The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bailey, Patrick in signal, the comp in amber.

CLE · bats L · 299 PA

Ranked comps for Bailey, Patrick

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 292 PA 0.79 Fly-ball rateBat speedWhiff rate Barrel rate +1.0zMax exit velocity +0.8zChase rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 337 PA 0.72 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateIn-zone contact Strikeout rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 372 PA 0.68 Swing lengthFly-ball rateChase rate Sprint speed +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 362 PA 0.68 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed +2.2zOppo rate -0.9zMax exit velocity +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.66 Swing lengthxwOBA on contactChase rate Isolated power +1.3zSprint speed +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 560 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Isolated power +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.2zBarrel rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA 0.64 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Max exit velocity +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 450 PA 0.64 Whiff rateAvg exit velocityPull rate Max exit velocity +1.3zWalk rate +1.2zSprint speed +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 334 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityPull rateBarrel rate Oppo rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 326 PA 0.62 Swing lengthSweet-spot rateChase rate Fly-ball rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.1zHard-hit rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Machado, Manny SD · R · 589 PA 0.62 In-zone contactSprint speedWhiff rate Swing length +1.6zIsolated power +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.