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Betting

Strikeout Market Gaps

A market-comparison board for daily strikeout prices. This page keeps the projection model separate, then compares saved strikeout probabilities against sportsbook lines and odds to surface fair-price gaps, push risk, and no-signal outcomes.

2026-06-07 Open JSON Artifact Open CSV Artifact

Betting Slate

2026-06-07
166 matched props 68 unmatched
Newer: 2026-06-08 Older: 2026-06-06

Overview

Betting Snapshot

Saved market-comparison artifacts only. The board compares the existing strikeout-props model against sportsbook inputs without recomputing projections on page load.

Matched Props 166
Grouped Pitchers 21
Books 3
Unmatched Inputs 68
Projection Source strikeout_props_v1_nb_overlay
2026-06-15 2026-06-14 2026-06-13 2026-06-12 2026-06-11 2026-06-10 2026-06-09 2026-06-08

Market Gaps

Strikeout Market Gap Board

Target date: 2026-06-07 | Raw sportsbook rows: 166 | Grouped pitcher entries: 21 | Artifact: /opt/mithrandir/app/outputs/betting/strikeout_edges/2026-06-07/strikeout_edges_2026-06-07.json
Cade Cavalli headshot

Cade Cavalli
WSH vs AZ | 9 books
Strong
Adj K 3.26
Strongest Gap Under +25.87%
Best Line 4.5 at DraftKings
DraftKings Best Price Gap
4.5
O -127 / U +100
Over gap -31.82% / Under gap +25.87%
Under +25.87%
BetMGM
4.5
O -135 / U +100
Over gap -33.32% / Under gap +25.87%
Under +25.87%
FanDuel
4.5
O -122 / U -108
Over gap -30.82% / Under gap +23.95%
Under +23.95%
FanDuel
4.5
O -122 / U -108
Over gap -30.82% / Under gap +23.95%
Under +23.95%
FanDuel
7.5
O +750 / U --
Over gap -8.77% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +370 / U --
Over gap -14.80% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +182 / U --
Over gap -22.42% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -1000 / U --
Over gap -30.02% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -310 / U --
Over gap -35.09% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 24.1% | U 75.9% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 22.9
Michael McGreevy headshot

Michael McGreevy
STL vs CIN | 8 books
Strong
Adj K 3.27
Strongest Gap Under +14.84%
Best Line 3.5 at BetMGM
BetMGM Best Price Gap
3.5
O -165 / U +125
Over gap -21.54% / Under gap +14.84%
Under +14.84%
FanDuel
4.5
O +128 / U -158
Over gap -19.56% / Under gap +14.46%
Under +14.46%
FanDuel
4.5
O +124 / U -158
Over gap -20.34% / Under gap +14.46%
Under +14.46%
DraftKings
4.5
O +130 / U -166
Over gap -19.18% / Under gap +13.29%
Under +13.29%
FanDuel
6.5
O +580 / U --
Over gap -8.16% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +280 / U --
Over gap -13.16% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -600 / U --
Over gap -24.63% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -200 / U --
Over gap -25.95% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 40.7% | U 59.3% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 33.5
Randy Vásquez headshot

Randy Vásquez
SD vs NYM | 3 books
Strong
Adj K 3.33
Strongest Gap Under +11.57%
Best Line 3.5 at BetMGM
BetMGM Best Price Gap
3.5
O -155 / U +115
Over gap -18.86% / Under gap +11.57%
Under +11.57%
FanDuel
3.5
O -124 / U +102
Over gap -13.44% / Under gap +8.58%
Under +8.58%
DraftKings
3.5
O -124 / U -103
Over gap -13.44% / Under gap +7.34%
Under +7.34%
Model O 41.9% | U 58.1% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 10.0
Noah Cameron headshot

Noah Cameron
KC vs MIN | 9 books
Strong
Adj K 4.30
Strongest Gap Under +11.48%
Best Line 4.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
4.5
O -158 / U +116
Over gap -19.02% / Under gap +11.48%
Under +11.48%
FanDuel
4.5
O -158 / U +116
Over gap -19.02% / Under gap +11.48%
Under +11.48%
DraftKings
4.5
O -132 / U +103
Over gap -14.68% / Under gap +8.52%
Under +8.52%
BetMGM
4.5
O -130 / U -105
Over gap -14.30% / Under gap +6.56%
Under +6.56%
FanDuel
7.5
O +630 / U --
Over gap -4.28% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +300 / U --
Over gap -8.34% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +144 / U --
Over gap -13.44% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -1450 / U --
Over gap -16.79% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -400 / U --
Over gap -20.45% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 42.2% | U 57.8% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 43.1
Michael Soroka headshot

Michael Soroka
AZ vs WSH | 9 books
Strong
Adj K 4.40
Strongest Gap Under +11.03%
Best Line 4.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
4.5
O -148 / U +122
Over gap -15.76% / Under gap +11.03%
Under +11.03%
FanDuel
4.5
O -148 / U +122
Over gap -15.76% / Under gap +11.03%
Under +11.03%
DraftKings
4.5
O -154 / U +121
Over gap -16.71% / Under gap +10.83%
Under +10.83%
BetMGM
4.5
O -150 / U +110
Over gap -16.08% / Under gap +8.46%
Under +8.46%
FanDuel
7.5
O +640 / U --
Over gap -3.25% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +310 / U --
Over gap -6.53% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +152 / U --
Over gap -10.61% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -1400 / U --
Over gap -15.40% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -400 / U --
Over gap -18.86% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 43.9% | U 56.1% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 36.3
Emmet Sheehan headshot

Emmet Sheehan
LAD vs LAA | 9 books
Strong
Adj K 5.55
Strongest Gap Under +9.51%
Best Line 6.5 at BetMGM
BetMGM Best Price Gap
6.5
O +100 / U -135
Over gap -16.96% / Under gap +9.51%
Under +9.51%
FanDuel
6.5
O +116 / U -142
Over gap -13.26% / Under gap +8.28%
Under +8.28%
FanDuel
6.5
O +114 / U -142
Over gap -13.69% / Under gap +8.28%
Under +8.28%
DraftKings
6.5
O +114 / U -145
Over gap -13.69% / Under gap +7.78%
Under +7.78%
FanDuel
8.5
O +400 / U --
Over gap -6.00% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
7.5
O +205 / U --
Over gap -10.69% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -1600 / U --
Over gap -18.03% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -470 / U --
Over gap -20.91% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O -210 / U --
Over gap -21.19% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 33.0% | U 67.0% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 72.3
Jacob deGrom headshot

Jacob deGrom
TEX vs CLE | 9 books
Strong
Adj K 5.58
Strongest Gap Under +8.37%
Best Line 5.5 at DraftKings
DraftKings Best Price Gap
5.5
O -158 / U +124
Over gap -14.25% / Under gap +8.37%
Under +8.37%
BetMGM
6.5
O +105 / U -140
Over gap -15.33% / Under gap +8.22%
Under +8.22%
FanDuel
6.5
O +130 / U -160
Over gap -10.03% / Under gap +5.01%
Under +5.01%
FanDuel
6.5
O +130 / U -160
Over gap -10.03% / Under gap +5.01%
Under +5.01%
FanDuel
8.5
O +430 / U --
Over gap -4.60% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
7.5
O +230 / U --
Over gap -7.85% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -1450 / U --
Over gap -17.14% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O -192 / U --
Over gap -18.76% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -450 / U --
Over gap -19.87% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 47.0% | U 53.0% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 70.4
Luis Castillo headshot

Luis Castillo
SEA vs DET | 8 books
Strong
Adj K 5.12
Strongest Gap Over +7.54%
Best Line 6.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
6.5
O +410 / U --
Over gap +7.54% / Under gap --
Over +7.54%
FanDuel
5.5
O +198 / U --
Over gap +6.57% / Under gap --
Over +6.57%
DraftKings
4.5
O -101 / U -126
Over gap +5.18% / Under gap -11.18%
Over +5.18%
BetMGM
4.5
O -105 / U -125
Over gap +4.21% / Under gap -10.99%
Over +4.21%
FanDuel
4.5
O -106 / U -125
Over gap +3.97% / Under gap -10.99%
Over +3.97%
FanDuel
4.5
O -106 / U -125
Over gap +3.97% / Under gap -10.99%
Over +3.97%
FanDuel
3.5
O -280 / U --
Over gap -2.48% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -900 / U --
Over gap -5.12% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 27.2% | U 72.9% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 59.4
Mike Burrows headshot

Mike Burrows
HOU vs ATH | 9 books
Strong
Adj K 4.81
Strongest Gap Under +7.36%
Best Line 5.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
5.5
O +110 / U -134
Over gap -12.24% / Under gap +7.36%
Under +7.36%
FanDuel
5.5
O +104 / U -134
Over gap -13.64% / Under gap +7.36%
Under +7.36%
BetMGM
5.5
O +100 / U -135
Over gap -14.62% / Under gap +7.17%
Under +7.17%
DraftKings
5.5
O +108 / U -138
Over gap -12.70% / Under gap +6.64%
Under +6.64%
FanDuel
7.5
O +430 / U --
Over gap -4.82% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +220 / U --
Over gap -8.23% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -2500 / U --
Over gap -13.96% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -580 / U --
Over gap -18.13% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -225 / U --
Over gap -18.58% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 35.4% | U 64.6% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 51.0
Sandy Alcantara headshot

Sandy Alcantara
MIA vs TB | 8 books
Strong
Adj K 4.98
Strongest Gap Over +5.66%
Best Line 6.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
6.5
O +410 / U --
Over gap +5.66% / Under gap --
Over +5.66%
FanDuel
5.5
O +200 / U --
Over gap +4.66% / Under gap --
Over +4.66%
BetMGM
4.5
O +100 / U -135
Over gap +3.31% / Under gap -10.76%
Over +3.31%
FanDuel
4.5
O -105 / U -115
Over gap +2.09% / Under gap -6.80%
Over +2.09%
FanDuel
4.5
O -105 / U -115
Over gap +2.09% / Under gap -6.80%
Over +2.09%
DraftKings
4.5
O -116 / U -110
Over gap -0.39% / Under gap -5.69%
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -270 / U --
Over gap -3.54% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -800 / U --
Over gap -5.17% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 25.3% | U 74.7% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 45.4
Ranger Suarez headshot

Ranger Suarez
BOS vs NYY | 9 books
Play
Adj K 4.75
Strongest Gap Under +4.77%
Best Line 5.5 at DraftKings
DraftKings Best Price Gap
5.5
O +122 / U -155
Over gap -10.60% / Under gap +4.77%
Under +4.77%
BetMGM
4.5
O -155 / U +115
Over gap -11.09% / Under gap +3.80%
Under +3.80%
FanDuel
5.5
O +122 / U -162
Over gap -10.60% / Under gap +3.72%
Under +3.72%
FanDuel
7.5
O +570 / U --
Over gap -1.47% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +265 / U --
Over gap -5.16% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +126 / U --
Over gap -9.80% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -1600 / U --
Over gap -12.50% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -178 / U --
Over gap -14.34% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -430 / U --
Over gap -14.80% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 34.4% | U 65.5% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 47.1
Shane Baz headshot

Shane Baz
BAL vs TOR | 9 books
Play
Adj K 4.78
Strongest Gap Under +4.38%
Best Line 4.5 at DraftKings
DraftKings Best Price Gap
4.5
O -153 / U +120
Over gap -10.30% / Under gap +4.38%
Under +4.38%
BetMGM
5.5
O +120 / U -160
Over gap -10.54% / Under gap +3.55%
Under +3.55%
FanDuel
5.5
O +134 / U -180
Over gap -7.83% / Under gap +0.80%
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +134 / U -180
Over gap -7.83% / Under gap +0.80%
No Play
FanDuel
7.5
O +520 / U --
Over gap -2.37% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +250 / U --
Over gap -5.94% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -2000 / U --
Over gap -13.33% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -192 / U --
Over gap -15.58% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -490 / U --
Over gap -16.30% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 50.2% | U 49.8% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 46.8
Bryce Elder headshot

Bryce Elder
ATL vs PIT | 9 books
Play
Adj K 5.13
Strongest Gap Over +3.86%
Best Line 7.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
7.5
O +640 / U --
Over gap +3.86% / Under gap --
Over +3.86%
FanDuel
6.5
O +320 / U --
Over gap +3.47% / Under gap --
Over +3.47%
FanDuel
5.5
O +158 / U --
Over gap +1.52% / Under gap --
Over +1.52%
BetMGM
4.5
O -125 / U -105
Over gap +0.02% / Under gap -6.80%
No Play
DraftKings
4.5
O -155 / U +119
Over gap -5.20% / Under gap -1.24%
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -140 / U +114
Over gap -2.75% / Under gap -2.31%
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -146 / U +114
Over gap -3.77% / Under gap -2.31%
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -350 / U --
Over gap -6.46% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -1200 / U --
Over gap -7.35% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 17.4% | U 82.6% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 38.7
Kevin Gausman headshot

Kevin Gausman
TOR vs BAL | 9 books
Lean
Adj K 5.95
Strongest Gap Under +2.94%
Best Line 6.5 at DraftKings
DraftKings Best Price Gap
6.5
O +110 / U -141
Over gap -9.07% / Under gap +2.94%
Under +2.94%
FanDuel
6.5
O +120 / U -148
Over gap -6.90% / Under gap +1.77%
Under +1.77%
FanDuel
6.5
O +120 / U -148
Over gap -6.90% / Under gap +1.77%
Under +1.77%
BetMGM
6.5
O +115 / U -155
Over gap -7.96% / Under gap +0.67%
No Play
FanDuel
8.5
O +430 / U --
Over gap -1.08% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
7.5
O +230 / U --
Over gap -3.42% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O -188 / U --
Over gap -13.03% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -1450 / U --
Over gap -13.58% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -440 / U --
Over gap -14.80% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 38.6% | U 61.5% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 54.9
Kyle Freeland headshot

Kyle Freeland
COL vs MIL | 7 books
Lean
Adj K 3.91
Strongest Gap Over +2.14%
Best Line 5.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
5.5
O +410 / U --
Over gap +2.14% / Under gap --
Over +2.14%
FanDuel
4.5
O +194 / U --
Over gap +1.45% / Under gap --
No Play
DraftKings
3.5
O -116 / U -110
Over gap -0.78% / Under gap -5.30%
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -122 / U +100
Over gap -2.03% / Under gap -2.92%
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -130 / U +100
Over gap -3.60% / Under gap -2.92%
No Play
BetMGM
3.5
O -130 / U -105
Over gap -3.60% / Under gap -4.14%
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -350 / U --
Over gap -6.15% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 21.8% | U 78.2% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 22.6
Cam Schlittler headshot

Cam Schlittler
NYY vs BOS | 9 books
Lean
Adj K 5.97
Strongest Gap Under +2.03%
Best Line 5.5 at BetMGM
BetMGM Best Price Gap
5.5
O -160 / U +120
Over gap -9.02% / Under gap +2.03%
Under +2.03%
FanDuel
8.5
O +470 / U --
Over gap +0.45% / Under gap --
No Play
DraftKings
6.5
O +124 / U -159
Over gap -5.82% / Under gap -0.21%
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +132 / U -162
Over gap -4.28% / Under gap -0.65%
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +128 / U -162
Over gap -5.04% / Under gap -0.65%
No Play
FanDuel
7.5
O +230 / U --
Over gap -3.17% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O -186 / U --
Over gap -12.51% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -1450 / U --
Over gap -13.40% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -420 / U --
Over gap -13.85% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 52.5% | U 47.5% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 66.9
Aaron Nola headshot

Aaron Nola
PHI vs CWS | 9 books
Lean
Adj K 5.43
Strongest Gap Over +1.84%
Best Line 7.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
7.5
O +430 / U --
Over gap +1.84% / Under gap --
Over +1.84%
FanDuel
6.5
O +220 / U --
Over gap +0.13% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +106 / U -130
Over gap -3.75% / Under gap -1.31%
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +102 / U -130
Over gap -4.71% / Under gap -1.31%
No Play
BetMGM
5.5
O +115 / U --
Over gap -1.72% / Under gap --
No Play
DraftKings
5.5
O +112 / U -143
Over gap -2.38% / Under gap -3.64%
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -3000 / U --
Over gap -9.59% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -235 / U --
Over gap -10.25% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -600 / U --
Over gap -10.90% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 20.7% | U 79.3% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 61.1
Jameson Taillon headshot

Jameson Taillon
CHC vs SF | 3 books
Lean
Adj K 4.57
Strongest Gap Under +1.78%
Best Line 4.5 at DraftKings
DraftKings Best Price Gap
4.5
O -120 / U -106
Over gap -7.79% / Under gap +1.78%
Under +1.78%
FanDuel
4.5
O -104 / U -118
Over gap -4.22% / Under gap -0.89%
No Play
BetMGM
4.5
O -105 / U -125
Over gap -4.46% / Under gap -2.32%
No Play
Model O 46.8% | U 53.2% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 45.7
Jack Flaherty headshot

Jack Flaherty
DET vs SEA | 9 books
Lean
Adj K 5.95
Strongest Gap Over +1.66%
Best Line 8.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
8.5
O +520 / U --
Over gap +1.66% / Under gap --
Over +1.66%
FanDuel
5.5
O -142 / U +116
Over gap -6.43% / Under gap +1.45%
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O -142 / U +116
Over gap -6.43% / Under gap +1.45%
No Play
DraftKings
5.5
O -140 / U +109
Over gap -6.08% / Under gap -0.10%
No Play
FanDuel
7.5
O +250 / U --
Over gap -1.69% / Under gap --
No Play
BetMGM
5.5
O -135 / U +100
Over gap -5.20% / Under gap -2.25%
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +130 / U --
Over gap -4.93% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -360 / U --
Over gap -11.58% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -1100 / U --
Over gap -11.70% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 17.8% | U 82.2% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 55.2
Joey Cantillo headshot

Joey Cantillo
CLE vs TEX | 9 books
No Play
Adj K 5.09
Strongest Gap No Play +0.58%
Best Line 4.5 at BetMGM
BetMGM Best Price Gap
4.5
O -165 / U +125
Over gap -7.28% / Under gap +0.58%
No Play
FanDuel
7.5
O +490 / U --
Over gap -0.01% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +116 / U -154
Over gap -6.63% / Under gap -0.30%
No Play
FanDuel
5.5
O +116 / U -154
Over gap -6.63% / Under gap -0.30%
No Play
DraftKings
4.5
O -145 / U +113
Over gap -4.20% / Under gap -1.93%
No Play
FanDuel
6.5
O +240 / U --
Over gap -2.67% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
2.5
O -2000 / U --
Over gap -10.60% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
3.5
O -490 / U --
Over gap -12.22% / Under gap --
No Play
FanDuel
4.5
O -210 / U --
Over gap -12.76% / Under gap --
No Play
Model O 55.0% | U 45.0% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 49.3
José Soriano headshot

José Soriano
LAA vs LAD | 3 books
No Play
Adj K 5.40
Strongest Gap No Play -1.11%
Best Line 5.5 at FanDuel
FanDuel Best Price Gap
5.5
O +120 / U -160
Over gap -1.11% / Under gap -5.88%
No Play
DraftKings
4.5
O -156 / U +122
Over gap -1.46% / Under gap -4.53%
No Play
BetMGM
5.5
O +110 / U -150
Over gap -3.28% / Under gap -4.34%
No Play
Model O 44.3% | U 55.7% | Push 0.0% Probable | Projected lineup | Matchup 34.0

Methodology

How Betting Differs From Projections

Sportsbook strikeout lines are matched against the saved Mithrandir strikeout props artifact. Model over, under, and push probabilities are derived from the existing matchup-adjusted strikeout distribution. Raw implied probabilities are calculated directly from American odds, and optional no-vig implied probabilities are computed by renormalizing both sides when both odds are present.

Projection Input

Adjusted Ks Are The Anchor

This page reads the saved strikeout-props artifact as its projection source of truth. The betting layer does not alter the underlying projection model.

Probability Math

Whole Lines Track Pushes

Whole-number lines expose push probability, while half-lines collapse cleanly into over and under tails. Both are derived from the same saved count distribution used by the props board.

Implieds

Raw First, No-Vig Stored

Raw implied probabilities remain the main public-facing comparison inputs for now. No-vig implied probabilities are stored in the artifact and ready for later surface expansion.

Later

Built For More Markets

This section can grow into home run market gaps, hit props, NRFI, and parlay-style tools while keeping Projections and Betting clearly separated on the site.