The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Johnston, Troy in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 466 PA
Ranked comps for Johnston, Troy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateIn-zone contact | Barrel rate +1.7zChase rate -1.1zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA | 0.63 | Pull rateWhiff rateSweet-spot rate | Barrel rate +1.7zSprint speed +1.4zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zBarrel rate +1.4zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 400 PA | 0.60 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityBat speed | Chase rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 635 PA | 0.60 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zSwing length +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedSprint speedWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zChase rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 711 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedSwing lengthAvg exit velocity | Barrel rate +1.9zOppo rate +1.1zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Jung, Josh TEX · R · 457 PA | 0.58 | Fly-ball rateBat speedSweet-spot rate | Barrel rate +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.4zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 383 PA | 0.56 | Pull rateWalk rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zBarrel rate +1.5zSwing length +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA | 0.55 | Bat speedStrikeout rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.3zBarrel rate +1.4zSwing length +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA | 0.54 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Chase rate -1.9zBarrel rate +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA | 0.52 | Avg exit velocityWalk rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zSwing length +1.8zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.