The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bailey, Patrick in signal, the comp in amber.

CLE · bats L · 383 PA

Ranked comps for Bailey, Patrick

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA 0.81 Swing lengthPull rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9zMax exit velocity +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA 0.79 Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.1zIsolated power +0.7zMax exit velocity -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 371 PA 0.77 Isolated powerBat speedSprint speed xwOBA on contact -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA 0.72 Chase rateBat speedWalk rate Sprint speed +1.8zOppo rate -1.1zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA 0.71 In-zone contactSweet-spot rateWalk rate Sprint speed +2.2zStrikeout rate -0.8zxwOBA on contact -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 400 PA 0.70 Avg exit velocityOppo rateGround-ball rate xwOBA on contact -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.0zChase rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 711 PA 0.69 Hard-hit rateSprint speedMax exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zSwing length -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA 0.69 Walk rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Isolated power +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA 0.67 Walk rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.5zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.67 Max exit velocityGround-ball rateSwing length Sprint speed +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA 0.67 Bat speedWalk rateIn-zone contact Swing length +1.7zMax exit velocity +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 478 PA 0.66 Oppo rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Isolated power +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.