The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tawa, Tim in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats R · 370 PA
Ranked comps for Tawa, Tim
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA | 0.83 | Swing lengthIsolated powerFly-ball rate | Avg exit velocity +1.3zWhiff rate -0.8zHard-hit rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA | 0.76 | In-zone contactIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Swing length +1.4zSprint speed +1.3zBat speed +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA | 0.74 | Walk rateMax exit velocityChase rate | Barrel rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateChase rateSweet-spot rate | In-zone contact +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 383 PA | 0.72 | Chase rateBat speedWalk rate | Sprint speed -1.8zOppo rate +1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA | 0.69 | In-zone contactBarrel ratePull rate | Oppo rate +1.2zSwing length +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateBat speedChase rate | Pull rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.68 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateChase rate | Pull rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.0zSwing length +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA | 0.68 | Fly-ball rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.67 | Hard-hit rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.3zOppo rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA | 0.67 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contactWalk rate | Max exit velocity +1.2zChase rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA | 0.67 | Strikeout rateWalk rateBat speed | Oppo rate +1.8zBarrel rate -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.