The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Henderson, Gunnar in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 719 PA
Ranked comps for Henderson, Gunnar
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Young, Jared NYM · L · 355 PA | 0.82 | Pull rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Walk rate -0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.7zMax exit velocity +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA | 0.81 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.0zChase rate -0.9zPull rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA | 0.79 | Chase rateFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Isolated power -1.2zPull rate -0.9zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 640 PA | 0.75 | Max exit velocityWalk rateSprint speed | Bat speed -1.5zStrikeout rate -0.9zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.74 | Whiff rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Isolated power +1.1zSprint speed -0.8zChase rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Young, Cole SEA · L · 663 PA | 0.74 | In-zone contactOppo rateChase rate | Swing length -1.1zWalk rate -1.0zBat speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA | 0.70 | Oppo ratePull rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.0zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 442 PA | 0.70 | Bat speedBarrel rateChase rate | Oppo rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.2zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA | 0.70 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateSprint speed | Pull rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.1zHard-hit rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA | 0.70 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateBarrel rate | Max exit velocity -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateChase rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.7zSwing length +1.4zMax exit velocity +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +1.2zBarrel rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.