.9%Valinor | 16.5%market | -3.2pp |
P
13.1
F
13.3
V
13.9
|
0.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Andy Pages
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 7 |
10.2%Valinor | 13.4%market | -3.7pp |
P
13.1
F
13.2
V
10.2
|
3.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 91 | IN | SD vs HOUCristian Javier · slot 2 |
15.1%Valinor | 18.4%market | -3.9pp |
P
13.3
F
13.3
V
15.1
|
1.8pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5 |
12.0%Valinor | 15.5%market | -4.0pp |
P
12.2
F
13.2
V
12.0
|
1.2pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Brandon Lowe
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6 |
16.5%Valinor | 19.9%market | -4.1pp |
P
13.9
F
13.4
V
16.5
|
3.2pp | 1.048xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.7%market | -4.2pp |
P
13.3
F
13.2
V
14.2
|
1.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs SFLogan Webb · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 18.1%market | -4.5pp |
P
13.6
F
13.4
V
14.2
|
0.8pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 96 | IN | LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 4 |
14.6%Valinor | 18.6%market | -4.7pp |
P
13.2
F
13.2
V
14.6
|
1.4pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 3 |
12.8%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.9pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
12.8
|
0.7pp | 1.249xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Mike Trout
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MIARyan Gusto · slot 2 |
16.4%Valinor | 20.8%market | -5.1pp |
P
14.7
F
13.7
V
16.4
|
2.7pp | 1.056xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 365 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4 |
12.8%Valinor | 17.7%market | -5.5pp |
P
13.1
F
13.2
V
12.8
|
0.4pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 100 |
José Ramírez
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 1 |
14.9%Valinor | 19.9%market | -5.7pp |
P
14.1
F
13.4
V
14.9
|
1.5pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 385 avg 3 books |
| 101 |
Kody Clemens
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4 |
12.4%Valinor | 17.6%market | -5.8pp |
P
15.3
F
13.7
V
12.4
|
2.8pp | 1.071xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 102 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
|
COL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 4 |
14.9%Valinor | 20.3%market | -6.1pp |
P
14.7
F
13.7
V
14.9
|
1.3pp | 1.092xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 103 | IN | NYY vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 5 |
13.8%Valinor | 19.3%market | -6.2pp |
P
14.6
F
13.4
V
13.8
|
1.2pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 400 avg 3 books |
| 104 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 2 |
12.5%Valinor | 18.9%market | -7.1pp |
P
13.1
F
13.4
V
12.5
|
0.8pp | 1.071xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 105 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs BALCade Povich · slot 4 |
12.8%Valinor | 19.7%market | -7.6pp |
P
13.1
F
13.3
V
12.8
|
0.5pp | 1.249xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 390 avg 3 books |
| 106 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs WSHBrad Lord · slot 5 |
14.0%Valinor | 21.2%market | -7.9pp |
P
14.3
F
13.4
V
14.0
|
0.9pp | 1.231xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 107 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2 |
13.0%Valinor | 20.3%market | -8.0pp |
P
12.9
F
13.2
V
13.0
|
0.3pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 108 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 2 |
14.3%Valinor | 22.4%market | -9.0pp |
P
14.7
F
13.4
V
14.3
|
1.3pp | 1.249xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 330 avg 3 books |
| 109 |
Corey Seager
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs BALCade Povich · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 21.2%market | -9.1pp |
P
14.0
F
13.4
V
12.9
|
1.1pp | 1.249xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 110 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 8 |
5.5%Valinor | 15.8%market | -10.9pp |
P
12.3
F
13.2
V
5.5
|
7.7pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 111 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2 |
10.1%Valinor | 20.3%market | -10.9pp |
P
14.2
F
13.4
V
10.1
|
4.1pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 112 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3 |
10.0%Valinor | 21.0%market | -11.7pp |
P
14.1
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
4.1pp | 1.162xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 360 avg 3 books |
| 113 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORShane Bieber · slot 1 |
13.7%Valinor | 27.6%market | -14.8pp |
P
15.0
F
13.4
V
13.7
|
1.6pp | 1.246xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 250 avg 3 books |
Data context
0 sample flagsStatus2528roster/transaction rows
Lineups270confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.