The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Buxton, Byron in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats R · 418 PA

Ranked comps for Buxton, Byron

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Barrel rate -2.0zOppo rate +1.3zSprint speed -0.9z
02 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 626 PA 0.59 Chase rateOppo rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.7zWalk rate +1.3zSwing length -1.3z
03 Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 602 PA 0.58 Sprint speedHard-hit ratePull rate Walk rate +1.4zBarrel rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z
04 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 404 PA 0.57 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateBat speed Chase rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z
05 Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 389 PA 0.55 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactBat speed Barrel rate -1.9zChase rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.2z
06 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 380 PA 0.54 Walk rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate Max exit velocity +1.7zSwing length -1.4zBarrel rate -1.4z
07 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.54 Chase rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.5zBarrel rate -1.3z
08 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA 0.54 Avg exit velocitySwing lengthSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -2.5zBarrel rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.2z
09 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 506 PA 0.51 Hard-hit rateChase rateIn-zone contact Swing length -2.0zSprint speed -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.4z
10 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 587 PA 0.50 Hard-hit rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Isolated power -1.9zBarrel rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.3z
11 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 513 PA 0.50 Hard-hit ratePull rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.6zSwing length -1.5z
12 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 442 PA 0.49 Bat speedPull rateStrikeout rate Isolated power -2.3zBarrel rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.