The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Dubón, Mauricio in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats R · 667 PA
Ranked comps for Dubón, Mauricio
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Hoerner, Nico CHC · R · 715 PA | 0.74 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit ratePull rate | Sprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 533 PA | 0.66 | Max exit velocityBat speedWhiff rate | Pull rate +1.9zOppo rate -1.7zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 592 PA | 0.59 | Swing lengthxwOBA on contactBat speed | Oppo rate -2.0zPull rate +1.7zChase rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 487 PA | 0.57 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerWalk rate | Swing length -1.6zSprint speed +1.3zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 498 PA | 0.55 | Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityWalk rate | Pull rate +2.0zSprint speed +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA | 0.51 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateWalk rate | Ground-ball rate +1.9zSprint speed +1.5zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA | 0.51 | Sprint speedFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate -2.1zPull rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R · 363 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Swing length -1.9zChase rate -1.8zOppo rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 635 PA | 0.50 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Oppo rate -2.3zPull rate +2.3zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 605 PA | 0.50 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.7zWhiff rate +1.5zStrikeout rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 374 PA | 0.48 | Bat speedMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Walk rate +2.0zChase rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 488 PA | 0.48 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateBat speed | Chase rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.7zOppo rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.