The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Mangum, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
PIT · bats L · 428 PA
Ranked comps for Mangum, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 417 PA | 0.69 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateIsolated power | Chase rate -1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Williamson, Ben TB · R · 290 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rateStrikeout rate | Chase rate -2.3zAvg exit velocity +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 381 PA | 0.44 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity | Sprint speed -2.0zChase rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA | 0.43 | Pull rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 447 PA | 0.42 | Bat speedIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Oppo rate -2.2zGround-ball rate -2.1zPull rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 353 PA | 0.42 | Strikeout rateWhiff rateSprint speed | Chase rate -2.5zFly-ball rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 400 PA | 0.37 | In-zone contactWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate -2.3zOppo rate -2.3zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA | 0.34 | xwOBA on contactBarrel ratePull rate | Chase rate -2.6zIn-zone contact +1.7zStrikeout rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 547 PA | 0.34 | Isolated powerWhiff rateBarrel rate | Chase rate -2.1zSwing length +2.0zOppo rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Simpson, Chandler TB · L · 538 PA | 0.32 | Sprint speedMax exit velocityPull rate | Chase rate -2.4zStrikeout rate -2.1zHard-hit rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA | 0.30 | Isolated powerWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -2.7zOppo rate -2.2zGround-ball rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 580 PA | 0.30 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactChase rate | Ground-ball rate -2.5zFly-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.