The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Larnach, Trevor in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats L · 416 PA
Ranked comps for Larnach, Trevor
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 356 PA | 0.71 | xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Oppo rate +1.3zBat speed -1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.70 | Barrel rateSwing lengthSprint speed | Oppo rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 331 PA | 0.70 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.3zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Fly-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 483 PA | 0.68 | Pull rateHard-hit rateChase rate | Swing length +1.7zWhiff rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA | 0.68 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zChase rate -0.8zGround-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 367 PA | 0.67 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 482 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Johnston, Troy COL · L · 415 PA | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Barrel rate -1.5zSwing length -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA | 0.66 | Pull rateChase rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA | 0.66 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power | Whiff rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.0zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 353 PA | 0.64 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Strikeout rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.