The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Larnach, Trevor in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats L · 416 PA

Ranked comps for Larnach, Trevor

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 356 PA 0.71 xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate +1.3zBat speed -1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z
02 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.70 Barrel rateSwing lengthSprint speed Oppo rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z
03 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 331 PA 0.70 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.3zWalk rate -0.9z
04 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact Fly-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z
05 Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 483 PA 0.68 Pull rateHard-hit rateChase rate Swing length +1.7zWhiff rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z
06 Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA 0.68 Barrel rateStrikeout rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.8zChase rate -0.8zGround-ball rate +0.8z
07 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 367 PA 0.67 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.0z
08 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 482 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Swing length +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z
09 Johnston, Troy COL · L · 415 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Barrel rate -1.5zSwing length -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.0z
10 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.66 Pull rateChase rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1zOppo rate +1.0z
11 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.66 Walk ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power Whiff rate -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.0zPull rate -1.0z
12 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 353 PA 0.64 Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Strikeout rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.