The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Mangum, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
PIT · bats L · 496 PA
Ranked comps for Mangum, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 489 PA | 0.66 | Sprint speedFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Oppo rate -1.6zChase rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 467 PA | 0.47 | Bat speedBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Oppo rate -2.0zSprint speed -2.0zChase rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Wilson, Jacob ATH · R · 351 PA | 0.43 | Barrel rateHard-hit ratePull rate | Sprint speed -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 417 PA | 0.43 | xwOBA on contactSprint speedHard-hit rate | Chase rate -2.4zGround-ball rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 487 PA | 0.41 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate | Ground-ball rate -2.3zOppo rate -2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 519 PA | 0.39 | Bat speedIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact | Oppo rate -2.5zGround-ball rate -2.2zPull rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA | 0.34 | Isolated powerWhiff rateBarrel rate | Chase rate -2.2zSwing length +1.9zOppo rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA | 0.33 | Whiff ratePull rateHard-hit rate | Chase rate -2.7zOppo rate -2.1zGround-ball rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 605 PA | 0.33 | Chase rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate -2.4zSweet-spot rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Simpson, Chandler TB · L · 647 PA | 0.31 | Max exit velocityPull rateSprint speed | Chase rate -2.2zStrikeout rate -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Nuñez, Nasim WSH · L · 516 PA | 0.30 | Strikeout rateBat speedSprint speed | Chase rate -3.3zOppo rate -2.4zWalk rate +2.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Montgomery, Braden CWS · L · 389 PA | 0.27 | Swing lengthGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate -2.7zAvg exit velocity +1.9zOppo rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.