The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carroll, Corbin in signal, the comp in amber.

AZ · bats L · 687 PA

Ranked comps for Carroll, Corbin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 514 PA 0.70 Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateWalk rate Oppo rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.1zChase rate -1.0z
02 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.68 Swing lengthIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.8zWhiff rate +1.2zChase rate +1.0z
03 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.1zChase rate +1.1zBat speed -1.1z
04 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 489 PA 0.61 Oppo rateChase rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.1zBat speed -1.0z
05 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 447 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Max exit velocity -1.4zWalk rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2z
06 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.60 Chase rateStrikeout ratePull rate In-zone contact +1.5zBarrel rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z
07 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.59 Swing lengthIsolated powerWalk rate Sprint speed -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.8zGround-ball rate +0.9z
08 Buxton, Byron MIN · R · 418 PA 0.59 Sprint speedPull rateHard-hit rate Barrel rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.2z
09 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 560 PA 0.58 Walk rateBarrel rateBat speed Sprint speed -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.2z
10 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 590 PA 0.57 xwOBA on contactChase rateBarrel rate Pull rate -1.7zOppo rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2z
11 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.57 xwOBA on contactWalk rateAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate +1.9zSprint speed -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2z
12 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.56 Bat speedxwOBA on contactSwing length Isolated power -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.