The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Hoerner, Nico in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats R · 606 PA
Ranked comps for Hoerner, Nico
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 543 PA | 0.77 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactPull rate | Sprint speed -1.4zChase rate +0.8zSwing length +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lee, Jung Hoo SF · L · 518 PA | 0.65 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateBat speed | Oppo rate -1.6zPull rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Sanoja, Javier MIA · R · 391 PA | 0.63 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Pull rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.7zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | McNeil, Jeff ATH · L · 436 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateBat speed | Pull rate +1.9zSprint speed -1.6zOppo rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 547 PA | 0.56 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate | In-zone contact -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.6zWhiff rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Edwards, Xavier MIA · L · 586 PA | 0.55 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerSprint speed | Swing length -2.1zWalk rate +1.4zChase rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Keaschall, Luke MIN · R · 532 PA | 0.55 | Bat speedxwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Chase rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.6zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 317 PA | 0.54 | Max exit velocityBat speedIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zWalk rate +1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Vierling, Matt DET · R · 310 PA | 0.54 | Chase rateSprint speedPull rate | Fly-ball rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 392 PA | 0.50 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Swing length -1.7zOppo rate -1.7zPull rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA | 0.49 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateIsolated power | Hard-hit rate +1.7zChase rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.