The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Buxton, Byron in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats R · 418 PA
Ranked comps for Buxton, Byron
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA | 0.61 | Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate | Barrel rate -2.0zOppo rate +1.3zSprint speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 626 PA | 0.59 | Chase rateOppo rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zWalk rate +1.3zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 602 PA | 0.58 | Sprint speedHard-hit ratePull rate | Walk rate +1.4zBarrel rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 404 PA | 0.57 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateBat speed | Chase rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 389 PA | 0.55 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactBat speed | Barrel rate -1.9zChase rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 380 PA | 0.54 | Walk rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate | Max exit velocity +1.7zSwing length -1.4zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA | 0.54 | Chase rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.5zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.54 | Avg exit velocitySwing lengthSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -2.5zBarrel rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 506 PA | 0.51 | Hard-hit rateChase rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -2.0zSprint speed -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 587 PA | 0.50 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Isolated power -1.9zBarrel rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 513 PA | 0.50 | Hard-hit ratePull rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.6zSwing length -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 442 PA | 0.49 | Bat speedPull rateStrikeout rate | Isolated power -2.3zBarrel rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.