The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tawa, Tim in signal, the comp in amber.

AZ · bats R · 370 PA

Ranked comps for Tawa, Tim

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA 0.83 Swing lengthIsolated powerFly-ball rate Avg exit velocity +1.3zWhiff rate -0.8zHard-hit rate +0.8z
02 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.76 In-zone contactIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Swing length +1.4zSprint speed +1.3zBat speed +0.7z
03 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA 0.74 Walk rateMax exit velocityChase rate Barrel rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1zOppo rate +0.9z
04 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA 0.73 Walk rateChase rateSweet-spot rate In-zone contact +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0zWhiff rate -0.9z
05 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 383 PA 0.72 Chase rateBat speedWalk rate Sprint speed -1.8zOppo rate +1.1zPull rate +1.0z
06 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.69 In-zone contactBarrel ratePull rate Oppo rate +1.2zSwing length +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z
07 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA 0.69 Whiff rateBat speedChase rate Pull rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0zStrikeout rate -1.0z
08 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.68 Ground-ball rateOppo rateChase rate Pull rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.0zSwing length +0.8z
09 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA 0.68 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z
10 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA 0.67 Hard-hit rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact Sprint speed -1.3zOppo rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z
11 Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA 0.67 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactWalk rate Max exit velocity +1.2zChase rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z
12 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateWalk rateBat speed Oppo rate +1.8zBarrel rate -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.