The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ohtani, Shohei in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats L · 598 PA

Ranked comps for Ohtani, Shohei

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 517 PA 0.65 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate Chase rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.65 Pull rateOppo rateWhiff rate Avg exit velocity -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 593 PA 0.59 Sweet-spot ratePull rateOppo rate Max exit velocity -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.0zxwOBA on contact -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 603 PA 0.54 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateBat speed Swing length -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zPull rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 351 PA 0.53 Barrel rateChase rateOppo rate Strikeout rate +1.7zBat speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 560 PA 0.51 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactMax exit velocity Pull rate -2.2zSwing length -1.7zOppo rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 429 PA 0.51 Barrel rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate Pull rate -1.8zSwing length -1.6zWalk rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Caglianone, Jac KC · L · 505 PA 0.49 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Walk rate -2.4zChase rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 444 PA 0.49 Bat speedIsolated powerStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 625 PA 0.49 Bat speedStrikeout rateFly-ball rate Pull rate -2.1zSprint speed -2.0zSwing length -1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA 0.49 Avg exit velocityGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact Pull rate -2.0zWalk rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 408 PA 0.48 Pull rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate Max exit velocity -2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.