The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Grisham, Trent in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 519 PA

Ranked comps for Grisham, Trent

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 633 PA 0.68 Fly-ball rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 677 PA 0.68 Bat speedWalk rateSprint speed Oppo rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 642 PA 0.67 Walk rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Oppo rate +1.3zPull rate -0.9zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.66 Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Isolated power +1.7zAvg exit velocity -1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 721 PA 0.66 Ground-ball ratePull rateFly-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.2zHard-hit rate -0.9zIsolated power +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 388 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate Oppo rate +1.6zChase rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 494 PA 0.66 Bat speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Chase rate +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.65 Isolated powerMax exit velocitySprint speed Sweet-spot rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.2zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 433 PA 0.65 Bat speedIsolated powerSprint speed Pull rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.2zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 594 PA 0.64 Bat speedSwing lengthOppo rate Chase rate +1.5zBarrel rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 736 PA 0.62 Walk ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate Oppo rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 599 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactOppo rateIn-zone contact Chase rate +2.0zSwing length +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.