The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Buxton, Byron in signal, the comp in amber.
Ranked comps for Buxton, Byron
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 242 PA | 0.50 | Bat speedWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Barrel rate -2.0zChase rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 400 PA | 0.47 | Hard-hit rateOppo rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -2.0zMax exit velocity +1.5zSwing length -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA | 0.46 | xwOBA on contactBat speedPull rate | Barrel rate -2.1zChase rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA | 0.44 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateChase rate | Barrel rate -2.6zIsolated power -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.44 | Strikeout rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed -2.0zFly-ball rate -1.9zBarrel rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 426 PA | 0.44 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Barrel rate -2.5zSwing length -1.6zIsolated power -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA | 0.39 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -2.6zBarrel rate -2.1zIsolated power -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA | 0.39 | In-zone contactPull rateHard-hit rate | Swing length -2.1zSprint speed -1.7zBarrel rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 399 PA | 0.38 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactWalk rate | Max exit velocity +1.9zSwing length -1.9zIsolated power -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA | 0.38 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -2.3zSwing length -2.3zBarrel rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 381 PA | 0.37 | Chase rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zBarrel rate -1.9zSprint speed -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA | 0.36 | Oppo rateSwing lengthSweet-spot rate | Isolated power -2.7zBarrel rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.